Result
2:1
24/02/2023 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 26
- Referee: Santoro A. (Ita)
Chances of winning
Pisa
40.7% | Draw
30.8% | Perugia
28.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pisa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pisa's form might have worsened.Perugia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Perugia's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pisa than the current prediction. (+11.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pisa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (-7.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Perugia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Pisa - Perugia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.33 ↑
(1.93) |
3.05 ↓
(3.2) |
3.29 ↓
(4.18) |
6.1%
(7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Pisa - Perugia?
Users Predictions:
26 users predict this event. Pisa will win (votes: 13 - 50%). Perugia will win (votes: 3 - 11.5%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pisa: 30.8% – 69.2%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 14).
- Pisa has the most likely position - 4 (11.51%), has project points - 55, has currently - 35, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (63%), has a chance of promoted (17%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- Perugia has the most likely position - 14 (10.02%), has project points - 47, has currently - 29, has a chance of relegated (19%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (14%), has a very small chance of promoted (3%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- This event has quality 37, importance 33, match rating 35. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Pisa won 2.
- The game of competitors is shaky now.
- Pisa will have a mini benefit in this match.
- Last 13 head-to-head matches Pisa won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16-13.
- Including matches at home between the teams Pisa won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-6.
How many head-to-head matches has Pisa won against Perugia?
Pisa has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Perugia won against Pisa?
Perugia has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pisa - Perugia were as follows:
01.10.2022
Perugia
-
Pisa
1:3
Latest results of Perugia
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cesena | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Empoli | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Modena | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Carrarese | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Venezia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Palermo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Monza | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Juve Stabia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Sudtirol | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Catanzaro | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Entella | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Bari | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Reggiana | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Mantova | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Padova | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 | Pescara | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 18 | Avellino | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 19 | Spezia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 20 | Sampdoria | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
