Result
1:2
24/02/2023 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 22
- Referee: Bessa J. (Por)
Chances of winning
Trofense 33.7% | Draw 31% | Penafiel 35.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Trofense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Trofense's performance.Penafiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Penafiel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trofense than the current prediction. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penafiel than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
Trofense - Penafiel Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.72 ↓ (3.23) |
2.97 ↑ (2.9) |
2.6 ↑ (2.21) |
8.8% (10.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Trofense - Penafiel?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Trofense will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Penafiel will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.1% – 83.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 10).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Trofense won 1.
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- Penafiel will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 7 head-to-head matches Trofense won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-10.
- Including matches at home between the teams Trofense won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.
How many head-to-head matches has Trofense won against Penafiel?
Trofense has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Penafiel won against Trofense?
Penafiel has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Trofense - Penafiel were as follows:
04.09.2022
Penafiel
-
Trofense
3:0
Latest results of Trofense
Latest results of Penafiel
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Leixoes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Feirense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Penafiel | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Portimonense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Vizela | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Chaves | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Oliveirense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Torreense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Maritimo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Pacos Ferreira | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Leiria | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Academico Viseu | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Lusitania FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | SC Farense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Felgueiras | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | FC Porto B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Sporting CP B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Benfica B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3