Result
1:2
04/03/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group B - Round 30
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 29', Luperini G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 48', Vayrynen T. 🟨,
- 48', 🟨,
- 52', 0 - 1, Montevago D. ⚽,
- 56', Canotto L. ↓, Bolsius D. ↑,
- 67', Panaioli L. ↓, Peralta D. ↑,
- 67', Marchesi F. ↓, Bonassi L. ↑,
- 67', Vayrynen T. ↓, Dionisi F. ↑,
- 71', Lisi F. ↓, Bacchin L. ↑,
- 80', 0 - 2, Bacchin L. ⚽,
- 82', Luperini G. ↓, Biondi K. ↑,
- 84', Bartolomei P. ↓, Megelaitis L. ↑,
- 84', Manzari G. ↓, Verre V. ↑,
- 84', Montevago D. ↓, Nepi A. ↑,
- 90', Stramaccioni D. 🟨,
- 90+3', 🟨,
- 90+4', 1 - 2, Dionisi F. (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+4', Ghezzi S. ↓, Marinari J. ↑,
- 90+6', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Livorno
35% | Draw
29.7% | Perugia
35.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Livorno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)Perugia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Livorno than the current prediction. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Livorno - Perugia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.63 ↓
(2.69) |
3.11 ↑
(2.98) |
2.62 ↓
(2.64) |
8.3%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Livorno - Perugia?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Livorno will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Perugia will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Perugia (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Perugia (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Perugia (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Livorno won 0.
- Livorno is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Perugia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Perugia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Livorno won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:17. (average 1:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Livorno won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Livorno won against Perugia?
Livorno has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Perugia won against Livorno?
Perugia has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Livorno - Perugia were as follows:
27.10.2025
Perugia
-
Livorno
2:0
Latest results of Livorno
Latest results of Perugia
Italian Serie C Group B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arezzo | 28 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 48:19 | 29 | 63 |
| 2 | Ascoli | 29 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 50:19 | 31 | 59 |
| 3 | Ravenna | 29 | 17 | 6 | 6 | 41:26 | 15 | 57 |
| 4 | Ternana | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 36:28 | 8 | 42 |
| 5 | Campobasso | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 40:34 | 6 | 42 |
| 6 | Juventus U23 | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 34:31 | 3 | 42 |
| 7 | Pineto | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 37:35 | 2 | 42 |
| 8 | Pianese | 29 | 9 | 13 | 7 | 30:28 | 2 | 40 |
| 9 | Gubbio | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 24:21 | 3 | 39 |
| 10 | Vis Pesaro | 28 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 28:28 | 0 | 36 |
| 11 | Livorno | 29 | 10 | 5 | 14 | 30:41 | -11 | 35 |
| 12 | Forli | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 35:41 | -6 | 33 |
| 13 | Guidonia | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 24:27 | -3 | 32 |
| 14 | Carpi | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 26:37 | -11 | 32 |
| 15 | Torres | 29 | 5 | 13 | 11 | 24:37 | -13 | 28 |
| 16 | Perugia | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 28:35 | -7 | 27 |
| 17 | Bra | 29 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 31:43 | -12 | 26 |
| 18 | Sambenedettese | 29 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 23:32 | -9 | 25 |
| 19 | Pontedera | 28 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 23:50 | -27 | 18 |
| 20 | Rimini | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation
