Progreso vs Montevideo City Torque – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:5
01/11/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 14
  • Referee: Burgos J. (Uru)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+, VTV+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
613
Shots on target
212
Corner Kicks
16
Yellow Cards
33
Total shots
613
Shots on target
212
Shots off target
41
Corner Kicks
16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 3)
  • 8', Siles P. 🟨,
  • 20', 0 - 1, Obregon E. ,
  • 36', 0 - 2, Neris P. ,
  • 41', 0 - 3, Neris P. ,
  • 44', Garcia A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Lopez F. , Silva G. ,
  • 46', Garcia A. , Colombino A. ,
  • 46', Fernandez N. , Lopez N. ,
  • 49', Silva G. 🟨,
  • 53', Pinheiro A. 🟨,
  • 63', Lemmo I. , Sosa F. ,
  • 67', Obregon E. 🟨,
  • 67', Guzman D. , Kociubinski B. ,
  • 68', 0 - 4, Neris P. ,
  • 71', Siles P. , Costa S. ,
  • 71', Obregon E. , Arevalo K. ,
  • 80', Colombino A. , Silva G. ,
  • 80', Neris P. , Pino L. ,
  • 80', Nunez W. , Taran J. ,
  • 87', Kociubinski B. 🟨,
  • 90+1', 0 - 5, Da Silva N. ,

Chances of winning


Progreso
27.8%
Draw
27.2%
Montevideo City Torque
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.5% 27.9% 44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8% 27.6% 44.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Progreso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • Montevideo City Torque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Progreso aligns with the current prediction.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montevideo City Torque than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • Progreso - Montevideo City Torque Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.33
    (3.38)
    3.43
    (3.33)
    2.06
    (2.08)
    7.7%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Progreso - Montevideo City Torque?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH +0.5 - Progreso (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Progreso will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 62.24%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Progreso will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Progreso (votes: 6 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 5).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Progreso won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Progreso may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Montevideo City is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Progreso won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:18. (average 1.6:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Progreso won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Progreso - Montevideo City Torque were as follows:
    13.06.2025 Montevideo City Torque - Progreso 3:1
    04.05.2025 Montevideo City Torque - Progreso 2:3
    29.10.2023 Progreso - Montevideo City Torque 1:2
    05.10.2022 Montevideo City Torque - Progreso 1:2
    Latest results of Progreso
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Apertura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Montevideo1393122:111130
    2Maldonado1372421:15623
    3Penarol1372419:13623
    4Albion1364322:14822
    5Central Esp1363420:20021
    6Defensor Sp1355311:8320
    7Montevideo City1354419:14519
    8Nacional1361620:18219
    9Danubio1346317:17018
    10Liverpool M1345417:17017
    11Wanderers1352614:19-517
    12Cerro Largo1342713:16-314
    13Boston River1342711:17-614
    14Progreso1324711:20-910
    15CA Cerro132478:19-1110
    16Juventud1323813:20-79

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