Result
1:0
25/01/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group A - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 256 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 6', Lambrughi A. 🟨,
- 36', 1 - 0, Jaouhari Z. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 47', Ievoli M. 🟨,
- 54', Guarneri M. ↓, Maffioletti L. ↑,
- 54', Sinn L. ↓, Casali M. ↑,
- 59', Ferrandino D. 🟨,
- 62', Tremolada M. ↓, Dore S. ↑,
- 69', Aidoo M. 🟨,
- 72', Bertoli M. ↓, Pavanello A. ↑,
- 75', Capoferri M. ↓, Bane A. ↑,
- 75', Jaouhari Z. ↓, Arini M. ↑,
- 81', Pala A. ↓, Antolini J. ↑,
- 81', Ferrandino D. ↓, Orlandi A. ↑,
- 85', Gualandris M. ↓, Mondini G. ↑,
- 86', Ievoli M. ↓, Maucci G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Pergolettese
32.6% | Draw
31.4% | Ospitaletto
36% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pergolettese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)Ospitaletto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pergolettese than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pergolettese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ospitaletto than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Pergolettese - Ospitaletto Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.83 ↑
(2.47) |
2.93 ↓
(3.13) |
2.56 ↓
(2.76) |
8.6%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 13).
- Pergolettese has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Ospitaletto is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Pergolettese won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Pergolettese won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Pergolettese won against Ospitaletto?
Pergolettese has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ospitaletto won against Pergolettese?
Ospitaletto has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pergolettese - Ospitaletto were as follows:
12.09.2025
Ospitaletto
-
Pergolettese
1:2
02.08.2025
Pergolettese
-
Ospitaletto
0:0
Latest results of Pergolettese
Latest results of Ospitaletto
Italian Serie C Group A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | L.R. Vicenza | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 51:18 | 33 | 72 |
| 2 | Brescia | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 43:21 | 22 | 56 |
| 3 | Trento | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 45:31 | 14 | 51 |
| 4 | Renate | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 40:26 | 14 | 51 |
| 5 | Lecco | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 35:26 | 9 | 50 |
| 6 | Alcione Milano | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 30:18 | 12 | 48 |
| 7 | Cittadella | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 36:33 | 3 | 47 |
| 8 | Inter U23 | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 34:31 | 3 | 42 |
| 9 | Lumezzane | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 33:33 | 0 | 40 |
| 10 | Novara | 30 | 7 | 18 | 5 | 31:28 | 3 | 39 |
| 11 | Giana Erminio | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 27:30 | -3 | 39 |
| 12 | Pro Vercelli | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 32:42 | -10 | 38 |
| 13 | AlbinoLeffe | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 39:41 | -2 | 37 |
| 14 | Ospitaletto | 30 | 7 | 13 | 10 | 31:32 | -1 | 34 |
| 15 | Arzignano | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 39:44 | -5 | 34 |
| 16 | Pergolettese | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 29:40 | -11 | 32 |
| 17 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 27:48 | -21 | 32 |
| 18 | Virtus Verona | 30 | 3 | 12 | 15 | 27:44 | -17 | 21 |
| 19 | Pro Patria | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 23:54 | -31 | 18 |
| 20 | Triestina | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 32:44 | -12 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation
