Result
2:1
25/04/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group A - Round 38
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 257 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 4', 1 - 0, Careccia S. (Pen),
- 9', 2 - 0, Tonoli D. ⚽,
- 28', 2 - 1, Rocco D. ⚽,
- 43', Palazzi A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Rocco D. ↓, Curatolo D. ↑,
- 65', Di Biase G. ↓, Anelli N. ↑,
- 69', Piran L. ↓, Citterio G. ↑,
- 69', Mallamo A. ↓, Nicco G. ↑,
- 75', Palazzi A. ↓, Cavalli T. ↑,
- 77', Careccia S. 🟨,
- 79', Albertini A. ↓, Bignami R. ↑,
- 80', Careccia S. ↓, Fiorani M. ↑,
- 85', Vaglica G. 🟨,
- 87', Lambrughi A. 🟨,
- 90+2', Arini M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Pergolettese
55.9% | Draw
29.4% | Pro Patria
14.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pergolettese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pergolettese's performance.Pro Patria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pro Patria might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pergolettese than the current prediction. (-22.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pergolettese that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pro Patria than the current prediction. (+17.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pro Patria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Pergolettese - Pro Patria Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.67 ↓
(2.68) |
3.18 ↑
(2.67) |
6.35 ↑
(2.95) |
7.1%
(8.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Pergolettese - Pro Patria?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Pergolettese (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Pergolettese will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 15 and 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
- Pro Patria is Serie C ~ Play Out
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Pergolettese won 1.
- Pergolettese has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Pro Patria is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Pergolettese will have a mini benefit in this match.
- There will not play in Pergolettese: Abubakar S.
(Inactive)
Jaouhari Z.
(Injury)
Olivieri E.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Pro Patria: Barlocco L.
(Inactive)
Coccolo L.
(Yellow Cards)
Ferri D.
(Yellow Cards)
Lombardoni M.
(Inactive)
Mehic A.
(Inactive)
Pitou J.
(Yellow Cards)
Sassaro A.
(Injury)
Travaglini C.
(Inactive)
- Our prediction for today's Pro Patria to win the game is with odds 3.9.
- Last 16 head-to-head matches Pergolettese won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 15:20 (average 0.9:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Pergolettese won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7:8 (average 1:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Pergolettese won against Pro Patria?
Pergolettese has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pro Patria won against Pergolettese?
Pro Patria has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pergolettese - Pro Patria were as follows:
15.12.2024
Pro Patria
-
Pergolettese
1:1
11.08.2024
Pro Patria
-
Pergolettese
1:0
10.02.2024
Pro Patria
-
Pergolettese
2:0
29.09.2023
Pergolettese
-
Pro Patria
0:1
18.02.2023
Pro Patria
-
Pergolettese
1:2
Latest results of Pergolettese
Latest results of Pro Patria
Draw
Play Offs1/32-finals| 1 | Crotone | Bye | |
| 2 | Benevento | Juventus U23 | 1 : 5 |
| 4 | Bye | FeralpiSalo | |
| 8 | Bye | L.R. Vicenza | |
| 9 | Renate | Arzignano | 0 : 0 |
| 10 | Giana Erminio | Virtus Verona | 1 : 0 |
| 12 | Bye | Monopoli | |
| 16 | Bye | Ternana | |
| 17 | AlbinoLeffe | Bye | |
| 18 | Trento | Atalanta U23 | 1 : 2 |
| 20 | Bye | Torres | |
| 24 | Bye | Audace Cerignola | |
| 25 | Arezzo | Gubbio | 3 : 1 |
| 26 | Vis Pesaro | Pontedera | 1 : 1 |
| 28 | Bye | Rimini | |
| 29 | Catania | Giugliano | 3 : 2 |
| 30 | Potenza | Picerno | 2 : 0 |
| 31 | Pescara | Bye | |
| 32 | Pineto | Pianese | 0 : 1 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Crotone | Juventus U23 | 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Bye | FeralpiSalo | |
| 4 | Bye | L.R. Vicenza | |
| 5 | Renate | Giana Erminio | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Bye | Monopoli | |
| 8 | Bye | Ternana | |
| 9 | AlbinoLeffe | Atalanta U23 | 1 : 3 |
| 10 | Bye | Torres | |
| 12 | Bye | Audace Cerignola | |
| 13 | Arezzo | Vis Pesaro | 0 : 1 |
| 14 | Bye | Rimini | |
| 15 | Catania | Potenza | 1 : 0 |
| 16 | Pescara | Pianese | 2 : 1 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Crotone | FeralpiSalo | 1 : 2, 3 : 1 |
| 2 | Bye | L.R. Vicenza | |
| 3 | Giana Erminio | Monopoli | 3 : 1, 3 : 1 |
| 4 | Bye | Ternana | |
| 5 | Atalanta U23 | Torres | 1 : 2, 7 : 1 |
| 6 | Bye | Audace Cerignola | |
| 7 | Vis Pesaro | Rimini | 4 : 3, 1 : 1 |
| 8 | Catania | Pescara | 2 : 1, 0 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Crotone | L.R. Vicenza | 0 : 1, 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Giana Erminio | Ternana | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Atalanta U23 | Audace Cerignola | 2 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 4 | Vis Pesaro | Pescara | 0 : 2, 2 : 4 |
Semi-finals| 1 | L.R. Vicenza | Ternana | 1 : 3, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Audace Cerignola | Pescara | 1 : 1, 1 : 4 |
Final| 1 | Ternana | Pescara | 1 : 1, 0 : 1 |
