Perugia vs Ascoli – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie C Group B Perugia - Ascoli
Result
2:1
03/03/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: Serie C - Group B - Round 29
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyNOW TV, RaiPlay, RAI Sport, Sky Sport 253
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
worldWorldFIFA+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
42%58%
Goal Attempts
77
Shots on Goal
64
Shots off Goal
13
Corner Kicks
15
Goalkeeper Saves
34
Yellow Cards
12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Matos ,
  • 23', 1 - 1, Odjer M. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Giraudo F. , Leo D. ,
  • 56', Varone I. , Baldassin L. ,
  • 58', Matos , Cisco A. ,
  • 65', Adjapong C. 🟨,
  • 66', Broh J. , Yabre M. ,
  • 67', Joselito , Bartolomei P. ,
  • 77', Corazza S. , Ciabuschi J. ,
  • 77', Silipo A. , D'Uffizi S. ,
  • 84', Piermarini M. 🟨,
  • 87', Montevago D. , Lisi F. ,
  • 90+1', 2 - 1, Cisco A. ,
  • 90+6', Yabre M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Perugia
48%
Draw
29.8%
Ascoli
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.1% 29.3% 24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4% 28.5% 24%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Perugia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • Ascoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • Perugia - Ascoli Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.92
    (1.97)
    3.1
    (3.1)
    4.15
    (3.68)
    8.5%
    (10.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Perugia - Ascoli?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Perugia will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Ascoli will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4%84.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 12).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Perugia won 3.
    • Perugia is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Ascoli is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Perugia will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • There will not play in Perugia: Angella G. (Shoulder Injury) Di Maggio L. (Hamstring Injury) Lewis N. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Ascoli: Cozzoli F. (Injury) Menna D. (Muscle Injury)
    • Last 18 head-to-head matches Perugia won 10 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 25:15 (average 1.4:0.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Perugia won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:8 (average 1.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Perugia - Ascoli were as follows:
    19.10.2024 Ascoli - Perugia 0:1
    11.02.2023 Ascoli - Perugia 1:0
    10.09.2022 Perugia - Ascoli 1:0
    Latest results of Perugia
    23.02.2025 Virtus Entella - Perugia 1:0
    17.02.2025 Lucchese - Perugia 2:1
    07.02.2025 Perugia - Vis Pesaro 0:1
    01.02.2025 Rimini - Perugia 1:1
    26.01.2025 Perugia - Pescara 0:0
    Latest results of Ascoli
    23.02.2025 Ascoli - Ternana 0:3
    17.02.2025 Pescara - Ascoli 1:2
    08.02.2025 Rimini - Ascoli 2:0
    31.01.2025 Ascoli - Carpi 2:1
    24.01.2025 Lucchese - Ascoli 2:1
    Italian Serie C Group B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arezzo11001:013
    2Sambenedettese11001:013
    3Torres11001:013
    4Livorno11001:013
    5Ascoli10100:001
    6Perugia10100:001
    7Vis Pesaro10101:101
    8Carpi10101:101
    9Pianese10100:001
    10Pineto10101:101
    11Juventus U2310101:101
    12Guidonia10100:001
    13Ravenna00000:000
    14Rimini00000:000
    15Gubbio00000:000
    16Campobasso00000:000
    17Ternana10010:1-10
    18Forli10010:1-10
    19Pontedera10010:1-10
    20Bra10010:1-10

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation