Result
0:1
18/10/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 13
- Referee: Bell E. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.47 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (294/414) | 68% (192/283) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.47 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 0.71 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 1 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 43 | 5 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (294/414) | 68% (192/283) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (33/90) | 27% (16/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (110/199) | 42% (29/69) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (6/29) | 19% (3/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 0.21 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 31 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (4/7) | 54% (7/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 68 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.71 | 0.65 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.29 | 0.65 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 25', Morgan J. 🟨,
- 35', Lees T. 🟨,
- 42', O'Connor T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Williams D. ↓, McKiernan J. J. ↑,
- 55', Delap F. 🟨,
- 59', Armer J. 🟨,
- 64', Woods B. ↓, Khela B. ↑,
- 64', Morgan J. ↓, Lisbie K. ↑,
- 65', 0 - 1, Collins A. ⚽, Kioso P. (A),
- 76', Tavares F. ↓, Williamson J. ↑,
- 76', McKiernan J. J. ↓, Krubally S. ↑,
- 81', Lees T. 🟨,
- 83', Leonard H. ↓, Okagbue D. ↑,
- 87', Garbett M. ↓, Dornelly J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Burton Albion
38.8% | Draw
28% | Peterborough United
33.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Burton Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Peterborough United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peterborough United than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Burton Albion - Peterborough United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.47 ↑
(2.44) |
3.36 ↓
(3.56) |
2.83 ↑
(2.62) |
5.6%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Burton Albion - Peterborough United?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Burton will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Peterborough will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Burton: 16.1% – 74.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Peterborough United will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 20 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burton won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Peterborough may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Burton: Hazlehurst J.
(Ankle Injury)
Jones J.
(Foot Injury)
Sraha J.
(Inactive)
Vancooten T.
(Leg Injury)
- There will not play in Peterborough: Adebisi R.
(Knee Injury)
Frith D.
(Knee Injury)
Hayes C.
(Knee Injury)
Hughes S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There are questionable in Burton: Evans G.
(Ankle Injury)
Newall J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Peterborough: Mendy J.
(Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Burton won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:33. (average 1.3:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Burton won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:18. (average 1.4:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Burton Albion won against Peterborough United?
Burton Albion has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Peterborough United won against Burton Albion?
Peterborough United has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Burton Albion - Peterborough United were as follows:
01.01.2025
Burton Albion
-
Peterborough United
2:2
04.12.2024
Peterborough United
-
Burton Albion
0:1
09.03.2024
Burton Albion
-
Peterborough United
1:3
25.11.2023
Peterborough United
-
Burton Albion
4:0
14.03.2023
Burton Albion
-
Peterborough United
2:5
Latest results of Burton Albion
Latest results of Peterborough United
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln | 39 | 25 | 9 | 5 | 74:34 | 40 | 84 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 39 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 73:41 | 32 | 77 |
| 3 | Bolton | 39 | 17 | 15 | 7 | 55:39 | 16 | 66 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 39 | 19 | 8 | 12 | 49:44 | 5 | 65 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 51:48 | 3 | 60 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 41:38 | 3 | 60 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 39 | 18 | 5 | 16 | 60:54 | 6 | 59 |
| 8 | Reading | 39 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 57:51 | 6 | 58 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 39 | 16 | 9 | 14 | 59:51 | 8 | 57 |
| 10 | Wycombe | 39 | 15 | 11 | 13 | 55:43 | 12 | 56 |
| 11 | Luton | 39 | 15 | 10 | 14 | 52:49 | 3 | 55 |
| 12 | Peterborough | 38 | 15 | 5 | 18 | 57:52 | 5 | 50 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 37 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 59:60 | -1 | 50 |
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 49:55 | -6 | 50 |
| 15 | Doncaster | 39 | 14 | 8 | 17 | 42:59 | -17 | 50 |
| 16 | Mansfield | 37 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 47:41 | 6 | 49 |
| 17 | Leyton Orient | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 55:62 | -7 | 48 |
| 18 | Burton | 39 | 12 | 10 | 17 | 44:54 | -10 | 46 |
| 19 | Wigan | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
| 20 | Exeter | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 42:52 | -10 | 42 |
| 21 | Blackpool | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 46:63 | -17 | 42 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 35:58 | -23 | 36 |
| 23 | Northampton | 39 | 9 | 8 | 22 | 33:56 | -23 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 29:50 | -21 | 31 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
