Result
2:1
12/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- EFL Cup - 1/64-finals
- Referee: Bannister A. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 0.83 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 27% | 73% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 59% (130/220) | 82% (475/578) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 0.83 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.69 | 1.22 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 59% (130/220) | 82% (475/578) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (23/69) | 50% (32/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 36% (29/81) | 66% (87/132) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (1/6) | 16% (3/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 0.75 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 32 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (14/21) | 53% (8/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 69 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.22 | 1.69 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.22 | -0.31 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 1', 1 - 0, Henderson A. ⚽,
- 21', Pye L. 🟨,
- 25', 2 - 0, Mooney K. ⚽, Henderson A. (A),
- 31', Martin D. 🟨,
- 36', Henderson A. 🟨,
- 41', Henderson A. ↓, Sinclair I. ↑,
- 45', Lolos K. 🟨,
- 45+1', Brown C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Lolos K. ↓, Odoh A. ↑,
- 56', Lisbie K. 🟨,
- 59', Pye L. ↓, Love D. ↑,
- 59', Popoola A. ↓, Woods J. ↑,
- 60', Martin D. ↓, Coyle L. ↑,
- 63', Lisbie K. ↓, Hayes C. ↑,
- 66', Love D. 🟨,
- 70', Dornelly J. ↓, Mendonca L. ↑,
- 78', Brown C. ↓, Tunstall F. ↑,
- 80', 2 - 1, Collins A. ⚽, Hayes C. (A),
- 90+2', Sass F. 🟨,
- 90+5', Khela B. ↓, Shofowoke B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Accrington Stanley
44.8% | Draw
31.6% | Peterborough United
23.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Accrington Stanley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Accrington Stanley's performance.Peterborough United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Peterborough United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (-12.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Accrington Stanley that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peterborough United than the current prediction. (+17.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Peterborough United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Accrington Stanley - Peterborough United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.1 ↑
(2.81) |
4.65 ↑
(3.5) |
6.68 ↑
(2.36) |
-31.2%
(6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Accrington Stanley - Peterborough United?
Users Predictions:
Peterborough United will win
(18 of 19 users predict this - 94.74%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.7% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Peterborough United will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 1.
- Accrington has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Peterborough is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Peterborough may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Accrington has had a series of home games.
- Recently, Peterborough has had a series of away games.
- Peterborough will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 5:22. (average 0.6:2.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Accrington won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.8:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Accrington Stanley won against Peterborough United?
Accrington Stanley has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Peterborough United won against Accrington Stanley?
Peterborough United has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Accrington Stanley - Peterborough United were as follows:
18.04.2023
Accrington Stanley
-
Peterborough United
1:2
25.10.2022
Peterborough United
-
Accrington Stanley
3:1
Latest results of Accrington Stanley
Latest results of Peterborough United
Draw
Main1/64-finals| 1 | Birmingham | Sheffield Utd | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Blackpool | Port Vale | 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Accrington | Peterborough | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Middlesbrough | Doncaster | 0 : 4 |
| 5 | Tranmere | Burton | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Harrogate | Lincoln | 1 : 3 |
| 7 | Sunderland | Bye | |
| 8 | Huddersfield | Leicester | 3 : 2 |
| 9 | Barrow | Preston | 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Wrexham | Hull | 4 : 3 |
| 11 | Wigan | Notts Co | 1 : 0 |
| 12 | Stockport County | Crewe | 3 : 1 |
| 13 | Stoke | Walsall | 1 : 0 |
| 14 | Blackburn | Bradford City | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Burnley | Bye | |
| 16 | West Brom | Derby | 1 : 2 |
| 17 | Everton | Bye | |
| 18 | Chesterfield | Mansfield | 0 : 2 |
| 19 | Bolton | Sheffield Wed | 3 : 4 |
| 20 | Bye | Leeds | |
| 21 | Grimsby | Shrewsbury | 3 : 1 |
| 22 | Bye | Manchester Utd | |
| 23 | Fulham | Bye | |
| 24 | Bristol City | MK Dons | 2 : 0 |
| 25 | Watford | Norwich | 1 : 2 |
| 26 | Northampton | Southampton | 0 : 1 |
| 27 | Oxford Utd | Colchester | 1 : 0 |
| 28 | Bye | Brighton | |
| 29 | Portsmouth | Reading | 1 : 2 |
| 30 | Gillingham | AFC Wimbledon | 1 : 2 |
| 31 | Cardiff | Swindon | 2 : 1 |
| 32 | Cheltenham | Exeter | 2 : 0 |
| 33 | Newport | Millwall | 0 : 1 |
| 34 | Coventry | Luton | 1 : 0 |
| 35 | Wolves | Bye | |
| 36 | Bye | West Ham | |
| 37 | Barnsley | Fleetwood | 3 : 2 |
| 38 | Salford | Rotherham | 0 : 1 |
| 39 | Swansea | Crawley | 3 : 1 |
| 40 | Plymouth | QPR | 3 : 2 |
| 41 | Bromley | Ipswich | 2 : 1 |
| 42 | Leyton Orient | Wycombe | 0 : 1 |
| 43 | Bristol Rovers | Cambridge Utd | 0 : 2 |
| 44 | Charlton | Stevenage | 3 : 1 |
| 45 | Bournemouth | Bye | |
| 46 | Bye | Brentford | |
1/32-finals| 1 | Birmingham | Port Vale | |
| 2 | Accrington | Doncaster | |
| 3 | Burton | Lincoln | |
| 4 | Sunderland | Huddersfield | |
| 5 | Preston | Wrexham | |
| 6 | Wigan | Stockport County | |
| 7 | Stoke | Bradford City | |
| 8 | Burnley | Derby | |
| 9 | Everton | Mansfield | |
| 10 | Sheffield Wed | Leeds | |
| 11 | Grimsby | Manchester Utd | |
| 12 | Fulham | Bristol City | |
| 13 | Norwich | Southampton | |
| 14 | Oxford Utd | Brighton | |
| 15 | Reading | AFC Wimbledon | |
| 16 | Cardiff | Cheltenham | |
| 17 | Millwall | Coventry | |
| 18 | Wolves | West Ham | |
| 19 | Barnsley | Rotherham | |
| 20 | Swansea | Plymouth | |
| 21 | Bromley | Wycombe | |
| 22 | Cambridge Utd | Charlton | |
| 23 | Bournemouth | Brentford | |
