Sertanense vs Pero Pinheiro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Sertanense - Pero Pinheiro
Result
1:0
16/02/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 90+5', 1 - 0, ,

Chances of winning


Sertanense
45.3%
Draw
30.3%
Pero Pinheiro
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.6% 32.3% 25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8% 27.1% 29.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sertanense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • Pero Pinheiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sertanense than the current prediction. (-9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sertanense that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pero Pinheiro than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pero Pinheiro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Sertanense - Pero Pinheiro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.02
    (2.12)
    3.02
    (2.8)
    3.74
    (3.6)
    9.5%
    (10.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 14 in the zone Relegation).
    • Recent matches Sertanense is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Pero Pinheiro is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Sertanense will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Sertanense won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:6 (average 1.2:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Sertanense won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sertanense - Pero Pinheiro were as follows:
    06.10.2024 Pero Pinheiro - Sertanense 2:1
    02.04.2023 Sertanense - Pero Pinheiro 1:1
    11.12.2022 Pero Pinheiro - Sertanense 2:3
    Latest results of Sertanense
    09.02.2025 Alverca B - Sertanense 1:1
    02.02.2025 Pombal - Sertanense 0:2
    19.01.2025 Marinhense - Sertanense 2:0
    12.01.2025 Sertanense - Peniche 1:1
    Latest results of Pero Pinheiro
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Final
    1Lusitano GCVitoria Guimaraes B2 : 1