Penya Independent vs Platges de Calvià – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
15/03/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • (2 - 1)

Chances of winning


Penya Independent
47.6%
Draw
28.6%
Platges de Calvià
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53% 26.9% 20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1% 27.4% 19.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Penya Independent has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Penya Independent's form might have worsened.
  • Platges de Calvià has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penya Independent than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Penya Independent, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Platges de Calvià than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • Penya Independent - Platges de Calvià Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.91
    (1.72)
    3.18
    (3.38)
    3.83
    (4.54)
    9.8%
    (9.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • In this match Penya Independent is a favorite.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Penya Independent won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2 (average 0.3:0.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Penya Independent won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Penya Independent - Platges de Calvià were as follows:
    11.12.2024 Platges de Calvià - Penya Independent 1:0
    12.02.2023 Penya Independent - Platges de Calvià 1:1
    09.10.2022 Platges de Calvià - Penya Independent 0:0
    Latest results of Penya Independent
    Latest results of Platges de Calvià
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mallorca B32255297:217680
    2Manacor32244468:343476
    3Pena Deportiva32198566:283865
    4Constancia321751056:282856
    5Llosetense32159856:381854
    6Inter Ibiza321551242:39350
    7Formentera321212835:26948
    8Mercadal321441428:36-846
    9Cardassar321181334:51-1741
    10Platges de Calvia321161536:38-239
    11Santanyi321081440:55-1538
    12Binissalem329101323:33-1037
    13Alcudia321141734:58-2437
    14Son Cladera321051737:58-2135
    15Portmany32861824:47-2330
    16Collerense325101739:61-2225
    17Felanitx324111727:57-3023
    18Rotlet Molinar32482032:66-3420

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