Result
2:1
15/08/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 3
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Russia | Viju+ Sport |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica |
 Uruguay | Disney+, VTV+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 29', Martinez F. 🟨,
- 42', 1 - 0, Lopez G. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 49', 2 - 0, Albarracin A. ⚽,
- 62', Villalba H. ↓, Muhlethaler S. ↑,
- 62', David Terans ↓, Silvera M. ↑,
- 62', Umpierrez L. ↓, Sosa I. ↑,
- 69', Suarez D. 🟨,
- 72', Acosta J. 🟨,
- 72', Remedi E. 🟨,
- 72', Remedi E. ↓, Couture L. ↑,
- 73', Garcia Cardozo D. G. ↓, Alvarez B. ↑,
- 75', Barcia B. ↓, Viera G. ↑,
- 75', Albarracin A. ↓, Chiappini F. ↑,
- 79', Amado A. 🟨,
- 79', 2 - 1, Arezo M. ⚽,
- 83', Hernandez E. 🟥,
- 88', Avenatti F. ↓, Adamo V. ↑,
- 88', Amado A. ↓, Lemos L. ↑,
- 90+5', Lemos L. 🟨,
- 90+5', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
- 90+6', Lopez G. ↓, Munoa F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Boston River
27.5% | Draw
30% | Peñarol de Montevideo
42.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Boston River has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Boston River's performance.Peñarol de Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Peñarol de Montevideo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boston River than the current prediction. (-7.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Boston River that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (+11.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Peñarol de Montevideo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Boston River - Peñarol de Montevideo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.4 ↓
(4.5) |
3.11 ↓
(3.5) |
2.19 ↑
(1.73) |
7.3%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Boston River - Peñarol de Montevideo?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Peñarol (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.5 - Boston River (votes: 6 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Peñarol de Montevideo will win
(8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boston River won 0.
- Recent performances by Boston River have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Peñarol is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Peñarol may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Peñarol has had a series of home games.
- Peñarol could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Boston River won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 18 matches, and goals 11:45. (average 0.6:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Boston River won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:18. (average 1:2.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Boston River won against Peñarol de Montevideo?
Boston River has won 1 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Peñarol de Montevideo won against Boston River?
Peñarol de Montevideo has won 7 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Boston River - Peñarol de Montevideo were as follows:
15.02.2025
Peñarol de Montevideo
-
Boston River
1:1
19.10.2024
Peñarol de Montevideo
-
Boston River
2:0
20.04.2024
Boston River
-
Peñarol de Montevideo
1:3
05.02.2024
Peñarol de Montevideo
-
Boston River
2:0
02.09.2023
Boston River
-
Peñarol de Montevideo
0:1
Latest results of Boston River
Latest results of Peñarol de Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Penarol | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 26:11 | 15 | 29 |
| 2 | Nacional | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 24:10 | 14 | 24 |
| 3 | Montevideo City | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 23:15 | 8 | 24 |
| 4 | Liverpool M | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 16:12 | 4 | 22 |
| 5 | CA Cerro | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 13:13 | 0 | 22 |
| 6 | Defensor Sp | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 11:13 | -2 | 22 |
| 7 | Boston River | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 20:8 | 12 | 21 |
| 8 | Cerro Largo | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15:14 | 1 | 19 |
| 9 | Progreso | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 15:14 | 1 | 17 |
| 10 | Danubio | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 14:12 | 2 | 15 |
| 11 | Racing Montevideo | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11:20 | -9 | 14 |
| 12 | Miramar | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 16:19 | -3 | 12 |
| 13 | Juventud | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 6:12 | -6 | 12 |
| 14 | River Plate | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 7:17 | -10 | 10 |
| 15 | Plaza Colonia | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9:22 | -13 | 8 |
| 16 | Wanderers | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 5:19 | -14 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )
