Racing vs Peñarol de Montevideo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
19/08/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Libertadores - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Roldan W. (Col)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaStarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
belarusBelarusOkko Sport
brazilBrazilParamount+
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
chileChileDisney+, ESPN Premium
chinaChinaZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 5
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
indonesiaIndonesiaMola TV
israelIsraelSport 4
italyItalyComo TV
malaysiaMalaysiaMola
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 2
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
peruPeruDisney+
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 5 South, ViX Latin America
spainSpainLaLiga+ app, LaLiga+
turkeyTurkeyExxen, S Sport, S Sport+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Latino, Tubi TV
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.891.29
Ball Possession
68%32%
Total shots
2616
Shots on target
76
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
97
Passes
74% (255/346)49% (84/170)
Yellow Cards
24
Red Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
2.891.29
xG on target (xGOT)
2.091.66
Total shots
2616
Shots on target
76
Shots off target
96
Blocked Shots
104
Shots inside the Box
2010
Shots outside the Box
66
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
97
Touches in opposition box
5918
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1314
Passes
74% (255/346)49% (84/170)
Long passes
58% (38/65)24% (13/55)
Passes in final third
54% (75/140)39% (26/67)
Crosses
32% (13/41)8% (1/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.100.83
Throw-ins
2324
Fouls
1413
Tackles
70% (14/20)56% (10/18)
Duels won
7554
Clearances
4055
Interceptions
155
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
54
xGOT faced
1.662.09
Goals prevented
0.66-0.91

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Adrian Martinez , Solari S. (A),
  • 15', 1 - 1, Herrera N. , Remedi E. (A),
  • 27', Gularte E. 🟨,
  • 37', Martirena Torres G. N. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Cortes B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 58', Pardo F. 🟨,
  • 61', David Terans 🟨,
  • 61', David Terans , Milans P. ,
  • 70', Silvera M. , Arezo M. ,
  • 73', Almendra A. E. , Vergara D. ,
  • 73', Rojo M. , Colombo N. ,
  • 79', Solari S. , Conechny T. ,
  • 83', 2 - 1, Adrian Martinez (Pen),
  • 87', Rojo M. 🟥,
  • 87', Zuculini B. 🟥,
  • 88', Arezo M. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Arias G. , Cambeses F. ,
  • 90+3', Balboa A. , Vietto L. ,
  • 90+3', 3 - 1, Pardo F. , Martirena Torres G. N. (A),
  • 90+4', Remedi E. , Umpierrez L. ,
  • 90+4', Sosa I. , Lucas Hernandez ,
  • 90+4', Cabrera J. , Fernandez L. ,

Chances of winning


Racing
67.3%
Draw
21.8%
Peñarol de Montevideo
10.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.6% 27.4% 18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5% 28.8% 17.1%

Racing - Peñarol de Montevideo Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.47
(1.73)
4.62
(3.45)
9.33
(5.25)
0.4%
(5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Racing - Peñarol de Montevideo?
  • Users Predictions: Racing will win (36 of 44 users predict this - 81.82%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 70.42%93.22%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Racing will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 0-1. 2nd leg.
    • Racing is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Peñarol is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Recently, Peñarol has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Racing is the undeniable favorite.
    • There will not play in Racing: Martirena Torres G. N. (Inactive) Nardoni J. (Inactive) Rojo M. (Inactive) Sosa S. (Inactive) Zaracho M. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Peñarol: Baez J. (Inactive) Cruz A. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Peñarol: Fernandez L. (Injury) Milans P. (Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Racing won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Racing - Peñarol de Montevideo were as follows:
    12.08.2025 Peñarol de Montevideo - Racing 1:0
    Latest results of Racing
    15.08.2025 Racing - Tigre 1:2
    09.08.2025 Boca Juniors - Racing 1:1
    03.08.2025 Racing - Deportivo Riestra 3:0
    Draw
    2026

    Quarter-finals
    1JuventudU. Catolica
    2ByeGuarani
    3Liverpool M.Bye
    4ByeInd. Medellin
    5The StrongestDep. Tachira
    6ByeDeportes Tolima
    7O'HigginsBye
    8ByeBahia
    92 de MayoAlianza Lima
    10ByeSporting Cristal
    11CaraboboBye
    12ByeHuachipato
    13Barcelona SCBye
    14ByeArgentinos Jrs
    15Nacional PotosiBye
    16ByeBotafogo RJ

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1Guarani
    2Liverpool M.Ind. Medellin
    3TBD #5Deportes Tolima
    4O'HigginsBahia
    5TBD #9Sporting Cristal
    6CaraboboHuachipato
    7Barcelona SCArgentinos Jrs
    8Nacional PotosiBotafogo RJ

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8