Result
101:82
25/04/2026 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Uruguaya - Winners stage
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Field goals attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Field goals made |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Field goals % |
|---|
| 0% | 0% |
| 2-point field goals attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| 2-point field goals made |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| 2-point field goals % |
|---|
| 0% | 0% |
| 3-point field goals attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| 3-point field goals made |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| 3-point field goals % |
|---|
| 0% | 0% |
| Free throws attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free throws made |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free throws % |
|---|
| 0% | 0% |
| Offensive rebounds |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Defensive rebounds |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total rebounds |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Assists |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Blocks |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Turnovers |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Steals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Personal fouls |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Chances of winning
Aguada 64.1% | Nacional 35.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aguada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aguada than the current prediction. (-10.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aguada that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional than the current prediction. (+10.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nacional could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Aguada - Nacional Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.51 ↑ (1.44) |
|
2.69 ↑ (2.56) |
3.5% (8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 176.00
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)
What is the prediction for Aguada - Nacional?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -2.5, OT - Aguada (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Aguada (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 86:91.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 4.
- Now, both teams are in good form.
- Aguada may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Nacional might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1767:1806. (average 88.4:90.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nacional won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 870:846. (average 87:84.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Aguada won against Nacional?
Aguada has won 12 of their last 23 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional won against Aguada?
Nacional has won 11 of their last 23 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aguada - Nacional were as follows:
11.04.2026
Nacional
-
Aguada
101:82
20.12.2025
Aguada
-
Nacional
98:94
20.10.2025
Nacional
-
Aguada
82:79
01.06.2025
Nacional
-
Aguada
79:77
30.05.2025
Aguada
-
Nacional
96:97
Latest results of Nacional
Uruguayan Liga Basketball Table
Winners stage | | Pl | W | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Penarol | 30 | 24 | 6 | 2636:2278 | 49 |
| 2 | Nacional | 30 | 20 | 10 | 2740:2466 | 48 |
| 3 | Aguada | 30 | 20 | 10 | 2763:2608 | 46 |
| 4 | Hebraica y Macabi | 30 | 16 | 14 | 2534:2539 | 46 |
| 5 | Malvin | 30 | 18 | 12 | 2417:2444 | 46 |
| 6 | Defensor | 30 | 14 | 16 | 2556:2555 | 44 |
Promotion ~ Liga Uruguaya (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)