Burton Albion vs Peterborough United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League One Burton Albion - Peterborough United
Result
0:1
18/10/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 13
  • Referee: Bell E. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.150.47
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
158
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
71% (294/414)68% (192/283)
Yellow Cards
24
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.150.47
xG on target (xGOT)
0.650.71
Total shots
158
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
83
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
121
Shots outside the Box
36
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
435
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
910
Passes
71% (294/414)68% (192/283)
Long passes
37% (33/90)27% (16/60)
Passes in final third
55% (110/199)42% (29/69)
Crosses
21% (6/29)19% (3/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.180.21
Throw-ins
3120
Fouls
109
Tackles
57% (4/7)54% (7/13)
Duels won
5960
Clearances
2068
Interceptions
109
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
0.710.65
Goals prevented
-0.290.65

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 25', Morgan J. 🟨,
  • 35', Lees T. 🟨,
  • 42', O'Connor T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Williams D. , McKiernan J. J. ,
  • 55', Delap F. 🟨,
  • 59', Armer J. 🟨,
  • 64', Woods B. , Khela B. ,
  • 64', Morgan J. , Lisbie K. ,
  • 65', 0 - 1, Collins A. , Kioso P. (A),
  • 76', Tavares F. , Williamson J. ,
  • 76', McKiernan J. J. , Krubally S. ,
  • 81', Lees T. 🟨,
  • 83', Leonard H. , Okagbue D. ,
  • 87', Garbett M. , Dornelly J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Burton Albion
38.8%
Draw
28%
Peterborough United
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.2% 26.2% 35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5% 26.4% 35.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Burton Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • Peterborough United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peterborough United than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • Burton Albion - Peterborough United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.47
    (2.44)
    3.36
    (3.56)
    2.83
    (2.62)
    5.6%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Burton Albion - Peterborough United?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Burton will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Peterborough will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Burton: 16.1%74.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Peterborough (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 20 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burton won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Peterborough may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Burton: Hazlehurst J. (Ankle Injury) Jones J. (Foot Injury) Sraha J. (Inactive) Vancooten T. (Leg Injury)
    • There will not play in Peterborough: Adebisi R. (Knee Injury) Frith D. (Knee Injury) Hayes C. (Knee Injury) Hughes S. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There are questionable in Burton: Evans G. (Ankle Injury) Newall J. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Peterborough: Mendy J. (Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Burton won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:33. (average 1.3:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Burton won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:18. (average 1.4:2.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Burton Albion - Peterborough United were as follows:
    01.01.2025 Burton Albion - Peterborough United 2:2
    04.12.2024 Peterborough United - Burton Albion 0:1
    09.03.2024 Burton Albion - Peterborough United 1:3
    25.11.2023 Peterborough United - Burton Albion 4:0
    14.03.2023 Burton Albion - Peterborough United 2:5
    Latest results of Burton Albion
    Latest results of Peterborough United
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff1282221:101126
    2Stevenage1181217:9825
    3Bradford City1274122:15725
    4Stockport County1374219:14525
    5AFC Wimbledon1381419:14525
    6Lincoln1273218:10824
    7Bolton1355318:15320
    8Huddersfield1261518:15319
    9Mansfield1253418:14418
    10Barnsley1153318:16218
    11Northampton1352610:12-217
    12Doncaster1352612:18-617
    13Wigan1344516:17-116
    14Luton1251614:15-116
    15Leyton Orient1342720:23-314
    16Reading1335514:18-414
    17Rotherham1242612:16-414
    18Wycombe1334615:16-113
    19Port Vale1334611:12-113
    20Exeter1341812:14-213
    21Plymouth1241717:21-413
    22Burton1233610:16-612
    23Peterborough123189:20-1110
    24Blackpool1323811:21-109

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two