Peñarol de Montevideo vs Nacional – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
82:69
08/12/2025 at 19:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Uruguaya

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
7364
Field Goals Made
2828
Field Goals %
38.36%43.75%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
3345
2-Point Field Goals Made
1524
2-Point Field Goals %
45.45%53.33%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
4019
3-Point Field Goals Made
134
3-Point Field Goals %
32.5%21.05%
Free Throws Attempted
2015
Free Throws Made
139
Free Throws %
65%60%
Offensive Rebounds
195
Defensive Rebounds
3429
Total Rebounds
5334
Assists
2012
Blocks
24
Turnovers
1411
Steals
410
Personal Fouls
2023

Chances of winning


Peñarol de Montevideo
47.3%
Nacional
52.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.5% 53.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9% 52.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Peñarol de Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • Peñarol de Montevideo - Nacional Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.94
    (1.97)

    1.74
    (1.71)
    8.9%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 171.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
    What is the prediction for Peñarol de Montevideo - Nacional?
  • Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Peñarol will win (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Peñarol (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 85:87.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 1.
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 953:914. (average 79.4:76.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Peñarol won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 389:357. (average 77.8:71.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Peñarol de Montevideo - Nacional were as follows:
    13.10.2025 Nacional - Peñarol de Montevideo 62:87
    10.03.2025 Nacional - Peñarol de Montevideo 90:72
    18.01.2025 Peñarol de Montevideo - Nacional 85:89
    12.11.2024 Nacional - Peñarol de Montevideo 80:78
    22.04.2024 Peñarol de Montevideo - Nacional 63:67
    Latest results of Peñarol de Montevideo
    Latest results of Nacional
    03.12.2025 Cordón - Nacional 90:109
    20.11.2025 Nacional - Unión Atlética 88:72
    14.11.2025 Malvín - Nacional 82:75
    10.11.2025 Nacional - Hebraica y Macabi 89:79
    Uruguayan Liga Basketball Table
    Main
    PlWLPts
    1Penarol221931933:161139
    2Hebraica y Macabi221481860:179836
    3Malvin221481799:177934
    4Nacional221482031:182834
    5Defensor2212101902:187134
    6Aguada221572022:190433
    7Union Atletica2211111826:181533
    8Bigua2211111944:195433
    9Urunday229131956:189931
    10Goes226161797:196028
    11Welcome224181776:209426
    12Cordon223191771:210423

          Promotion ~ Liga Uruguaya (Winners stage: )
          Liga Uruguaya (Losers stage: )