Peñarol de Mar del Plata vs Gimnasia y Esgrima – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
77:73
21/01/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga A

Chances of winning


Peñarol de Mar del Plata
53.5%
Gimnasia y Esgrima
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.2% 46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1% 43.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Peñarol de Mar del Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • Gimnasia y Esgrima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peñarol de Mar del Plata than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • Peñarol de Mar del Plata - Gimnasia y Esgrima Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.72
    (1.71)

    2
    (1.94)
    8.3%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 158.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 3.
    • Peñarol has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Gimnasia is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Peñarol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1575:1598. (average 78.8:79.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Peñarol won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 727:681. (average 80.8:75.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Peñarol de Mar del Plata - Gimnasia y Esgrima were as follows:
    05.12.2025 Gimnasia y Esgrima - Peñarol de Mar del Plata 93:67
    01.04.2025 Gimnasia y Esgrima - Peñarol de Mar del Plata 88:86
    12.01.2025 Peñarol de Mar del Plata - Gimnasia y Esgrima 100:86
    27.04.2024 Gimnasia y Esgrima - Peñarol de Mar del Plata 79:86
    16.12.2023 Peñarol de Mar del Plata - Gimnasia y Esgrima 87:85
    Latest results of Gimnasia y Esgrima
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Quimsa (1)Bye
    2La Union (8)Independiente de Oliva (9)1 : 1
    3Obera TC (4)Bye
    4Boca Juniors (5)San Martin (12)2 : 0
    5Gimnasia (2)Bye
    6Obras Sanitarias (7)Instituto de Cordoba (10)1 : 1
    7Regatas (3)Bye
    8Ferro (6)Penarol (11)2 : 0