Result
2:1
18/10/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Campionato Sammarinese - Round 6
Chances of winning
Pennarossa
18.8% | Draw
19.6% | San Giovanni
61.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pennarossa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)San Giovanni has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pennarossa than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Giovanni than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Pennarossa - San Giovanni Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.84 ↑
(4.67) |
4.64 ↓
(4.73) |
1.48 ↓
(1.5) |
10%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 13 and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pennarossa won 1.
- Recent form of Pennarossa has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- San Giovanni has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- San Giovanni may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, San Giovanni is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Pennarossa won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1.3:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pennarossa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 1.5:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Pennarossa won against San Giovanni?
Pennarossa has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has San Giovanni won against Pennarossa?
San Giovanni has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pennarossa - San Giovanni were as follows:
02.11.2024
Pennarossa
-
San Giovanni
0:5
16.12.2023
Pennarossa
-
San Giovanni
0:3
22.01.2023
San Giovanni
-
Pennarossa
1:1
03.09.2022
Pennarossa
-
San Giovanni
4:0
Latest results of Pennarossa
Latest results of San Giovanni
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Virtus | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 17:4 | 13 | 19 |
| 2 | Tre Fiori | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 12:2 | 10 | 19 |
| 3 | Folgore | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 15:4 | 11 | 15 |
| 4 | Domagnano | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 18:4 | 14 | 14 |
| 5 | Tre Penne | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12:4 | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | La Fiorita | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 19:7 | 12 | 10 |
| 7 | Cosmos | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:5 | 4 | 10 |
| 8 | Juvenes/Dogana | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 9 |
| 9 | Faetano | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6:13 | -7 | 7 |
| 10 | Libertas | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:12 | -5 | 6 |
| 11 | Fiorentino | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4:11 | -7 | 6 |
| 12 | Pennarossa | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4:16 | -12 | 6 |
| 13 | San Giovanni | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:12 | -7 | 5 |
| 14 | Cailungo | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3:13 | -10 | 4 |
| 15 | San Marino Academy U22 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4:20 | -16 | 1 |
| 16 | Murata | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8:16 | -8 | -4 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
