Result
3:3
09/05/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 38
- Referee: Cosso F. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 2.10 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (398/476) | 64% (154/242) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 2.10 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.63 | 1.73 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (398/476) | 64% (154/242) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (26/58) | 33% (23/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (134/172) | 49% (53/108) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (4/23) | 17% (3/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 0.38 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (9/11) | 73% (8/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 40 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.73 | 2.63 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.27 | -0.37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 22', 0 - 1, Mallamo A. ⚽,
- 37', 0 - 2, Gori G. (Pen),
- 39', 1 - 2, Lind A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Hojholt M. ↓, Piccinini G. ↑,
- 57', Martini J. 🟨,
- 59', Morutan O. 🟨,
- 60', Mallamo A. ↓, Pyyhtia N. ↑,
- 66', Sussi C. ↓, Arena A. ↑,
- 66', Vignato E. ↓, Meister H. ↑,
- 66', Morutan O. ↓, Sernicola L. ↑,
- 68', 1 - 3, Pietrangeli N. ⚽,
- 69', Rus A. 🟨,
- 75', Gori G. ↓, Odogwu R. ↑,
- 78', 2 - 3, Sernicola L. ⚽,
- 82', Merkaj S. ↓, Casiraghi D. ↑,
- 82', Davi S. ↓, Davi F. ↑,
- 83', Martini J. ↓, Tait F. ↑,
- 83', Toure I. ↓, Ferrari T. ↑,
- 84', Meister H. 🟨,
- 90+2', Pyyhtia N. 🟨,
- 90+3', 3 - 3, Rus A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Pisa
42.7% | Draw
31.7% | Südtirol-Alto Adige
25.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pisa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pisa's form might have worsened.Südtirol-Alto Adige has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pisa than the current prediction. (+15%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pisa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Südtirol-Alto Adige than the current prediction. (-6.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Südtirol-Alto Adige, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Pisa - Südtirol-Alto Adige Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.2 ↑
(1.8) |
3.01 ↓
(3.5) |
3.75 ↓
(4.33) |
5.2%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Pisa - Südtirol-Alto Adige?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Pisa will win (votes: 12 - 60%). Südtirol will win (votes: 3 - 15%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pisa: 38.5% – 81.5%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Pisa (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Südtirol (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Südtirol (1.56) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Pisa (votes: 1 - 10%). Südtirol (votes: 6 - 60%). Tie (votes: 3 - 30%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 11).
- Pisa is Qualified for Serie A
- Recent performances by Pisa have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Südtirol is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Pisa is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Pisa: Esteves T.
(Tendon Injury)
Leris M.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Südtirol: Arrigoni T.
(Broken ankle)
Ceppitelli L.
(Inactive)
El Kaouakibi H.
(Yellow Cards)
Kofler R.
(Yellow Cards)
Molina S.
(Yellow Cards)
Praszelik M.
(Inactive)
Rover M.
(Yellow Cards)
Vimercati A.
(Injury)
Zedadka K.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Südtirol: Kofler R.
(Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pisa won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1.4:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pisa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Pisa won against Südtirol-Alto Adige?
Pisa has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Südtirol-Alto Adige won against Pisa?
Südtirol-Alto Adige has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pisa - Südtirol-Alto Adige were as follows:
19.10.2024
Südtirol-Alto Adige
-
Pisa
1:2
05.05.2024
Pisa
-
Südtirol-Alto Adige
2:2
11.11.2023
Südtirol-Alto Adige
-
Pisa
1:2
04.02.2023
Pisa
-
Südtirol-Alto Adige
0:1
04.09.2022
Südtirol-Alto Adige
-
Pisa
2:1
Latest results of Südtirol-Alto Adige
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 68:29 | 39 | 72 |
| 2 | Frosinone | 34 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 65:33 | 32 | 69 |
| 3 | Monza | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 53:27 | 26 | 69 |
| 4 | Palermo | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 55:28 | 27 | 65 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 33 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 51:40 | 11 | 54 |
| 6 | Modena | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 44:29 | 15 | 51 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 34 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 41:41 | 0 | 48 |
| 8 | Cesena | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 42:50 | -8 | 44 |
| 9 | Carrarese | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 44:45 | -1 | 42 |
| 10 | Sudtirol | 34 | 8 | 16 | 10 | 36:37 | -1 | 40 |
| 11 | Mantova | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 39:48 | -9 | 40 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 34:44 | -10 | 40 |
| 13 | Avellino | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 38:54 | -16 | 40 |
| 14 | Padova | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 33:45 | -12 | 37 |
| 15 | Empoli | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 43:49 | -6 | 36 |
| 16 | Entella | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 32:47 | -15 | 35 |
| 17 | Bari | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 33:53 | -20 | 34 |
| 18 | Reggiana | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 33:52 | -19 | 33 |
| 19 | Pescara | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 47:61 | -14 | 32 |
| 20 | Spezia | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 32:51 | -19 | 30 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
