Result
0:2
25/03/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 8
- Referee: De Armas M. (Uru)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports, Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | DirecTV Sports |
 Ecuador | DirecTV Sports |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | DirecTV Sports, Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Antel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 8', 0 - 1, Darias E. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', O'Neill Lopez J. S. ↓, Perez F. ↑,
- 46', Ramirez G. ↓, Gonzalez Y. ↑,
- 46', Darias E. ↓, Togni G. ↑,
- 46', Gonzalez A. 🟨,
- 53', Remedi E. 🟨,
- 59', Gonzalez Y. 🟨,
- 60', Escobar F. ↓, Rodriguez K. ↑,
- 60', Batista F. ↓, Arezo M. ↑,
- 61', Gonzalez A. ↓, Bonfiglio F. ↑,
- 71', Angulo L. ↓, Umpierrez L. ↑,
- 73', Reyna G. ↓, Munoa F. ↑,
- 73', Barrios F. ↓, Suhr L. ↑,
- 78', Lemos M. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
- 80', 0 - 2, Arezo M. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Boston River
14.9% | Draw
25.2% | Peñarol de Montevideo
60% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Boston River has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)Peñarol de Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Peñarol de Montevideo's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boston River than the current prediction. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
Boston River - Peñarol de Montevideo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.21 ↑
(4.8) |
3.72 ↑
(3.45) |
1.56 ↓
(1.7) |
7.2%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Boston River - Peñarol de Montevideo?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +1 - Peñarol (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Peñarol de Montevideo will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Peñarol (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boston River won 2.
- Boston River has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Peñarol is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Peñarol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Peñarol is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Boston River won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 16 matches, and goals 15:43. (average 0.8:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Boston River won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:17. (average 1.1:2.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Boston River won against Peñarol de Montevideo?
Boston River has won 3 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Peñarol de Montevideo won against Boston River?
Peñarol de Montevideo has won 7 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Boston River - Peñarol de Montevideo were as follows:
23.01.2026
Peñarol de Montevideo
-
Boston River
2:3
15.08.2025
Boston River
-
Peñarol de Montevideo
2:1
15.02.2025
Peñarol de Montevideo
-
Boston River
1:1
19.10.2024
Peñarol de Montevideo
-
Boston River
2:0
20.04.2024
Boston River
-
Peñarol de Montevideo
1:3
Latest results of Boston River
Latest results of Peñarol de Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Montevideo | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 20:10 | 10 | 26 |
| 2 | Penarol | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 17:8 | 9 | 22 |
| 3 | Maldonado | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 22 |
| 4 | Central Esp | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16:13 | 3 | 18 |
| 5 | Albion | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14:12 | 2 | 16 |
| 6 | Defensor Sp | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 9:7 | 2 | 16 |
| 7 | Nacional | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 16:15 | 1 | 16 |
| 8 | Montevideo City | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 15 |
| 9 | Danubio | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14:15 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | Cerro Largo | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13:14 | -1 | 14 |
| 11 | Wanderers | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12:17 | -5 | 14 |
| 12 | Liverpool M | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 13 |
| 13 | Boston River | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9:13 | -4 | 11 |
| 14 | CA Cerro | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6:15 | -9 | 9 |
| 15 | Juventud | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 10:17 | -7 | 7 |
| 16 | Progreso | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 9:18 | -9 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )
