Result
3:1
19/08/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Libertadores - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
- Referee: Roldan W. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3 |
 Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect |
 Belarus | Okko Sport |
 Brazil | Paramount+ |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+, ESPN Premium |
 China | ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 5 |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
 Indonesia | Mola TV |
 Israel | Sport 4 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Malaysia | Mola |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 South-america | ESPN 5 South, ViX Latin America |
 Spain | LaLiga+ app, LaLiga+ |
 Turkey | Exxen, S Sport, S Sport+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Latino, Tubi TV |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.89 | 1.29 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 68% | 32% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 26 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (255/346) | 49% (84/170) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.89 | 1.29 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.09 | 1.66 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 26 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 59 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (255/346) | 49% (84/170) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (38/65) | 24% (13/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (75/140) | 39% (26/67) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (13/41) | 8% (1/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.83 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (14/20) | 56% (10/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 75 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 40 | 55 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.66 | 2.09 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.66 | -0.91 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 7', 1 - 0, Adrian Martinez ⚽, Solari S. (A),
- 15', 1 - 1, Herrera N. ⚽, Remedi E. (A),
- 27', Gularte E. 🟨,
- 37', Martirena Torres G. N. 🟨,
- 45+2', Cortes B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 58', Pardo F. 🟨,
- 61', David Terans 🟨,
- 61', David Terans ↓, Milans P. ↑,
- 70', Silvera M. ↓, Arezo M. ↑,
- 73', Almendra A. E. ↓, Vergara D. ↑,
- 73', Rojo M. ↓, Colombo N. ↑,
- 79', Solari S. ↓, Conechny T. ↑,
- 83', 2 - 1, Adrian Martinez (Pen),
- 87', Rojo M. 🟥,
- 87', Zuculini B. 🟥,
- 88', Arezo M. 🟨,
- 90+3', Arias G. ↓, Cambeses F. ↑,
- 90+3', Balboa A. ↓, Vietto L. ↑,
- 90+3', 3 - 1, Pardo F. ⚽, Martirena Torres G. N. (A),
- 90+4', Remedi E. ↓, Umpierrez L. ↑,
- 90+4', Sosa I. ↓, Lucas Hernandez ↑,
- 90+4', Cabrera J. ↓, Fernandez L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Racing
67.3% | Draw
21.8% | Peñarol de Montevideo
10.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Racing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Racing's performance.Peñarol de Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Peñarol de Montevideo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing than the current prediction. (-9.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Racing that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Peñarol de Montevideo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Racing - Peñarol de Montevideo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.47 ↓
(1.73) |
4.62 ↑
(3.45) |
9.33 ↑
(5.25) |
0.4%
(5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Racing - Peñarol de Montevideo?
Users Predictions:
Racing will win
(36 of 44 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.42% – 93.22%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Racing will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 0-1. 2nd leg.
- Racing is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Peñarol is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Recently, Peñarol has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Racing is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in Racing: Martirena Torres G. N.
(Inactive)
Nardoni J.
(Inactive)
Rojo M.
(Inactive)
Sosa S.
(Inactive)
Zaracho M.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Peñarol: Baez J.
(Inactive)
Cruz A.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Peñarol: Fernandez L.
(Injury)
Milans P.
(Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Racing won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Racing won against Peñarol de Montevideo?
Racing has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Peñarol de Montevideo won against Racing?
Peñarol de Montevideo has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Racing - Peñarol de Montevideo were as follows:
12.08.2025
Peñarol de Montevideo
-
Racing
1:0
Latest results of Peñarol de Montevideo
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Atl. Nacional | Sao Paulo | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Botafogo RJ | LDU Quito | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Libertad Asuncion | River Plate | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | Palmeiras | 0 : 0, 0 : 4 |
| 5 | Fortaleza | Velez Sarsfield | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Penarol | Racing Club | 1 : 3, 1 : 0 |
| 7 | Cerro Porteno | Estudiantes L.P. | 0 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 8 | Flamengo RJ | Internacional | 2 : 0, 1 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Sao Paulo | LDU Quito | |
| 2 | River Plate | Palmeiras | |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | Racing Club | |
| 4 | Estudiantes L.P. | Flamengo RJ | |
