Result
0:1
18/01/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group B - Round 22
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 41', Megelaitis L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 55', Zallu F. ↓, Di Massimo A. ↑,
- 55', Djankpata H. ↓, Murru N. ↑,
- 64', Nepi A. ↓, Montevago D. ↑,
- 65', Giunti G. ↓, Joselito ↑,
- 70', 0 - 1, La Mantia A. ⚽,
- 75', Signorini A. ↓, Fazzi N. ↑,
- 76', Tumbarello G. ↓, Lisi F. ↑,
- 87', Hraiech S. ↓, Niang O. ↑,
- 87', Tommasini C. ↓, Baroncelli L. ↑,
- 88', Dell'Orco C. ↓, Matos ↑,
- 90+7', Costa G. 🟨,
- 90+13', Tozzuolo A. 🟨,
- 90+13', Di Bitonto A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Perugia
44.5% | Draw
31.3% | Gubbio
24.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Perugia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)Gubbio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gubbio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gubbio than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gubbio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Perugia - Gubbio Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.04 ↓
(2.25) |
2.9 ↓
(3.46) |
3.75 ↑
(2.83) |
10.1%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 14)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Perugia won 2.
- Perugia has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Gubbio's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Gubbio may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Perugia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Perugia won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:10. (average 1.5:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Perugia won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.2:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Perugia won against Gubbio?
Perugia has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gubbio won against Perugia?
Gubbio has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Perugia - Gubbio were as follows:
06.09.2025
Gubbio
-
Perugia
1:1
20.01.2025
Gubbio
-
Perugia
1:0
15.09.2024
Perugia
-
Gubbio
1:1
17.03.2024
Gubbio
-
Perugia
0:1
12.11.2023
Perugia
-
Gubbio
1:0
Latest results of Perugia
Italian Serie C Group B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arezzo | 31 | 21 | 7 | 3 | 54:20 | 34 | 70 |
| 2 | Ascoli | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 55:20 | 35 | 65 |
| 3 | Ravenna | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 45:30 | 15 | 61 |
| 4 | Pineto | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 41:38 | 3 | 48 |
| 5 | Campobasso | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 43:35 | 8 | 48 |
| 6 | Pianese | 31 | 10 | 14 | 7 | 33:30 | 3 | 44 |
| 7 | Juventus U23 | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 39:38 | 1 | 44 |
| 8 | Gubbio | 31 | 10 | 13 | 8 | 28:26 | 2 | 43 |
| 9 | Vis Pesaro | 31 | 10 | 13 | 8 | 32:29 | 3 | 43 |
| 10 | Ternana | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 37:31 | 6 | 43 |
| 11 | Livorno | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 33:46 | -13 | 37 |
| 12 | Guidonia | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 25:28 | -3 | 36 |
| 13 | Forli | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 38:46 | -8 | 35 |
| 14 | Carpi | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 30:42 | -12 | 34 |
| 15 | Perugia | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 32:38 | -6 | 32 |
| 16 | Torres | 32 | 5 | 16 | 11 | 28:41 | -13 | 31 |
| 17 | Sambenedettese | 32 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 25:34 | -9 | 29 |
| 18 | Bra | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 32:49 | -17 | 26 |
| 19 | Pontedera | 31 | 3 | 10 | 18 | 26:55 | -29 | 19 |
| 20 | Rimini | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation
