Nacional vs Peñarol de Montevideo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Basketball Uruguayan Liga Basketball Nacional - Peñarol de Montevideo
Result
90:72
10/03/2025 at 18:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • URUGUAY: Liga Uruguaya - Winners stage

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
6478
Field Goals Made
2828
Field Goals %
43.8%35.9%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
3351
2-Point Field Goals Made
1520
2-Point Field Goals %
45.5%39.2%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
3127
3-Point Field Goals Made
138
3-Point Field Goals %
41.9%29.6%
Free Throws Attempted
2915
Free Throws Made
218
Free Throws %
72.4%53.3%
Offensive Rebounds
814
Defensive Rebounds
3831
Total Rebounds
4645
Assists
1915
Blocks
43
Turnovers
1212
Steals
59
Personal Fouls
2025

Chances of winning


Nacional
62.7%
Peñarol de Montevideo
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.9% 40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.1% 39.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • Peñarol de Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • Nacional - Peñarol de Montevideo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.47
    (1.54)

    2.48
    (2.3)
    8.1%
    (8.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 165.25
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Nacional won 4.
    • Nacional is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Peñarol in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Peñarol could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Nacional will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 10 head-to-head matches Nacional won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 762:794 (average 76.2:79.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Nacional won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 405:405 (average 81:81).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional - Peñarol de Montevideo were as follows:
    18.01.2025 Peñarol de Montevideo - Nacional 85:89
    12.11.2024 Nacional - Peñarol de Montevideo 80:78
    22.04.2024 Peñarol de Montevideo - Nacional 63:67
    05.04.2024 Nacional - Peñarol de Montevideo 94:78
    06.02.2024 Peñarol de Montevideo - Nacional 79:68
    Latest results of Nacional
    05.03.2025 Biguá - Nacional 96:102
    13.02.2025 Nacional - Aguada 91:94
    07.02.2025 Cordón - Nacional 79:86
    03.02.2025 Urupan de Pando - Nacional 65:121
    Latest results of Peñarol de Montevideo
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1NacionalBye
    2Hebraica y MacabiRemeros Mercedes2 : 1
    3PenarolBye
    4ByeDefensor
    5AguadaBye
    6BiguaFerro Carril2 : 0
    7MalvinBye
    8ByeCordon

    Quarter-finals
    1NacionalHebraica y Macabi3 : 0
    2PenarolDefensor2 : 3
    3AguadaBigua3 : 0
    4MalvinCordon3 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1NacionalDefensor3 : 1
    2AguadaMalvin3 : 2

    Final
    1NacionalAguada4 : 3