Faetano vs Folgore – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
27/01/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Campionato Sammarinese - Round 18

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 14', 0 - 1, Malaponti F. , Garcia A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 71', 0 - 2, Adam , Cateni F. (A),

Chances of winning


Faetano
12.3%
Draw
21.7%
Folgore
65.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
11.6% 19.4% 69%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.1% 18.6% 71.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Faetano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • Folgore has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Faetano than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Folgore than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Folgore could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Faetano - Folgore Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    7.34
    (7.92)
    4.16
    (4.73)
    1.37
    (1.33)
    10.6%
    (9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Faetano won 1.
    • Faetano is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Folgore has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Folgore may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Folgore is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Faetano won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 0.9:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Faetano won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Faetano - Folgore were as follows:
    21.09.2025 Folgore - Faetano 2:0
    05.04.2025 Folgore - Faetano 1:1
    24.02.2024 Folgore - Faetano 4:1
    04.11.2023 Faetano - Folgore 4:1
    12.02.2023 Folgore - Faetano 0:0
    Latest results of Faetano
    20.01.2026 Tre Penne - Faetano 3:0
    17.01.2026 Faetano - Murata 2:0
    20.12.2025 Tre Fiori - Faetano 3:0
    13.12.2025 Faetano - Fiorentino 0:3
    07.12.2025 Domagnano - Faetano 4:1
    Latest results of Folgore
    21.01.2026 Folgore - Virtus 1:2
    17.01.2026 Cailungo - Folgore 0:1
    14.12.2025 Folgore - Juvenes-Dogana 1:1
    06.12.2025 Cosmos - Folgore 1:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Virtus (2)Bye
    2Juvenes/Dogana (9)Libertas (10)1 : 1
    3Folgore (5)Bye
    4ByeDomagnano (6)
    5Tre Penne (3)Bye
    6Cosmos (8)Pennarossa (11)3 : 0
    7La Fiorita (4)Bye
    8ByeFiorentino (7)

    Quarter-finals
    1Virtus (2)Juvenes/Dogana (9)
    2Folgore (5)Domagnano (6)1 : 0
    3Tre Penne (3)Cosmos (8)
    4La Fiorita (4)Fiorentino (7)1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2

    3rd place