Perugia vs Sambenedettese – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie C Group B Perugia - Sambenedettese
Result
1:2
23/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - Group B - Round 6
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Calcio
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
87
Shots on target
40
Corner Kicks
23
Yellow Cards
34
Total shots
87
Shots on target
40
Shots off target
47
Corner Kicks
23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 28', Pezzola L. 🟨,
  • 32', Zini A. 🟨,
  • 36', Calapai L. 🟨,
  • 44', Toure M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 61', Bacchin L. , Joselito ,
  • 70', 0 - 1, Sbaffo A. (Pen),
  • 73', Megelaitis L. 🟨,
  • 75', Bongelli R. , Alfieri V. ,
  • 75', Toure M. , Paolini S. ,
  • 75', Sbaffo A. , Eusepi U. ,
  • 75', Ogunseye R. , Montevago D. ,
  • 77', 1 - 1, Giunti G. ,
  • 82', Calapai L. , Tumbarello G. ,
  • 82', Angella G. , Nwanege K. ,
  • 84', 1 - 2, Candellori K. ,
  • 86', Giunti G. 🟨,
  • 87', Tosi F. 🟨,
  • 88', Toure N. , Marranzino P. ,

Chances of winning


Perugia
45.4%
Draw
31.3%
Sambenedettese
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.3% 29.3% 24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2% 27.6% 23%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Perugia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • Sambenedettese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sambenedettese than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • Perugia - Sambenedettese Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.05
    (1.99)
    2.98
    (3.14)
    3.99
    (3.78)
    7.3%
    (8.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Perugia - Sambenedettese?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Perugia (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Sambenedettese (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 14).
    • Perugia is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Sambenedettese has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Sambenedettese may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Perugia is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Perugia won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Perugia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    Latest results of Perugia
    19.09.2025 Ravenna - Perugia 3:2
    14.09.2025 Perugia - Ascoli 0:2
    06.09.2025 Gubbio - Perugia 1:1
    30.08.2025 Bra - Perugia 2:2
    Latest results of Sambenedettese
    20.09.2025 Sambenedettese - Carpi 0:1
    13.09.2025 Pianese - Sambenedettese 1:1
    07.09.2025 Sambenedettese - Forlì 1:2
    30.08.2025 Gubbio - Sambenedettese 1:1
    22.08.2025 Sambenedettese - Bra 1:0
    Italian Serie C Group B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arezzo980117:61124
    2Ravenna980119:10924
    3Ascoli972020:11923
    4Ternana942312:9314
    5Sambenedettese942312:9314
    6Carpi942312:11114
    7Forli94149:8113
    8Gubbio93427:7013
    9Guidonia94146:7-113
    10Campobasso833214:9512
    11Pianese93338:8012
    12Pineto932412:12011
    13Juventus U23832314:16-211
    14Vis Pesaro91628:809
    15Pontedera92257:19-128
    16Livorno92164:14-107
    17Torres91355:11-66
    18Bra91268:17-95
    19Perugia90366:14-83
    20Rimini93156:10-4-2

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation