Result
0:3
06/05/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 4
- Referee: Garay C. (Chi)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium |
 Argentina | Disney+, FOX Sports 2 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN |
 Indonesia | Mola TV |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 South-america | ESPN 5 South, ESPN South |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 1.92 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (227/297) | 77% (303/391) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 1.92 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 4.01 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 8 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (227/297) | 77% (303/391) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (26/49) | 32% (21/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (50/83) | 63% (83/132) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (5/13) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.28 | 0.86 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 3 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 29% (2/7) | 62% (13/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 29 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 4.01 | 0.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 34', Herrera J. ↓, Suarez C. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 46', Mendoza G. ↓, Otazu M. ↑,
- 46', Perez R. ↓, Remedi E. ↑,
- 46', Olivera M. ↓, Lucas Hernandez ↑,
- 49', Leo Coelho 🟨,
- 55', Blanco O. 🟨,
- 60', Umpierrez L. ↓, Cabrera J. ↑,
- 60', Baez J. ↓, Garcia Cardozo D. G. ↑,
- 65', Martinez J. ↓, Rodriguez H. ↑,
- 75', 0 - 1, Silvera M. ⚽, Fernandez L. (A),
- 81', Barbosa Quiroz L. R. ↓, Arce S. ↑,
- 81', Viveros S. ↓, Aguilar J. ↑,
- 85', Montenegro J. 🟨,
- 86', Sosa I. ↓, Mendez J. ↑,
- 90+2', 0 - 2, Lucas Hernandez ⚽, Cabrera J. (A),
- 90+5', 0 - 3, Silvera M. ⚽, De Amores G. (A),
Chances of winning
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
24.3% | Draw
28.4% | Peñarol de Montevideo
47.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Antonio Bulo Bulo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Peñarol de Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Antonio Bulo Bulo than the current prediction. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
San Antonio Bulo Bulo - Peñarol de Montevideo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.88 ↓
(4.01) |
3.34 ↓
(3.56) |
2.01 ↑
(1.9) |
5.6%
(5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for San Antonio Bulo Bulo - Peñarol de Montevideo?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. SA Bulo Bulo will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Peñarol will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Peñarol: 23.1% – 88.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. SA Bulo Bulo (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- SA Bulo Bulo is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Peñarol is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- SA Bulo Bulo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Peñarol is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Peñarol: Avenatti F.
(Muscle Injury)
Cabrera J.
(Muscle Injury)
Darias E.
(Knee Injury)
Olase T.
(Knee Injury)
Rodriguez J.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, SA Bulo Bulo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
How many head-to-head matches has San Antonio Bulo Bulo won against Peñarol de Montevideo?
San Antonio Bulo Bulo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Peñarol de Montevideo won against San Antonio Bulo Bulo?
Peñarol de Montevideo has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between San Antonio Bulo Bulo - Peñarol de Montevideo were as follows:
08.04.2025
Peñarol de Montevideo
-
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
2:0
Latest results of San Antonio Bulo Bulo
Latest results of Peñarol de Montevideo
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Atl. Nacional | Sao Paulo | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Botafogo RJ | LDU Quito | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Libertad Asuncion | River Plate | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | Palmeiras | 0 : 0, 0 : 4 |
| 5 | Fortaleza | Velez Sarsfield | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Penarol | Racing Club | 1 : 3, 1 : 0 |
| 7 | Cerro Porteno | Estudiantes L.P. | 0 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 8 | Flamengo RJ | Internacional | 2 : 0, 1 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Sao Paulo | LDU Quito | |
| 2 | River Plate | Palmeiras | |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | Racing Club | |
| 4 | Estudiantes L.P. | Flamengo RJ | |
