Peñarol de Mar del Plata vs Gimnasia y Esgrima – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
77:73
21/01/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga A

Chances of winning


Peñarol de Mar del Plata
53.5%
Gimnasia y Esgrima
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.2% 46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1% 43.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Peñarol de Mar del Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • Gimnasia y Esgrima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peñarol de Mar del Plata than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • Peñarol de Mar del Plata - Gimnasia y Esgrima Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.72
    (1.71)

    2
    (1.94)
    8.3%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 158.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 3.
    • Peñarol has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Gimnasia is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Peñarol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1575:1598. (average 78.8:79.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Peñarol won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 727:681. (average 80.8:75.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Peñarol de Mar del Plata - Gimnasia y Esgrima were as follows:
    05.12.2025 Gimnasia y Esgrima - Peñarol de Mar del Plata 93:67
    01.04.2025 Gimnasia y Esgrima - Peñarol de Mar del Plata 88:86
    12.01.2025 Peñarol de Mar del Plata - Gimnasia y Esgrima 100:86
    27.04.2024 Gimnasia y Esgrima - Peñarol de Mar del Plata 79:86
    16.12.2023 Peñarol de Mar del Plata - Gimnasia y Esgrima 87:85
    Latest results of Gimnasia y Esgrima
    Argentinian LNB Table
    2025/26
    PlWLPCT
    1Ferro241772075:19700.708
    2Independiente de Oliva241682060:19140.667
    3Regatas241591852:17620.625
    4Obera TC241591946:18330.625
    5Quimsa2616102104:19650.615
    6Obras Sanitarias2515102033:19660.600
    7La Union2615112074:20310.577
    8Gimnasia2615112084:19830.577
    9Boca Juniors2715122194:21010.556
    10Instituto de Cordoba2815132124:21100.536
    11Penarol2513122007:20260.520
    12San Martin2612141966:19480.462
    13Union De Santa Fe2411131943:20030.458
    14Olimpico2711162126:21460.407
    15Platense2510152038:21170.400
    16Atenas259161871:19920.360
    17San Lorenzo269172049:21750.346
    18Racing de Chivilcoy257181941:20320.280
    19Argentino255201812:22250.200

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