Result
2:1
09/03/2026 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group B - Round 31
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 28', 1 - 0, Montevago D. ⚽,
- 39', Montevago D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Raychev A. ↓, Fancelli A. ↑,
- 46', Lisi F. ↓, Bacchin L. ↑,
- 58', Verre V. ↓, Bolsius D. ↑,
- 59', Canotto L. ↓, Manzari G. ↑,
- 60', Bolsius D. 🟨,
- 65', Cerretti C. 🟨,
- 70', Emmanuello S. ↓, Buffon L. ↑,
- 70', Faggi F. ↓, Caponi A. ↑,
- 76', Ladinetti R. ↓, Megelaitis L. ↑,
- 77', Nabian H. ↓, Teixeira S. ↑,
- 82', 2 - 0, Montevago D. ⚽,
- 85', Montevago D. ↓, Nepi A. ↑,
- 85', Kabashi E. ↓, Manfredonia M. ↑,
- 90+5', 2 - 1, Buffon L. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Perugia
56.5% | Draw
26.2% | Pontedera
17.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Perugia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)Pontedera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (-10.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Perugia that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pontedera than the current prediction. (+3%)
Perugia - Pontedera Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.61 ↑
(1.57) |
3.47 ↓
(3.5) |
5.27 ↓
(5.68) |
10%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Perugia - Pontedera?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Perugia will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Pontedera will win (votes: 2 - 50%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Pontedera (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Perugia won 3.
- Recent performances by Perugia have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Pontedera is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Perugia is considered a favorite.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Perugia won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:7. (average 1.6:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Perugia won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 1.5:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Perugia won against Pontedera?
Perugia has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pontedera won against Perugia?
Pontedera has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Perugia - Pontedera were as follows:
02.11.2025
Pontedera
-
Perugia
2:2
17.08.2025
Perugia
-
Pontedera
1:0
27.04.2025
Perugia
-
Pontedera
3:0
15.12.2024
Pontedera
-
Perugia
2:1
27.01.2024
Pontedera
-
Perugia
2:3
Latest results of Perugia
Latest results of Pontedera
Italian Serie C Group B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arezzo | 31 | 21 | 7 | 3 | 54:20 | 34 | 70 |
| 2 | Ascoli | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 55:20 | 35 | 65 |
| 3 | Ravenna | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 45:30 | 15 | 61 |
| 4 | Pineto | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 41:38 | 3 | 48 |
| 5 | Campobasso | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 43:35 | 8 | 48 |
| 6 | Pianese | 31 | 10 | 14 | 7 | 33:30 | 3 | 44 |
| 7 | Juventus U23 | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 39:38 | 1 | 44 |
| 8 | Gubbio | 31 | 10 | 13 | 8 | 28:26 | 2 | 43 |
| 9 | Vis Pesaro | 31 | 10 | 13 | 8 | 32:29 | 3 | 43 |
| 10 | Ternana | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 37:31 | 6 | 43 |
| 11 | Livorno | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 33:46 | -13 | 37 |
| 12 | Guidonia | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 25:28 | -3 | 36 |
| 13 | Forli | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 38:46 | -8 | 35 |
| 14 | Carpi | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 30:42 | -12 | 34 |
| 15 | Perugia | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 32:38 | -6 | 32 |
| 16 | Torres | 32 | 5 | 16 | 11 | 28:41 | -13 | 31 |
| 17 | Sambenedettese | 32 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 25:34 | -9 | 29 |
| 18 | Bra | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 32:49 | -17 | 26 |
| 19 | Pontedera | 31 | 3 | 10 | 18 | 26:55 | -29 | 19 |
| 20 | Rimini | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation
