Result
2:3
21/02/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Campionato Sammarinese - Round 22
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 San-marino | San Marino RTV |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 30', 0 - 1, Garcia Rufer A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 56', 0 - 2, Raschi J. ⚽,
- 61', 0 - 3, Raschi J. ⚽,
- 65', 1 - 3, Pintore M. ⚽,
- 80', 2 - 3, De Angelis M. (Own goal),
Chances of winning
Pennarossa
9.7% | Draw
18.5% | Folgore
71.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pennarossa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)Folgore has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pennarossa than the current prediction. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Folgore than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Pennarossa - Folgore Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
9.36 ↑
(7) |
4.94 ↑
(4.6) |
1.27 ↓
(1.35) |
9.8%
(10.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pennarossa won 0.
- Pennarossa is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Folgore is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In this match, Folgore is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Pennarossa won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:26. (average 1.3:2.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pennarossa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 2.3:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Pennarossa won against Folgore?
Pennarossa has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Folgore won against Pennarossa?
Folgore has won 6 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pennarossa - Folgore were as follows:
25.10.2025
Folgore
-
Pennarossa
3:0
22.01.2025
Folgore
-
Pennarossa
2:2
13.04.2024
Pennarossa
-
Folgore
2:4
07.01.2024
Folgore
-
Pennarossa
8:0
25.10.2023
Pennarossa
-
Folgore
2:4
Latest results of Pennarossa
Latest results of Folgore
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tre Fiori | 28 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 61:12 | 49 | 69 |
| 2 | Virtus | 28 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 61:19 | 42 | 66 |
| 3 | Tre Penne | 28 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 64:17 | 47 | 64 |
| 4 | La Fiorita ✔ | 28 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 59:23 | 36 | 51 |
| 5 | Folgore ✔ | 28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 57:30 | 27 | 51 |
| 6 | Domagnano ✔ | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 54:29 | 25 | 46 |
| 7 | Fiorentino | 28 | 13 | 4 | 11 | 32:39 | -7 | 43 |
| 8 | Cosmos | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 27:20 | 7 | 39 |
| 9 | Libertas | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 31:51 | -20 | 35 |
| 10 | Juvenes/Dogana | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 31:36 | -5 | 33 |
| 11 | San Giovanni | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 24:37 | -13 | 31 |
| 12 | Pennarossa | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 28:52 | -24 | 30 |
| 13 | Faetano | 28 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 22:52 | -30 | 22 |
| 14 | San Marino Academy U22 | 28 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 22:56 | -34 | 15 |
| 15 | Cailungo | 28 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 21:64 | -43 | 10 |
| 16 | Murata | 28 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 17:74 | -57 | -2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
La Fiorita is Qualified for Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Folgore is Qualified for Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Domagnano is Qualified for Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
