Penya Independent vs Formentera – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11 Penya Independent - Formentera
Result
1:3
19/04/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 31

Match Stats

Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 16', 0 - 1, Gorriz A. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 51', 0 - 2, Losada F. ,
  • 62', 🟥,
  • 78', 0 - 3, Kata N. ,
  • 90', 1 - 3, ,

Chances of winning


Penya Independent
36.7%
Draw
30.1%
Formentera
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.6% 30.3% 40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2% 29.9% 40.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Penya Independent has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Penya Independent's performance.
  • Formentera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Formentera might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penya Independent than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Penya Independent that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Formentera than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Formentera could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Penya Independent - Formentera Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.47
    (3.07)
    3.01
    (3)
    2.73
    (2.27)
    10.2%
    (10%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent matches Penya Independent is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Formentera is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Penya Independent won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1:7 (average 0.3:2.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Penya Independent won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Penya Independent - Formentera were as follows:
    06.12.2024 Formentera - Penya Independent 1:0
    28.04.2024 Formentera - Penya Independent 3:0
    16.12.2023 Penya Independent - Formentera 1:3
    Latest results of Penya Independent
    Latest results of Formentera
    06.04.2025 Constancia - Formentera 3:2
    30.03.2025 Formentera - Porreres 1:0
    22.03.2025 Binissalem - Formentera 1:1
    16.03.2025 Formentera - Portmany 4:3
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Final
    1SocuellamosCayon2 : 0, 1 : 1
    2CastellonenseBurgos CF B0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3CortesBeasain0 : 2, 1 : 2
    4Girona BSan Fernando2 : 0, 1 : 0
    5PulpilenoSarriana2 : 3, 0 : 0
    6LlerenenseLealtad1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Atletico CentralJaen1 : 2, 0 : 1
    8PorreresAtletico Monzon2 : 0, 0 : 1
    9VareaRayo Vallecano B0 : 3, 1 : 2