Boston River vs Peñarol de Montevideo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Uruguayan Primera Division Boston River - Peñarol de Montevideo
Result
2:1
15/08/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 3
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
russiaRussiaViju+ Sport
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
uruguayUruguayDisney+, VTV+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
712
Shots on target
35
Corner Kicks
43
Yellow Cards
43
Red Cards
10
Total shots
712
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
47
Corner Kicks
43
Goalkeeper Saves
41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 29', Martinez F. 🟨,
  • 42', 1 - 0, Lopez G. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 49', 2 - 0, Albarracin A. ,
  • 62', Villalba H. , Muhlethaler S. ,
  • 62', David Terans , Silvera M. ,
  • 62', Umpierrez L. , Sosa I. ,
  • 69', Suarez D. 🟨,
  • 72', Acosta J. 🟨,
  • 72', Remedi E. 🟨,
  • 72', Remedi E. , Couture L. ,
  • 73', Garcia Cardozo D. G. , Alvarez B. ,
  • 75', Barcia B. , Viera G. ,
  • 75', Albarracin A. , Chiappini F. ,
  • 79', Amado A. 🟨,
  • 79', 2 - 1, Arezo M. ,
  • 83', Hernandez E. 🟥,
  • 88', Avenatti F. , Adamo V. ,
  • 88', Amado A. , Lemos L. ,
  • 90+5', Lemos L. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Lopez G. , Munoa F. ,

Chances of winning


Boston River
27.5%
Draw
30%
Peñarol de Montevideo
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
20.5% 26.3% 53.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.1% 25.8% 54.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Boston River has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Boston River's performance.
  • Peñarol de Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Peñarol de Montevideo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boston River than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Boston River that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (+11.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Peñarol de Montevideo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Boston River - Peñarol de Montevideo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.4
    (4.5)
    3.11
    (3.5)
    2.19
    (1.73)
    7.3%
    (8.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Boston River - Peñarol de Montevideo?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Peñarol (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.5 - Boston River (votes: 6 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Peñarol de Montevideo will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 68.36%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boston River won 0.
    • Recent performances by Boston River have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Peñarol is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Peñarol may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Peñarol has had a series of home games.
    • Peñarol could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Boston River won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 18 matches, and goals 11:45. (average 0.6:2.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Boston River won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:18. (average 1:2.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Boston River - Peñarol de Montevideo were as follows:
    15.02.2025 Peñarol de Montevideo - Boston River 1:1
    19.10.2024 Peñarol de Montevideo - Boston River 2:0
    20.04.2024 Boston River - Peñarol de Montevideo 1:3
    05.02.2024 Peñarol de Montevideo - Boston River 2:0
    02.09.2023 Boston River - Peñarol de Montevideo 0:1
    Latest results of Boston River
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cerro Largo33005:149
    2Defensor Sp43013:4-19
    3Boston River42207:258
    4Liverpool M32103:127
    5Penarol32016:336
    6Racing Montevideo32013:216
    7Juventud42024:5-16
    8Nacional42118:624
    9CA Cerro31113:214
    10Danubio31112:204
    11Montevideo City31115:6-14
    12Miramar31024:403
    13Wanderers40131:4-31
    14River Plate30120:3-31
    15Plaza Colonia40131:6-51
    16Progreso30033:7-40

          Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )