Result
2:1
28/03/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group A - Round 34
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 27', 1 - 0, Careccia S. ⚽,
- 38', Desogus J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Schiro T. ↓, Giudici L. ↑,
- 60', Di Munno A. 🟨,
- 61', Di Munno A. ↓, Schiavone A. ↑,
- 61', Desogus J. ↓, Udoh K. ↑,
- 63', Roversi L. 🟨,
- 65', Pala A. ↓, Meconi E. ↑,
- 70', Renelus B. ↓, Orfei A. ↑,
- 71', Careccia S. ↓, Jaouhari Z. ↑,
- 71', Roversi L. ↓, Aidoo M. ↑,
- 75', Felicioli G. ↓, Citterio G. ↑,
- 75', Tremolada M. ↓, Dore S. ↑,
- 75', Corti N. ↓, Orlandi A. ↑,
- 79', Petrovic T. 🟨,
- 81', Arini M. 🟨,
- 89', 1 - 1, Citterio G. ⚽,
- 90+2', 2 - 1, Aidoo M. ⚽,
- 90+3', Dore S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Pergolettese
52.1% | Draw
27.4% | Pro Patria
20.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pergolettese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)Pro Patria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pergolettese than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pro Patria than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Pergolettese - Pro Patria Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.77 ↓
(1.84) |
3.36 ↓
(3.56) |
4.51 ↑
(3.79) |
8.5%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Pergolettese - Pro Patria?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.75 - Pergolettese (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Pergolettese will win
(32 of 33 users predict this - 96.97%).
Confidence interval (95%): 91.12% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Pergolettese will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Pergolettese (votes: 8 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pergolettese won 1.
- Pergolettese has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Pro Patria's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Pergolettese is the team to beat.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Pergolettese won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 18:24. (average 1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pergolettese won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.1:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Pergolettese won against Pro Patria?
Pergolettese has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pro Patria won against Pergolettese?
Pro Patria has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pergolettese - Pro Patria were as follows:
21.11.2025
Pro Patria
-
Pergolettese
3:1
25.04.2025
Pergolettese
-
Pro Patria
2:1
15.12.2024
Pro Patria
-
Pergolettese
1:1
11.08.2024
Pro Patria
-
Pergolettese
1:0
10.02.2024
Pro Patria
-
Pergolettese
2:0
Latest results of Pergolettese
Latest results of Pro Patria
Italian Serie C Group A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | L.R. Vicenza ✔ | 36 | 26 | 7 | 3 | 63:25 | 38 | 85 |
| 2 | Brescia | 36 | 17 | 12 | 7 | 46:24 | 22 | 63 |
| 3 | Lecco | 36 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 45:29 | 16 | 63 |
| 4 | Trento | 36 | 16 | 13 | 7 | 55:39 | 16 | 61 |
| 5 | Renate | 35 | 15 | 12 | 8 | 46:32 | 14 | 57 |
| 6 | Cittadella | 36 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 44:41 | 3 | 56 |
| 7 | Lumezzane | 36 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 40:36 | 4 | 52 |
| 8 | Alcione Milano | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 32:26 | 6 | 51 |
| 9 | Inter U23 | 36 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 40:38 | 2 | 48 |
| 10 | AlbinoLeffe | 36 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 47:47 | 0 | 47 |
| 11 | Arzignano | 36 | 13 | 8 | 15 | 44:46 | -2 | 47 |
| 12 | Giana Erminio | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 34:39 | -5 | 46 |
| 13 | Ospitaletto | 36 | 10 | 15 | 11 | 41:40 | 1 | 45 |
| 14 | Novara | 36 | 8 | 20 | 8 | 38:38 | 0 | 44 |
| 15 | Pro Vercelli | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 37:50 | -13 | 43 |
| 16 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 35 | 10 | 9 | 16 | 36:55 | -19 | 39 |
| 17 | Pergolettese | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 34:50 | -16 | 37 |
| 18 | Virtus Verona ✔ | 36 | 3 | 15 | 18 | 32:57 | -25 | 24 |
| 19 | Pro Patria ✔ | 35 | 3 | 11 | 21 | 27:63 | -36 | 20 |
| 20 | Triestina ✔ | 36 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 44:50 | -6 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
L.R. Vicenza is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Serie B
Virtus Verona is Serie C ~ Play Out
Pro Patria is Serie C ~ Play Out
Triestina is Relegated to
