Western United vs Perth Glory – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Australian A-League Western United - Perth Glory
Result
3:1
05/04/2025 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • A-League - Round 25
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaSPOTV 2 Asia
australiaAustraliaParamount+
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Go
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 2
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV 2, SPOTV Now
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports 5
usaUsaESPN 3, ESPN App

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.101.25
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
1613
Shots on target
82
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
82
Passes
82% (366/449)83% (418/502)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.101.25
xG on target (xGOT)
2.501.13
Total shots
1613
Shots on target
82
Shots off target
46
Blocked Shots
45
Shots inside the Box
146
Shots outside the Box
27
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
82
Touches in opposition box
3419
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
75
Passes
82% (366/449)83% (418/502)
Long passes
40% (19/47)47% (28/60)
Passes in final third
71% (67/94)71% (95/133)
Crosses
5% (1/20)28% (7/25)
Expected assists (xA)
1.050.93
Fouls
57
Tackles
69% (9/13)79% (19/24)
Duels won
4448
Clearances Total
3327
Interceptions
99
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
1.132.50
Goals prevented
0.130.50

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Bozinovski R. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Freney W. , Risdon J. ,
  • 55', 1 - 1, Pearman J. , Pennington N. (A),
  • 59', Bozinovski R. 🟨,
  • 64', Amos L. , Gomulka T. ,
  • 65', 2 - 1, Gomulka T. (Own goal),
  • 68', Danzaki R. , Vickery L. ,
  • 71', Mileusnic N. , Bugarija A. ,
  • 78', Ibusuki H. , Ruhs M. ,
  • 78', Grimaldi M. , Najjarine R. ,
  • 86', 3 - 1, Najjarine R. , Ruhs M. (A),
  • 88', Ostler T. , Ngo K. ,
  • 88', Pearman J. , Wood P. ,
  • 90', Garuccio B. , Shamoon C. A. ,
  • 90', Leonard D. , Donachie J. ,
  • 90+3', Ruhs M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Western United
71.5%
Draw
16.7%
Perth Glory
11.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.3% 20.2% 16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66% 19.4% 15.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Western United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Western United's performance.
  • Perth Glory has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Western United than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Western United that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Perth Glory than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • Western United - Perth Glory Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.32
    (1.49)
    5.7
    (4.68)
    8.03
    (5.73)
    6%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
  • What is the prediction for Western United - Perth Glory?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Western United will win (votes: 16 - 88.9%). Perth will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Western United: 74.4%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Western United (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 13).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Western United won 5.
    • Western United is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Perth is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Perth could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Western United is certain favorite.
    • There will not play in Western United: Garuccio B. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Perth: Lebib A. (Injury) Lisolajski Z. (Inactive) Wales L. (Inactive) Williams D. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Western United: Walatee A. (Concussion)
    • Our prediction for today's Western United to win the game is with odds 1.33.
    • Last 14 head-to-head matches Western United won 11 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 33:18 (average 2.4:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Western United won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 16:6 (average 2.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Western United - Perth Glory were as follows:
    03.01.2025 Perth Glory - Western United 2:3
    22.11.2024 Perth Glory - Western United 1:3
    21.04.2024 Perth Glory - Western United 3:4
    02.03.2024 Western United - Perth Glory 1:0
    04.03.2023 Western United - Perth Glory 2:1
    Latest results of Western United
    Latest results of Perth Glory
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Melbourne City (2)Bye
    2Western United (3)Adelaide United (6)3 : 2
    3Auckland FC (1)Bye
    4WS Wanderers (4)Melbourne Victory (5)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Melbourne City (2)Western United (3)1 : 1, 3 : 0
    2Auckland FC (1)Melbourne Victory (5)0 : 2, 1 : 0

    Final
    1Melbourne City (2)Melbourne Victory (5)1 : 0