Pisa vs Perugia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie B Pisa - Perugia
Result
2:1
24/02/2023 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 26
  • Referee: Santoro A. (Ita)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Pisa
40.7%
Draw
30.8%
Perugia
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.4% 29.2% 22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9% 31.3% 20.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pisa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pisa's form might have worsened.
  • Perugia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Perugia's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pisa than the current prediction. (+11.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pisa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Perugia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Pisa - Perugia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.33
    (1.93)
    3.05
    (3.2)
    3.29
    (4.18)
    6.1%
    (7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Pisa - Perugia?
  • Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Pisa will win (votes: 13 - 50%). Perugia will win (votes: 3 - 11.5%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 38.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Pisa: 30.8%69.2%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 14).
    • Pisa has the most likely position - 4 (11.51%), has project points - 55, has currently - 35, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (63%), has a chance of promoted (17%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
    • Perugia has the most likely position - 14 (10.02%), has project points - 47, has currently - 29, has a chance of relegated (19%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (14%), has a very small chance of promoted (3%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
    • This event has quality 37, importance 33, match rating 35. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Pisa won 2.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Pisa will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 13 head-to-head matches Pisa won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16-13.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Pisa won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-6.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pisa - Perugia were as follows:
    01.10.2022 Perugia - Pisa 1:3
    Latest results of Pisa
    17.02.2023 Pisa - Venezia 1:1
    11.02.2023 Reggina - Pisa 0:2
    28.01.2023 Genoa - Pisa 0:0
    21.01.2023 Como - Pisa 2:2
    Latest results of Perugia
    18.02.2023 Perugia - Ternana 3:0
    11.02.2023 Ascoli - Perugia 1:0
    04.02.2023 Perugia - Brescia 4:0
    28.01.2023 Bari - Perugia 0:2
    21.01.2023 Parma - Perugia 2:0
    Draw
    Play Out

    Final
    1Salernitana (16)Sampdoria (17)0 : 3, 0 : 2