Result
2:1
25/01/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group B - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 22', Gori G. 🟨,
- 33', 1 - 0, D'Uffizi S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Bacchin L. ↓, Manzari G. ↑,
- 46', Bartolomei P. ↓, Giunti G. ↑,
- 46', Stramaccioni D. ↓, Bolsius D. ↑,
- 55', 1 - 1, Manzari G. ⚽,
- 66', Manzari G. 🟨,
- 69', Milanese T. ↓, Corradini G. ↑,
- 69', Oviszach E. ↓, Silipo A. ↑,
- 69', Galuppini F. ↓, Rizzo Pinna A. ↑,
- 71', Gemello L. 🟨,
- 79', Nepi A. ↓, Matos ↑,
- 80', Guiebre A. ↓, Pagliai G. ↑,
- 80', Gori G. ↓, Chakir M. A. ↑,
- 90+2', 2 - 1, Rizzo Pinna A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Ascoli
45.7% | Draw
30.2% | Perugia
24.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ascoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ascoli's form might have worsened.Perugia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Perugia's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (+7.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ascoli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
Ascoli - Perugia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.01 ↑
(1.69) |
3.03 ↓
(3.44) |
3.81 ↓
(4.91) |
9%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Ascoli - Perugia?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ascoli (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals) and 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ascoli won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Perugia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Ascoli could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ascoli won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 18:27. (average 0.9:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ascoli won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:15. (average 0.7:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Ascoli won against Perugia?
Ascoli has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Perugia won against Ascoli?
Perugia has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ascoli - Perugia were as follows:
14.09.2025
Perugia
-
Ascoli
0:2
03.03.2025
Perugia
-
Ascoli
2:1
19.10.2024
Ascoli
-
Perugia
0:1
11.02.2023
Ascoli
-
Perugia
1:0
10.09.2022
Perugia
-
Ascoli
1:0
Latest results of Perugia
Italian Serie C Group B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arezzo | 31 | 21 | 7 | 3 | 54:20 | 34 | 70 |
| 2 | Ascoli | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 55:20 | 35 | 65 |
| 3 | Ravenna | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 45:30 | 15 | 61 |
| 4 | Pineto | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 41:38 | 3 | 48 |
| 5 | Campobasso | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 43:35 | 8 | 48 |
| 6 | Pianese | 31 | 10 | 14 | 7 | 33:30 | 3 | 44 |
| 7 | Juventus U23 | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 39:38 | 1 | 44 |
| 8 | Gubbio | 31 | 10 | 13 | 8 | 28:26 | 2 | 43 |
| 9 | Vis Pesaro | 31 | 10 | 13 | 8 | 32:29 | 3 | 43 |
| 10 | Ternana | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 37:31 | 6 | 43 |
| 11 | Livorno | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 33:46 | -13 | 37 |
| 12 | Guidonia | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 25:28 | -3 | 36 |
| 13 | Forli | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 38:46 | -8 | 35 |
| 14 | Carpi | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 30:42 | -12 | 34 |
| 15 | Perugia | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 32:38 | -6 | 32 |
| 16 | Torres | 32 | 5 | 16 | 11 | 28:41 | -13 | 31 |
| 17 | Sambenedettese | 32 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 25:34 | -9 | 29 |
| 18 | Bra | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 32:49 | -17 | 26 |
| 19 | Pontedera | 31 | 3 | 10 | 18 | 26:55 | -29 | 19 |
| 20 | Rimini | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation
