Result
2:1
25/04/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group A - Round 38
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 257 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 4', 1 - 0, Careccia S. (Pen),
- 9', 2 - 0, Tonoli D. ⚽,
- 28', 2 - 1, Rocco D. ⚽,
- 43', Palazzi A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Rocco D. ↓, Curatolo D. ↑,
- 65', Di Biase G. ↓, Anelli N. ↑,
- 69', Piran L. ↓, Citterio G. ↑,
- 69', Mallamo A. ↓, Nicco G. ↑,
- 75', Palazzi A. ↓, Cavalli T. ↑,
- 77', Careccia S. 🟨,
- 79', Albertini A. ↓, Bignami R. ↑,
- 80', Careccia S. ↓, Fiorani M. ↑,
- 85', Vaglica G. 🟨,
- 87', Lambrughi A. 🟨,
- 90+2', Arini M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Pergolettese
55.9% | Draw
29.4% | Pro Patria
14.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pergolettese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pergolettese's performance.Pro Patria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pro Patria might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pergolettese than the current prediction. (-22.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pergolettese that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pro Patria than the current prediction. (+17.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pro Patria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Pergolettese - Pro Patria Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.67 ↓
(2.68) |
3.18 ↑
(2.67) |
6.35 ↑
(2.95) |
7.1%
(8.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Pergolettese - Pro Patria?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Pergolettese (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Pergolettese will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 15 and 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
- Pro Patria is Serie C ~ Play Out
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Pergolettese won 1.
- Pergolettese has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Pro Patria is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Pergolettese will have a mini benefit in this match.
- There will not play in Pergolettese: Abubakar S.
(Inactive)
Jaouhari Z.
(Injury)
Olivieri E.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Pro Patria: Barlocco L.
(Inactive)
Coccolo L.
(Yellow Cards)
Ferri D.
(Yellow Cards)
Lombardoni M.
(Inactive)
Mehic A.
(Inactive)
Pitou J.
(Yellow Cards)
Sassaro A.
(Injury)
Travaglini C.
(Inactive)
- Our prediction for today's Pro Patria to win the game is with odds 3.9.
- Last 16 head-to-head matches Pergolettese won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 15:20 (average 0.9:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Pergolettese won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7:8 (average 1:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Pergolettese won against Pro Patria?
Pergolettese has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pro Patria won against Pergolettese?
Pro Patria has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pergolettese - Pro Patria were as follows:
15.12.2024
Pro Patria
-
Pergolettese
1:1
11.08.2024
Pro Patria
-
Pergolettese
1:0
10.02.2024
Pro Patria
-
Pergolettese
2:0
29.09.2023
Pergolettese
-
Pro Patria
0:1
18.02.2023
Pro Patria
-
Pergolettese
1:2
Latest results of Pergolettese
Latest results of Pro Patria
Italian Serie C Group A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lecco | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 10 |
| 2 | Brescia | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:3 | 8 | 9 |
| 3 | Pergolettese | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 9 |
| 4 | L.R. Vicenza | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 7 |
| 5 | Renate | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
| 6 | Alcione Milano | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 7 |
| 7 | Arzignano | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 7 |
| 8 | Pro Vercelli | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:10 | -5 | 6 |
| 9 | Trento | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 5 |
| 10 | Giana Erminio | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 5 |
| 11 | Virtus Verona | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 4 |
| 12 | Cittadella | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 13 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
| 14 | Novara | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 15 | AlbinoLeffe | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 2 |
| 16 | Inter U23 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 2 |
| 17 | Ospitaletto | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 2 |
| 18 | Pro Patria | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 1 |
| 19 | Lumezzane | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:11 | -8 | 0 |
| 20 | Triestina | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | -2 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation
