Trofense vs Penafiel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Portuguese Liga 2 Trofense - Penafiel
Result
1:2
24/02/2023 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 22
  • Referee: Bessa J. (Por)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Trofense
33.7%
Draw
31%
Penafiel
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28% 31.2% 40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1% 30% 39.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Trofense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Trofense's performance.
  • Penafiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Penafiel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trofense than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penafiel than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • Trofense - Penafiel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.72
    (3.23)
    2.97
    (2.9)
    2.6
    (2.21)
    8.8%
    (10.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Trofense - Penafiel?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Trofense will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Penafiel will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.1%83.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 10).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Trofense won 1.
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Penafiel will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Trofense won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-10.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Trofense won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Trofense - Penafiel were as follows:
    04.09.2022 Penafiel - Trofense 3:0
    Latest results of Trofense
    18.02.2023 Trofense - Oliveirense 2:1
    11.02.2023 Vilafranquense - Trofense 0:1
    05.02.2023 Trofense - Leixões 0:1
    30.01.2023 BSAD - Trofense 1:1
    21.01.2023 Mafra - Trofense 1:0
    Latest results of Penafiel
    18.02.2023 Penafiel - Covilhã 1:1
    13.02.2023 BSAD - Penafiel 2:2
    05.02.2023 Penafiel - Mafra 1:0
    29.01.2023 Leixões - Penafiel 2:1
    Portuguese Liga 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Leixoes00000:000
    2Feirense00000:000
    3Penafiel00000:000
    4Portimonense00000:000
    5Vizela00000:000
    6Chaves00000:000
    7Oliveirense00000:000
    8Torreense00000:000
    9Maritimo00000:000
    10Pacos Ferreira00000:000
    11Leiria00000:000
    12Academico Viseu00000:000
    13Lusitania FC00000:000
    14SC Farense00000:000
    15Felgueiras00000:000
    16FC Porto B00000:000
    17Sporting CP B00000:000
    18Benfica B00000:000

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