Result
4:2
22/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 32
- Referee: Rapuano A. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.81 | 1.03 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (390/442) | 80% (287/359) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.81 | 1.03 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 4.91 | 2.08 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (390/442) | 80% (287/359) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 63% (27/43) | 53% (29/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (98/129) | 66% (64/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 41% (11/27) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.90 | 0.67 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 7 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 74% (14/19) | 58% (11/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.08 | 4.91 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.08 | 0.91 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 2', Yepes G. 🟨,
- 9', 1 - 0, Shpendi S. ⚽, Saporiti E. (A),
- 13', Acampora G. 🟥,
- 26', Degli Innocenti D. 🟨,
- 28', Degli Innocenti D. ↓, Haas N. ↑,
- 32', Di Nardo A. 🟨,
- 33', 2 - 0, Lovato M. ⚽, Saporiti E. (A),
- 41', 2 - 1, Di Nardo A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Yepes G. ↓, Ghion A. ↑,
- 46', Popov B. ↓, Fila D. ↑,
- 47', 2 - 2, Di Nardo A. ⚽,
- 49', Cagnano A. 🟨,
- 64', Saporiti E. ↓, Bianchi F. ↑,
- 65', 3 - 2, Shpendi S. ⚽, Guarino G. (A),
- 67', Caligara F. ↓, Berardi L. ↑,
- 74', Valzania L. ↓, Olzer G. ↑,
- 80', 4 - 2, Fila D. ⚽,
- 82', Letizia G. ↓, Gravillon A. ↑,
- 82', Di Nardo A. ↓, Russo F. ↑,
- 84', Shpendi S. ↓, Ignacchiti L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Empoli
45.5% | Draw
27% | Pescara
27.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Empoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)Pescara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Empoli than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Empoli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pescara than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
Empoli - Pescara Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.06 ↑
(1.89) |
3.46 ↓
(3.58) |
3.41 ↓
(3.7) |
6.8%
(7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Empoli - Pescara?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Empoli will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Pescara will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pescara: 15.4% – 84.6%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Empoli (votes: 1 - 50%). Pescara (votes: 1 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - Pescara (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Empoli (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Pescara (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 14 and 20 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Empoli won 1.
- Empoli is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Pescara is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Pescara may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Empoli might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Empoli: Bianchi F.
(Inactive)
Ghion A.
(Inactive)
Pellegri P.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Pescara: Desplanches S.
(Injury)
Faraoni D.
(Injury)
Graziani L.
(Inactive)
Merola D.
(Inactive)
Pellacani F.
(Knee Injury)
Tsadjout F.
(Inactive)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Empoli won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:14. (average 1.6:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Empoli won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:7. (average 1.6:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Empoli won against Pescara?
Empoli has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pescara won against Empoli?
Pescara has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Empoli - Pescara were as follows:
21.09.2025
Pescara
-
Empoli
4:0
Latest results of Pescara
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 73:29 | 44 | 78 |
| 2 | Monza | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 57:27 | 30 | 75 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 36 | 21 | 12 | 3 | 70:34 | 36 | 75 |
| 4 | Palermo | 36 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 58:29 | 29 | 69 |
| 5 | Catanzaro ✔ | 36 | 15 | 14 | 7 | 58:45 | 13 | 59 |
| 6 | Modena ✔ | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 47:34 | 13 | 52 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 36 | 11 | 17 | 8 | 43:43 | 0 | 50 |
| 8 | Avellino | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 42:54 | -12 | 46 |
| 9 | Cesena | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 45 |
| 10 | Carrarese | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 46:50 | -4 | 43 |
| 11 | Mantova | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 42:50 | -8 | 43 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 34:47 | -13 | 41 |
| 13 | Sudtirol | 36 | 8 | 16 | 12 | 37:46 | -9 | 40 |
| 14 | Padova | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 34:46 | -12 | 40 |
| 15 | Entella | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 34:48 | -14 | 39 |
| 16 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 44:52 | -8 | 37 |
| 17 | Pescara | 36 | 7 | 13 | 16 | 50:64 | -14 | 34 |
| 18 | Bari | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 33:58 | -25 | 34 |
| 19 | Reggiana | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34:54 | -20 | 34 |
| 20 | Spezia | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 40:56 | -16 | 33 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Modena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
