Perugia vs Sambenedettese – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie C Group B Perugia - Sambenedettese
23/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Perugia
46.1%
Draw
29.6%
Sambenedettese
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.3% 29.3% 24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2% 27.6% 23%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Perugia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • Sambenedettese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sambenedettese than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • Perugia - Sambenedettese Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.99
    (1.99)
    3.1
    (3.14)
    3.79
    (3.78)
    9%
    (8.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 14).
    • Perugia is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Sambenedettese has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Sambenedettese may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Perugia could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Perugia won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Perugia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    Latest results of Perugia
    19.09.2025 Ravenna - Perugia 3:2
    14.09.2025 Perugia - Ascoli 0:2
    06.09.2025 Gubbio - Perugia 1:1
    30.08.2025 Bra - Perugia 2:2
    Latest results of Sambenedettese
    20.09.2025 Sambenedettese - Carpi 0:1
    13.09.2025 Pianese - Sambenedettese 1:1
    07.09.2025 Sambenedettese - Forlì 1:2
    30.08.2025 Gubbio - Sambenedettese 1:1
    22.08.2025 Sambenedettese - Bra 1:0
    Italian Serie C Group B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arezzo54018:3512
    2Ravenna540111:7412
    3Ascoli53207:0711
    4Gubbio53205:2311
    5Pineto52217:528
    6Juventus U2352218:718
    7Carpi52215:508
    8Campobasso521210:737
    9Ternana52127:527
    10Guidonia52123:4-17
    11Vis Pesaro51314:226
    12Pianese51313:216
    13Forli52033:4-16
    14Sambenedettese51224:5-15
    15Torres51224:6-25
    16Pontedera51133:10-74
    17Perugia50325:8-33
    18Livorno51042:9-73
    19Bra50234:8-42
    20Rimini51133:7-4-7

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation