Peñarol de Mar del Plata vs Ferro Carril Oeste – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

30/04/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Peñarol de Mar del Plata
55.6%
Ferro Carril Oeste
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.7% 44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2% 38.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Peñarol de Mar del Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Ferro Carril Oeste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peñarol de Mar del Plata than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Peñarol de Mar del Plata, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferro Carril Oeste than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ferro Carril Oeste, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Peñarol de Mar del Plata - Ferro Carril Oeste Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.66
    (1.66)

    2.08
    (2.09)
    8.5%
    (8.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 168.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
    Preview Facts
    • Ferro Carril Oeste leads series 2-0. Third leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 1.
    • Peñarol has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Ferro Basquet is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Ferro Basquet may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Peñarol has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 1669:1700. (average 83.5:85).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Peñarol won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 749:757. (average 83.2:84.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Peñarol de Mar del Plata - Ferro Carril Oeste were as follows:
    26.04.2026 Ferro Carril Oeste - Peñarol de Mar del Plata 80:78
    24.04.2026 Ferro Carril Oeste - Peñarol de Mar del Plata 97:91
    19.04.2026 Peñarol de Mar del Plata - Ferro Carril Oeste 87:80
    28.09.2025 Ferro Carril Oeste - Peñarol de Mar del Plata 97:84
    27.04.2025 Peñarol de Mar del Plata - Ferro Carril Oeste 73:75
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Quimsa (1)Bye
    2La Union (8)Independiente de Oliva (9)1 : 1
    3Obera TC (4)Bye
    4Boca Juniors (5)San Martin (12)2 : 0
    5Gimnasia (2)Bye
    6Obras Sanitarias (7)Instituto de Cordoba (10)1 : 1
    7Regatas (3)Bye
    8Ferro (6)Penarol (11)2 : 0