Aguada vs Nacional – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
101:82
25/04/2026 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Uruguaya - Winners stage

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
00
Field goals made
00
Field goals %
0%0%
2-point field goals attempts
00
2-point field goals made
00
2-point field goals %
0%0%
3-point field goals attempts
00
3-point field goals made
00
3-point field goals %
0%0%
Free throws attempts
00
Free throws made
00
Free throws %
0%0%
Offensive rebounds
00
Defensive rebounds
00
Total rebounds
00
Assists
00
Blocks
00
Turnovers
00
Steals
00
Personal fouls
00

Chances of winning


Aguada
64.1%
Nacional
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64% 36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4% 46.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aguada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aguada than the current prediction. (-10.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aguada that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional than the current prediction. (+10.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nacional could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Aguada - Nacional Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.51
    (1.44)

    2.69
    (2.56)
    3.5%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 176.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)
    What is the prediction for Aguada - Nacional?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -2.5, OT - Aguada (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Aguada (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 86:91.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 4.
    • Now, both teams are in good form.
    • Aguada may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Nacional might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1767:1806. (average 88.4:90.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nacional won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 870:846. (average 87:84.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Aguada - Nacional were as follows:
    11.04.2026 Nacional - Aguada 101:82
    20.12.2025 Aguada - Nacional 98:94
    20.10.2025 Nacional - Aguada 82:79
    01.06.2025 Nacional - Aguada 79:77
    30.05.2025 Aguada - Nacional 96:97
    Latest results of Aguada
    17.04.2026 Peñarol de Montevideo - Aguada 103:95
    14.04.2026 Aguada - Hebraica y Macabi 101:100
    11.04.2026 Nacional - Aguada 101:82
    26.03.2026 Aguada - Malvín 88:64
    19.03.2026 Aguada - Defensor Sporting 97:81
    Latest results of Nacional
    18.04.2026 Nacional - Flamengo 89:79
    17.04.2026 Nacional - Franca 71:83
    11.04.2026 Nacional - Aguada 101:82
    Uruguayan Liga Basketball Table
    Winners stage
    PlWLPts
    1Penarol302462636:227849
    2Nacional3020102740:246648
    3Aguada3020102763:260846
    4Hebraica y Macabi3016142534:253946
    5Malvin3018122417:244446
    6Defensor3014162556:255544

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