Result
2:1
03/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 41
- Referee: Searle I. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.96 | 1.35 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (271/364) | 79% (348/439) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.96 | 1.35 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 1.34 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 15 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 21 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (271/364) | 79% (348/439) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 26% (15/57) | 33% (21/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (79/132) | 62% (58/94) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (3/17) | 8% (1/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 0.53 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 21 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 71% (15/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.34 | 1.42 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.34 | -0.58 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 20', 1 - 0, Richards J. ⚽, Naismith K. (A),
- 33', Keeley J. 🟨,
- 35', Leonard H. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 50', 2 - 0, Clark J. ⚽, Lawrence E. (A),
- 60', Khela B. ↓, Woods B. ↑,
- 60', Leonard H. ↓, Kamara D. ↑,
- 61', Hayes C. ↓, Shofowoke B. ↑,
- 65', Wells N. ↓, Cole D. ↑,
- 65', Lawrence E. ↓, Kodua G. ↑,
- 72', Lees T. ↓, Okagbue D. ↑,
- 75', 2 - 1, Morgan J. ⚽, Lisbie K. (A),
- 80', Naismith K. 🟨,
- 80', Lisbie K. 🟨,
- 83', van den Berg D. ↓, Saville G. ↑,
- 83', Clark J. ↓, Palmer K. ↑,
- 90+3', Kamara D. 🟨,
- 90+4', Palmer K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Luton Town
58.2% | Draw
22.6% | Peterborough United
19.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Luton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Peterborough United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peterborough United than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Luton Town - Peterborough United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.62
(1.62) |
4.14 ↓
(4.22) |
4.8 ↑
(4.61) |
6.6%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Luton Town - Peterborough United?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Luton will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Peterborough will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Luton (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Luton won 4.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, Luton is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Luton: Baptiste S.
(Knee Injury)
Mengi T.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Peterborough: Adebisi R.
(Knee Injury)
Garbett M.
(Foot Injury)
Hughes S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Johnston C.
(Calf Injury)
Leonard H.
(Hernia)
O'Brien-Brady D.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Luton: Andersen M.
(Inactive)
Wells N.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Peterborough: Lees T.
(Calf Injury)
Woods B.
(Hand Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Luton won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 1.6:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Luton won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:1. (average 2.3:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Luton Town won against Peterborough United?
Luton Town has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Peterborough United won against Luton Town?
Peterborough United has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Luton Town - Peterborough United were as follows:
09.08.2025
Peterborough United
-
Luton Town
0:2
Latest results of Luton Town
Latest results of Peterborough United
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln ✔ | 42 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 79:36 | 43 | 93 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 41 | 24 | 9 | 8 | 76:42 | 34 | 81 |
| 3 | Bradford City | 42 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 71 |
| 4 | Bolton | 42 | 18 | 16 | 8 | 59:44 | 15 | 70 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 40 | 19 | 10 | 11 | 59:50 | 9 | 67 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 41 | 19 | 10 | 12 | 43:38 | 5 | 67 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 42 | 19 | 6 | 17 | 66:58 | 8 | 63 |
| 8 | Huddersfield | 42 | 17 | 11 | 14 | 65:56 | 9 | 62 |
| 9 | Reading | 43 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 62:55 | 7 | 62 |
| 10 | Luton | 41 | 17 | 10 | 14 | 57:50 | 7 | 61 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 43 | 16 | 12 | 15 | 63:51 | 12 | 60 |
| 12 | Barnsley | 40 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 63:65 | -2 | 54 |
| 13 | Mansfield | 40 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 50:43 | 7 | 53 |
| 14 | Doncaster | 42 | 15 | 8 | 19 | 43:64 | -21 | 53 |
| 15 | Wigan | 42 | 13 | 13 | 16 | 46:56 | -10 | 52 |
| 16 | Peterborough | 41 | 15 | 6 | 20 | 60:58 | 2 | 51 |
| 17 | Burton | 43 | 13 | 12 | 18 | 46:56 | -10 | 51 |
| 18 | Blackpool | 43 | 14 | 9 | 20 | 51:65 | -14 | 51 |
| 19 | Leyton Orient | 42 | 14 | 8 | 20 | 57:66 | -9 | 50 |
| 20 | AFC Wimbledon | 42 | 14 | 8 | 20 | 49:63 | -14 | 50 |
| 21 | Exeter | 43 | 12 | 11 | 20 | 47:55 | -8 | 47 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 41 | 9 | 10 | 22 | 36:62 | -26 | 37 |
| 23 | Northampton | 41 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 34:60 | -26 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 39 | 8 | 10 | 21 | 30:54 | -24 | 34 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lincoln is Qualified for Championship
