Result
3:1
21/11/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group A - Round 15
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 14', 1 - 0, Mastroianni F. ⚽,
- 45+1', Masi A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 51', Masi A. ↓, Travaglini C. ↑,
- 55', Padalino A. ↓, Antolini J. ↑,
- 57', Mastroianni F. 🟨,
- 59', 1 - 1, Corti N. ⚽,
- 67', Citterio G. ↓, Schiro T. ↑,
- 67', Renelus B. ↓, Udoh K. ↑,
- 67', Dimarco C. ↓, Orfei A. ↑,
- 68', 2 - 1, Di Munno A. ⚽,
- 73', Aidoo M. ↓, Pessolani G. ↑,
- 73', Di Gesu E. ↓, Pala A. ↑,
- 80', 🟨,
- 81', 3 - 1, Mastroianni F. (Pen),
- 84', Mastroianni F. ↓, Mora C. ↑,
- 85', Ferri D. 🟨,
- 90+2', Tomaselli G. ↓, Pepa N. ↑,
- 90+2', Ferrandino D. ↓, Jaouhari Z. ↑,
Chances of winning
Pro Patria
34.6% | Draw
32.3% | Pergolettese
33.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pro Patria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Pergolettese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pro Patria than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pergolettese than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
Pro Patria - Pergolettese Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.69 ↑
(2.58) |
2.88 ↓
(3.15) |
2.81 ↑
(2.58) |
7.6%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Pro Patria - Pergolettese?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Pro Patria will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Pergolettese will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pro Patria won 3.
- In recent matches, Pro Patria has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Pergolettese has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Pro Patria won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:17. (average 1.2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pro Patria won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 1.3:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Pro Patria won against Pergolettese?
Pro Patria has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pergolettese won against Pro Patria?
Pergolettese has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pro Patria - Pergolettese were as follows:
25.04.2025
Pergolettese
-
Pro Patria
2:1
15.12.2024
Pro Patria
-
Pergolettese
1:1
11.08.2024
Pro Patria
-
Pergolettese
1:0
10.02.2024
Pro Patria
-
Pergolettese
2:0
29.09.2023
Pergolettese
-
Pro Patria
0:1
Latest results of Pro Patria
Latest results of Pergolettese
Italian Serie C Group A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | L.R. Vicenza | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 51:18 | 33 | 72 |
| 2 | Brescia | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 43:20 | 23 | 56 |
| 3 | Trento | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 45:31 | 14 | 51 |
| 4 | Renate | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 40:26 | 14 | 51 |
| 5 | Lecco | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 35:26 | 9 | 50 |
| 6 | Alcione Milano | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 30:18 | 12 | 48 |
| 7 | Cittadella | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 36:33 | 3 | 47 |
| 8 | Inter U23 | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 34:31 | 3 | 42 |
| 9 | Lumezzane | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 33:33 | 0 | 40 |
| 10 | Novara | 30 | 7 | 18 | 5 | 31:28 | 3 | 39 |
| 11 | Giana Erminio | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 27:30 | -3 | 39 |
| 12 | Pro Vercelli | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 32:42 | -10 | 38 |
| 13 | Ospitaletto | 30 | 7 | 13 | 10 | 31:32 | -1 | 34 |
| 14 | AlbinoLeffe | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 38:41 | -3 | 34 |
| 15 | Arzignano | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 39:44 | -5 | 34 |
| 16 | Pergolettese | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 29:40 | -11 | 32 |
| 17 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 27:48 | -21 | 32 |
| 18 | Virtus Verona | 30 | 3 | 12 | 15 | 27:44 | -17 | 21 |
| 19 | Pro Patria | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 23:54 | -31 | 18 |
| 20 | Triestina | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 32:44 | -12 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation
