Peñarol de Montevideo vs Montevideo City Torque – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Uruguayan Primera Division Peñarol de Montevideo - Montevideo City Torque
Result
2:1
17/05/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 15
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoDisney+
russiaRussiaViju+ Sport
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaInter

Match Stats

Ball Possession
64%36%
Total shots
171
Shots on target
61
Corner Kicks
52
Yellow Cards
22
Red Cards
01
Total shots
171
Shots on target
61
Shots off target
110
Corner Kicks
52
Goalkeeper Saves
04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Fernandez L. (Pen),
  • 19', 1 - 1, Villa M. ,
  • 42', Cabrera J. 🟨,
  • 45', Andrade L. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Rodriguez J. , Lucas Hernandez ,
  • 46', Milans P. , Suarez D. ,
  • 52', Villa M. 🟨,
  • 60', Lopez L. , Pizzichillo F. ,
  • 65', David Terans , Silva G. ,
  • 65', Herrera N. , Machado A. ,
  • 69', Nunez W. , Costa S. ,
  • 71', 2 - 1, Fernandez L. ,
  • 74', Siles P. , Guzman D. ,
  • 76', Cabrera J. , Villalba H. ,
  • 88', Costa S. 🟨,
  • 88', Fernandez L. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Peñarol de Montevideo
60.8%
Draw
23.2%
Montevideo City Torque
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.2% 24.2% 15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2% 23.4% 15%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Peñarol de Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • Montevideo City Torque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montevideo City Torque than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • Peñarol de Montevideo - Montevideo City Torque Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.53
    (1.54)
    3.98
    (3.84)
    5.89
    (5.98)
    7.3%
    (7.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Peñarol de Montevideo - Montevideo City Torque?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Peñarol will win (votes: 9 - 81.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Peñarol: 59%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Peñarol (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 2.
    • Peñarol has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Montevideo City has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Montevideo City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Peñarol is the team to beat.
    • We predict that Peñarol will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:19. (average 1.4:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Peñarol won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.4:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Peñarol de Montevideo - Montevideo City Torque were as follows:
    17.04.2024 Peñarol de Montevideo - Montevideo City Torque 1:3
    18.10.2023 Montevideo City Torque - Peñarol de Montevideo 2:3
    03.07.2023 Peñarol de Montevideo - Montevideo City Torque 2:0
    12.03.2023 Peñarol de Montevideo - Montevideo City Torque 2:2
    24.09.2022 Peñarol de Montevideo - Montevideo City Torque 0:1
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cerro Largo33005:149
    2Defensor Sp43013:4-19
    3Boston River42207:258
    4Liverpool M32103:127
    5Penarol32016:336
    6Racing Montevideo32013:216
    7Juventud42024:5-16
    8Nacional42118:624
    9CA Cerro31113:214
    10Danubio31112:204
    11Montevideo City31115:6-14
    12Miramar31024:403
    13Wanderers40131:4-31
    14River Plate30120:3-31
    15Plaza Colonia40131:6-51
    16Progreso30033:7-40

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