Result
2:1
17/05/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 15
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Russia | Viju+ Sport |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 1 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 1 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 4', 1 - 0, Fernandez L. (Pen),
- 19', 1 - 1, Villa M. ⚽,
- 42', Cabrera J. 🟨,
- 45', Andrade L. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Rodriguez J. ↓, Lucas Hernandez ↑,
- 46', Milans P. ↓, Suarez D. ↑,
- 52', Villa M. 🟨,
- 60', Lopez L. ↓, Pizzichillo F. ↑,
- 65', David Terans ↓, Silva G. ↑,
- 65', Herrera N. ↓, Machado A. ↑,
- 69', Nunez W. ↓, Costa S. ↑,
- 71', 2 - 1, Fernandez L. ⚽,
- 74', Siles P. ↓, Guzman D. ↑,
- 76', Cabrera J. ↓, Villalba H. ↑,
- 88', Costa S. 🟨,
- 88', Fernandez L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Peñarol de Montevideo
60.8% | Draw
23.2% | Montevideo City Torque
15.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Peñarol de Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Montevideo City Torque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montevideo City Torque than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Peñarol de Montevideo - Montevideo City Torque Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.53 ↓
(1.54) |
3.98 ↑
(3.84) |
5.89 ↓
(5.98) |
7.3%
(7.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Peñarol de Montevideo - Montevideo City Torque?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Peñarol will win (votes: 9 - 81.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Peñarol: 59% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Peñarol (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 2.
- Peñarol has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Montevideo City has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Montevideo City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Peñarol is the team to beat.
- We predict that Peñarol will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:19. (average 1.4:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Peñarol won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.4:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Peñarol de Montevideo won against Montevideo City Torque?
Peñarol de Montevideo has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Montevideo City Torque won against Peñarol de Montevideo?
Montevideo City Torque has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Peñarol de Montevideo - Montevideo City Torque were as follows:
17.04.2024
Peñarol de Montevideo
-
Montevideo City Torque
1:3
18.10.2023
Montevideo City Torque
-
Peñarol de Montevideo
2:3
03.07.2023
Peñarol de Montevideo
-
Montevideo City Torque
2:0
12.03.2023
Peñarol de Montevideo
-
Montevideo City Torque
2:2
24.09.2022
Peñarol de Montevideo
-
Montevideo City Torque
0:1
Latest results of Peñarol de Montevideo
Latest results of Montevideo City Torque
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Penarol | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 21:7 | 14 | 25 |
| 2 | Nacional | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21:9 | 12 | 20 |
| 3 | Montevideo City | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19:11 | 8 | 20 |
| 4 | Boston River | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 18:6 | 12 | 19 |
| 5 | Defensor Sp | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 19 |
| 6 | Liverpool M | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 13:10 | 3 | 18 |
| 7 | Cerro Largo | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 10:9 | 1 | 16 |
| 8 | Progreso | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12:11 | 1 | 14 |
| 9 | Danubio | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14:11 | 3 | 13 |
| 10 | CA Cerro | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 8:12 | -4 | 13 |
| 11 | Miramar | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13:14 | -1 | 11 |
| 12 | Juventud | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 5:8 | -3 | 11 |
| 13 | Racing Montevideo | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7:16 | -9 | 11 |
| 14 | Plaza Colonia | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7:20 | -13 | 5 |
| 15 | Wanderers | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3:14 | -11 | 4 |
| 16 | River Plate | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3:15 | -12 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )
