Accrington Stanley vs Peterborough United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

12/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

The Wham Stadium (Accrington).

EFL Cup - 1/64-finals
Referee: Bannister A. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.19	0.83
Ball Possession
27%	73%
Total shots
10	14
Shots on target
7	3
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
2	8
Passes
59% (130/220)	82% (475/578)
Yellow Cards
6	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.19	0.83
xG on target (xGOT)
1.69	1.22
Total shots
10	14
Shots on target
7	3
Shots off target
1	5
Blocked Shots
2	6
Shots inside the Box
9	8
Shots outside the Box
1	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
2	8
Touches in opposition box
20	25
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	1
Free Kicks
18	17
Passes
59% (130/220)	82% (475/578)
Long passes
33% (23/69)	50% (32/64)
Passes in final third
36% (29/81)	66% (87/132)
Crosses
17% (1/6)	16% (3/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.21	0.75
Throw-ins
18	32
Fouls
17	18
Tackles
67% (14/21)	53% (8/15)
Duels won
69	60
Clearances
30	16
Interceptions
13	3
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	5
xGOT faced
1.22	1.69
Goals prevented
0.22	-0.31

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Henderson A. ⚽,
21', Pye L. 🟨,
25', 2 - 0, Mooney K. ⚽, Henderson A. (A),
31', Martin D. 🟨,
36', Henderson A. 🟨,
41', Henderson A. ↓, Sinclair I. ↑,
45', Lolos K. 🟨,
45+1', Brown C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Lolos K. ↓, Odoh A. ↑,
56', Lisbie K. 🟨,
59', Pye L. ↓, Love D. ↑,
59', Popoola A. ↓, Woods J. ↑,
60', Martin D. ↓, Coyle L. ↑,
63', Lisbie K. ↓, Hayes C. ↑,
66', Love D. 🟨,
70', Dornelly J. ↓, Mendonca L. ↑,
78', Brown C. ↓, Tunstall F. ↑,
80', 2 - 1, Collins A. ⚽, Hayes C. (A),
90+2', Sass F. 🟨,
90+5', Khela B. ↓, Shofowoke B. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Accrington Stanley
44.8%

Draw
31.6%

Peterborough United
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

26.8%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

27.5%

40.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Accrington Stanley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Accrington Stanley's performance.

Peterborough United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Peterborough United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (-12.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Accrington Stanley that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peterborough United than the current prediction. (+17.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Peterborough United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Accrington Stanley - Peterborough United Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↑ (2.81)	4.65 ↑ (3.5)	6.68 ↑ (2.36)	-31.2% (6.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Accrington Stanley - Peterborough United?

Users Predictions: Peterborough United will win (18 of 19 users predict this - 94.74%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.7% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Peterborough United will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 1.
Accrington has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Peterborough is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Peterborough may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Accrington has had a series of home games.
Recently, Peterborough has had a series of away games.
Peterborough will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 5:22. (average 0.6:2.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Accrington won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.8:2).

How many head-to-head matches has Accrington Stanley won against Peterborough United?

Accrington Stanley has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Peterborough United won against Accrington Stanley?

Peterborough United has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Accrington Stanley - Peterborough United were as follows:

18.04.2023 Accrington Stanley - Peterborough United 1:2

25.10.2022 Peterborough United - Accrington Stanley 3:1

Latest results of Accrington Stanley

09.08.2025 Crewe Alexandra - Accrington Stanley 2:0 ✺

05.08.2025 Accrington Stanley - Oldham Athletic 3:1 ✺

02.08.2025 Accrington Stanley - Gillingham 1:1 ✺

26.07.2025 Accrington Stanley - Rotherham United 4:1 ✺

19.07.2025 Accrington Stanley - Wigan Athletic 2:4 ✺

Latest results of Peterborough United

09.08.2025 Peterborough United - Luton Town 0:2 ✺

02.08.2025 Cardiff City - Peterborough United 2:1 ✺

26.07.2025 Grimsby Town - Peterborough United 3:2 ✺

25.07.2025 Colchester United - Peterborough United 2:2 ✺

22.07.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Peterborough United 1:2 ✺

Draw

Main

1/64-finals

1	Birmingham	Sheffield Utd	2 : 1
2	Blackpool	Port Vale	0 : 1
4	Bye	Arsenal
5	Swansea	Crawley	3 : 1
6	Plymouth	QPR	3 : 2
8	Bye	Nottingham
9	Tranmere	Burton	1 : 2
10	Harrogate	Lincoln	1 : 3
12	Bye	Chelsea
13	Tottenham	Bye
15	Accrington	Peterborough	2 : 1
16	Middlesbrough	Doncaster	0 : 4
17	Bournemouth	Bye
18	Bye	Brentford
20	Bye	Aston Villa
21	Sunderland	Bye
22	Huddersfield	Leicester	3 : 2
24	Bye	Manchester City
25	Liverpool	Bye
27	Watford	Norwich	1 : 2
28	Northampton	Southampton	0 : 1
29	Newcastle	Bye
31	Stoke	Walsall	1 : 0
32	Blackburn	Bradford City	1 : 2
33	Bolton	Sheffield Wed	3 : 4
34	Bye	Leeds
35	Grimsby	Shrewsbury	3 : 1
36	Bye	Manchester Utd
37	Wolves	Bye
38	Bye	West Ham
39	Everton	Bye
40	Chesterfield	Mansfield	0 : 2
41	Crystal Palace	Bye
43	Newport	Millwall	0 : 1
44	Coventry	Luton	1 : 0
45	Burnley	Bye
46	West Brom	Derby	1 : 2
47	Cardiff	Swindon	2 : 1
48	Cheltenham	Exeter	2 : 0
49	Barrow	Preston	0 : 1
50	Wrexham	Hull	4 : 3
51	Portsmouth	Reading	1 : 2
52	Gillingham	AFC Wimbledon	1 : 2
53	Wigan	Notts Co	1 : 0
54	Stockport County	Crewe	3 : 1
55	Bromley	Ipswich	2 : 1
56	Leyton Orient	Wycombe	0 : 1
57	Barnsley	Fleetwood	3 : 2
58	Salford	Rotherham	0 : 1
59	Oxford Utd	Colchester	1 : 0
60	Bye	Brighton
61	Fulham	Bye
62	Bristol City	MK Dons	2 : 0
63	Bristol Rovers	Cambridge Utd	0 : 2
64	Charlton	Stevenage	3 : 1

1/32-finals

1	Birmingham	Port Vale	0 : 1
2	Bye	Arsenal
3	Swansea	Plymouth	2 : 1
4	Bye	Nottingham
5	Burton	Lincoln	0 : 1
6	Bye	Chelsea
7	Tottenham	Bye
8	Accrington	Doncaster	0 : 2
9	Bournemouth	Brentford	0 : 2
10	Bye	Aston Villa
11	Sunderland	Huddersfield	1 : 2
12	Bye	Manchester City
13	Liverpool	Bye
14	Norwich	Southampton	0 : 3
15	Newcastle	Bye
16	Stoke	Bradford City	0 : 3
17	Sheffield Wed	Leeds	2 : 1
18	Grimsby	Manchester Utd	3 : 2
19	Wolves	West Ham	3 : 2
20	Everton	Mansfield	2 : 0
21	Crystal Palace	Bye
22	Millwall	Coventry	2 : 1
23	Burnley	Derby	2 : 1
24	Cardiff	Cheltenham	3 : 0
25	Preston	Wrexham	2 : 3
26	Reading	AFC Wimbledon	2 : 1
27	Wigan	Stockport County	1 : 0
28	Bromley	Wycombe	1 : 2
29	Barnsley	Rotherham	2 : 1
30	Oxford Utd	Brighton	0 : 6
31	Fulham	Bristol City	2 : 0
32	Cambridge Utd	Charlton	3 : 1

1/16-finals

1	Port Vale	Arsenal
2	Swansea	Nottingham
3	Lincoln	Chelsea
4	Tottenham	Doncaster
5	Brentford	Aston Villa
6	Huddersfield	Manchester City
7	Liverpool	Southampton
8	Newcastle	Bradford City
9	Sheffield Wed	Grimsby
10	Wolves	Everton
11	Crystal Palace	Millwall
12	Burnley	Cardiff
13	Wrexham	Reading
14	Wigan	Wycombe
15	Barnsley	Brighton
16	Fulham	Cambridge Utd