Penya Independent vs Platges de Calvià – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
15/03/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • (2 - 1)

Chances of winning


Penya Independent
47.6%
Draw
28.6%
Platges de Calvià
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53% 26.9% 20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1% 27.4% 19.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Penya Independent has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Penya Independent's form might have worsened.
  • Platges de Calvià has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penya Independent than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Penya Independent, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Platges de Calvià than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • Penya Independent - Platges de Calvià Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.91
    (1.72)
    3.18
    (3.38)
    3.83
    (4.54)
    9.8%
    (9.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • In this match Penya Independent is a favorite.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Penya Independent won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2 (average 0.3:0.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Penya Independent won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Penya Independent - Platges de Calvià were as follows:
    11.12.2024 Platges de Calvià - Penya Independent 1:0
    12.02.2023 Penya Independent - Platges de Calvià 1:1
    09.10.2022 Platges de Calvià - Penya Independent 0:0
    Latest results of Penya Independent
    Latest results of Platges de Calvià
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mallorca B30235287:206774
    2Manacor30234364:313373
    3Pena Deportiva30187557:263161
    4Constancia291541047:262149
    5Llosetense29147848:351349
    6Inter Ibiza301451139:37247
    7Formentera301112734:231145
    8Mercadal281341125:25043
    9Cardassar301071332:50-1837
    10Binissalem30991223:31-836
    11Santanyi301061437:52-1536
    12Platges de Calvia291051433:37-435
    13Son Cladera301041636:50-1434
    14Alcudia301031730:56-2633
    15Portmany30841822:45-2328
    16Felanitx294111426:44-1823
    17Collerense304101634:55-2122
    18Rotlet Molinar30471928:59-3119

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