Ospitaletto vs Pergolettese – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie C Group A Ospitaletto - Pergolettese
Result
1:2
12/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - Group A - Round 4
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalySKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254

Match Stats

Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
68
Shots on target
34
Corner Kicks
34
Yellow Cards
23
Red Cards
10
Total shots
68
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
34
Corner Kicks
34
Goalkeeper Saves
22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 35', 0 - 1, Dore S. ,
  • 39', 1 - 1, Gobbi F. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 57', Benvenuto M. , Tremolada M. ,
  • 59', Tremolada M. 🟨,
  • 60', Possenti M. 🟥,
  • 60', 🟨,
  • 64', Bane A. 🟨,
  • 65', Gobbi F. , Sina S. ,
  • 71', Gualandris M. , Pavanello A. ,
  • 71', Messaggi C. , Guarneri M. ,
  • 72', Tomaselli G. , Corti N. ,
  • 75', 1 - 2, Ferrandino D. ,
  • 76', Ferrandino D. 🟨,
  • 82', Ferrandino D. , Antolini J. ,
  • 82', Dore S. , Jaouhari Z. ,
  • 82', Bertoli M. , Torri A. ,
  • 82', Mondini G. , Orlandi A. ,
  • 88', Orlandi A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Ospitaletto
35.2%
Draw
33.2%
Pergolettese
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.1% 29.7% 30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9% 31% 28.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ospitaletto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • Pergolettese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ospitaletto than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ospitaletto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pergolettese than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • Ospitaletto - Pergolettese Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.68
    (2.28)
    2.84
    (3.07)
    2.98
    (3.02)
    6.2%
    (9.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Recently, Ospitaletto has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Pergolettese has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ospitaletto won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ospitaletto - Pergolettese were as follows:
    02.08.2025 Pergolettese - Ospitaletto 0:0
    Latest results of Ospitaletto
    07.09.2025 Triestina - Ospitaletto 1:1
    23.08.2025 Lecco - Ospitaletto 2:1
    17.08.2025 Lecco - Ospitaletto 0:1
    02.08.2025 Pergolettese - Ospitaletto 0:0
    Latest results of Pergolettese
    Italian Serie C Group A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1L.R. Vicenza43108:1710
    2Lecco43107:2510
    3Brescia430111:389
    4Pergolettese43018:539
    5Arzignano42116:517
    6Renate42116:607
    7Alcione Milano42113:217
    8Pro Vercelli42025:10-56
    9Trento41215:505
    10Inter U2341215:505
    11Giana Erminio41213:4-15
    12Virtus Verona41126:604
    13Cittadella41123:5-24
    14Novara40403:304
    15Dolomiti Bellunesi40314:7-33
    16AlbinoLeffe40227:9-22
    17Pro Patria40225:7-22
    18Ospitaletto40223:5-22
    19Lumezzane40043:11-80
    20Triestina41214:40-15

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
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          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation