Pergolettese vs Pro Patria – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie C Group A Pergolettese - Pro Patria
Result
2:1
25/04/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - Group A - Round 38
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 257

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
75
Shots on target
32
Corner Kicks
42
Yellow Cards
32
Total shots
75
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
43
Corner Kicks
42
Goalkeeper Saves
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Careccia S. (Pen),
  • 9', 2 - 0, Tonoli D. ,
  • 28', 2 - 1, Rocco D. ,
  • 43', Palazzi A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Rocco D. , Curatolo D. ,
  • 65', Di Biase G. , Anelli N. ,
  • 69', Piran L. , Citterio G. ,
  • 69', Mallamo A. , Nicco G. ,
  • 75', Palazzi A. , Cavalli T. ,
  • 77', Careccia S. 🟨,
  • 79', Albertini A. , Bignami R. ,
  • 80', Careccia S. , Fiorani M. ,
  • 85', Vaglica G. 🟨,
  • 87', Lambrughi A. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Arini M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Pergolettese
55.9%
Draw
29.4%
Pro Patria
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.3% 34.5% 31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3% 33.5% 32.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pergolettese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pergolettese's performance.
  • Pro Patria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pro Patria might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pergolettese than the current prediction. (-22.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pergolettese that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pro Patria than the current prediction. (+17.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pro Patria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Pergolettese - Pro Patria Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.67
    (2.68)
    3.18
    (2.67)
    6.35
    (2.95)
    7.1%
    (8.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Pergolettese - Pro Patria?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Pergolettese (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Pergolettese will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 15 and 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
    • Pro Patria is Serie C ~ Play Out
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Pergolettese won 1.
    • Pergolettese has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Pro Patria is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Pergolettese will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • There will not play in Pergolettese: Abubakar S. (Inactive) Jaouhari Z. (Injury) Olivieri E. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Pro Patria: Barlocco L. (Inactive) Coccolo L. (Yellow Cards) Ferri D. (Yellow Cards) Lombardoni M. (Inactive) Mehic A. (Inactive) Pitou J. (Yellow Cards) Sassaro A. (Injury) Travaglini C. (Inactive)
    • Our prediction for today's Pro Patria to win the game is with odds 3.9.
    • Last 16 head-to-head matches Pergolettese won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 15:20 (average 0.9:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Pergolettese won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7:8 (average 1:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pergolettese - Pro Patria were as follows:
    15.12.2024 Pro Patria - Pergolettese 1:1
    11.08.2024 Pro Patria - Pergolettese 1:0
    10.02.2024 Pro Patria - Pergolettese 2:0
    29.09.2023 Pergolettese - Pro Patria 0:1
    18.02.2023 Pro Patria - Pergolettese 1:2
    Latest results of Pergolettese
    Latest results of Pro Patria
    18.04.2025 Pro Patria - Lumezzane 4:1
    12.04.2025 Pro Vercelli - Pro Patria 2:2
    06.04.2025 Pro Patria - Alcione 0:0
    02.04.2025 Pro Patria - Atalanta U23 1:2
    30.03.2025 Virtus Verona - Pro Patria 0:1
    Italian Serie C Group A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Trento11002:023
    2Lecco11002:113
    3Arzignano11002:113
    4Alcione Milano11001:013
    5AlbinoLeffe10102:201
    6Dolomiti Bellunesi10102:201
    7Ospitaletto10011:2-10
    8Brescia10011:2-10
    9L.R. Vicenza00000:000
    10Cittadella00000:000
    11Lumezzane00000:000
    12Novara00000:000
    13Pro Patria00000:000
    14Pro Vercelli00000:000
    15Renate00000:000
    16Pergolettese00000:000
    17Virtus Verona00000:000
    18Inter U2300000:000
    19Triestina10010:1-10
    20Giana Erminio10010:2-20

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation