Boston River vs Peñarol de Montevideo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Uruguayan Primera Division Boston River - Peñarol de Montevideo
Result
2:1
15/08/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 3
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
russiaRussiaViju+ Sport
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
uruguayUruguayDisney+, VTV+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
712
Shots on target
35
Corner Kicks
43
Yellow Cards
43
Red Cards
10
Total shots
712
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
47
Corner Kicks
43
Goalkeeper Saves
41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 29', Martinez F. 🟨,
  • 42', 1 - 0, Lopez G. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 49', 2 - 0, Albarracin A. ,
  • 62', Villalba H. , Muhlethaler S. ,
  • 62', David Terans , Silvera M. ,
  • 62', Umpierrez L. , Sosa I. ,
  • 69', Suarez D. 🟨,
  • 72', Acosta J. 🟨,
  • 72', Remedi E. 🟨,
  • 72', Remedi E. , Couture L. ,
  • 73', Garcia Cardozo D. G. , Alvarez B. ,
  • 75', Barcia B. , Viera G. ,
  • 75', Albarracin A. , Chiappini F. ,
  • 79', Amado A. 🟨,
  • 79', 2 - 1, Arezo M. ,
  • 83', Hernandez E. 🟥,
  • 88', Avenatti F. , Adamo V. ,
  • 88', Amado A. , Lemos L. ,
  • 90+5', Lemos L. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Lopez G. , Munoa F. ,

Chances of winning


Boston River
27.5%
Draw
30%
Peñarol de Montevideo
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
20.5% 26.3% 53.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.1% 25.8% 54.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Boston River has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Boston River's performance.
  • Peñarol de Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Peñarol de Montevideo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boston River than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Boston River that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (+11.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Peñarol de Montevideo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Boston River - Peñarol de Montevideo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.4
    (4.5)
    3.11
    (3.5)
    2.19
    (1.73)
    7.3%
    (8.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Boston River - Peñarol de Montevideo?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Peñarol (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.5 - Boston River (votes: 6 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Peñarol de Montevideo will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 68.36%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boston River won 0.
    • Recent performances by Boston River have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Peñarol is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Peñarol may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Peñarol has had a series of home games.
    • Peñarol could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Boston River won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 18 matches, and goals 11:45. (average 0.6:2.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Boston River won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:18. (average 1:2.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Boston River - Peñarol de Montevideo were as follows:
    15.02.2025 Peñarol de Montevideo - Boston River 1:1
    19.10.2024 Peñarol de Montevideo - Boston River 2:0
    20.04.2024 Boston River - Peñarol de Montevideo 1:3
    05.02.2024 Peñarol de Montevideo - Boston River 2:0
    02.09.2023 Boston River - Peñarol de Montevideo 0:1
    Latest results of Boston River
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Penarol971119:71222
    2Nacional1072121:91220
    3Montevideo City1062219:11820
    4Boston River1054118:61219
    5Liverpool M1053213:10318
    6Cerro Largo1051410:9116
    7Defensor Sp95136:8-216
    8Danubio941414:9513
    9CA Cerro94148:10-213
    10Miramar1032513:14-111
    11Progreso932410:11-111
    12Juventud103255:8-311
    13Racing Montevideo93247:15-811
    14Wanderers91172:12-104
    15River Plate100373:15-123
    16Plaza Colonia90276:20-142

          Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )