Result
1:0
21/08/2024 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Libertadores - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
- Referee: Garay C. (Chi)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | StarTimes App |
 Argentina | Fox Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1, Moja TV |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, FuboTV |
 Chile | ESPN Premium |
 Colombia | ESPN |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Indonesia | Mola TV |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Mexico | ESPN |
 Montenegro | Arena Premium 1 |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Nigeria | Sporty TV |
 North-central-america | ESPNPlay Caribbean |
 North-macedonia | Arena Premium 1 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 1 |
 South-america | ESPN South |
 Spain | beIN Sports |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, FuboTV |
 World | Disney+, Fanatiz, LaLiga+ app |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 75% | 25% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 26 | 8 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 19 | 6 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 33 | 20 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Attacks |
|---|
| 156 | 51 |
| Dangerous Attacks |
|---|
| 66 | 16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 17', Wayar D. 🟨,
- 44', 1 - 0, Triverio E. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Wayar D. ↓, Guerrero S. ↑,
- 53', Aguerre W. 🟨,
- 57', Ayarza A. 🟨,
- 60', Caire M. ↓, Enoumba M. ↑,
- 60', Amoroso J. ↓, Bruno Miranda ↑,
- 61', Silvera M. ↓, Batista F. ↑,
- 61', Darias E. ↓, Lucas Hernandez ↑,
- 63', Aimar D. 🟨,
- 64', Fernandez L. 🟨,
- 75', Ayarza A. ↓, Sotomayor G. ↑,
- 77', Cabrera J. ↓, Baez J. ↑,
- 77', Fernandez L. ↓, Ramirez G. ↑,
- 80', Chura J. ↓, Roca C. ↑,
- 85', Milans P. ↓, Mayada C. ↑,
- 90', Baez J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
The Strongest
64.5% | Draw
20.4% | Peñarol de Montevideo
15.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The Strongest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that The Strongest's form might have worsened.Peñarol de Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for The Strongest than the current prediction. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
The Strongest - Peñarol de Montevideo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.46 ↑
(1.35) |
4.66 ↓
(5.5) |
6.2 ↓
(7.75) |
5.9%
(5.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for The Strongest - Peñarol de Montevideo?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. The Strongest will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Peñarol will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for The Strongest: 45% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-4.
- The Strongest is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- Recent matches The Strongest is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Peñarol is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Peñarol could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently The Strongest have a series of guest games.
- Recently Peñarol have a series of home games.
- In this match The Strongest is the unquestionable favorite.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches The Strongest won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-6.
- Including matches at home between the teams The Strongest won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.
How many head-to-head matches has The Strongest won against Peñarol de Montevideo?
The Strongest has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Peñarol de Montevideo won against The Strongest?
Peñarol de Montevideo has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between The Strongest - Peñarol de Montevideo were as follows:
14.08.2024
Peñarol de Montevideo
-
The Strongest
4:0
Latest results of The Strongest
Latest results of Peñarol de Montevideo
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Atl. Nacional | Sao Paulo | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Botafogo RJ | LDU Quito | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Libertad Asuncion | River Plate | 0 : 0 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | Palmeiras | 0 : 4 |
| 5 | Fortaleza | Velez Sarsfield | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Penarol | Racing Club | 1 : 3, 1 : 0 |
| 7 | Cerro Porteno | Estudiantes L.P. | 0 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 8 | Flamengo RJ | Internacional | 2 : 0, 1 : 0 |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
