Peterborough United vs Bolton Wanderers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
10/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 26
  • Referee: Yates O. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaParamount+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.971.89
Ball possession
58%42%
Total shots
1614
Shots on target
72
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
55
Passes
81% (411/510)75% (269/358)
Yellow cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
0.971.89
xG on target (xGOT)
2.191.04
Total shots
1614
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
66
Blocked shots
36
Shots inside the box
1010
Shots outside the box
64
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
2231
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
33
Free kicks
107
Passes
81% (411/510)75% (269/358)
Long passes
39% (22/57)35% (23/66)
Passes in final third
63% (86/136)62% (73/117)
Crosses
27% (4/15)37% (7/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.491.47
Throw ins
2916
Fouls
710
Tackles
58% (7/12)50% (10/20)
Duels won
4862
Clearances
2226
Interceptions
714
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
14
xGOT faced
1.042.19
Goals prevented
0.04-0.81

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 34', 1 - 0, Morgan J. , Leonard H. (A),
  • 44', Sheehan J. , Christie C. ,
  • 45', Gale T. , Dalby S. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Erhahon E. , Simons X. ,
  • 54', 2 - 0, Garbett M. , Collins A. (A),
  • 58', Cozier-Duberry A. , Forss M. ,
  • 65', 2 - 1, Dalby S. , Conway M. (A),
  • 66', 3 - 1, Lisbie K. , Johnston C. (A),
  • 68', Dempsey K. , Morley A. ,
  • 71', Khela B. , O'Brien-Brady D. ,
  • 81', Kioso P. 🟨,
  • 82', Morgan J. , Aderoju O. ,
  • 83', Lisbie K. , Frith D. ,
  • 90+2', Garbett M. , Hayes C. ,
  • 90+2', Johnston C. , Dornelly J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Peterborough United
31.2%
Draw
25.8%
Bolton Wanderers
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.1% 26.2% 49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.4% 25.9% 49.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Peterborough United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Peterborough United's performance.
  • Bolton Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bolton Wanderers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peterborough United than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Peterborough United that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bolton Wanderers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Peterborough United - Bolton Wanderers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.99
    (3.85)
    3.6
    (3.55)
    2.18
    (1.87)
    7.2%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Peterborough United - Bolton Wanderers?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Peterborough will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Bolton will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Peterborough: 35.2%92%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Peterborough (votes: 1 - 50%). Bolton (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peterborough won 0.
    • Peterborough is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Bolton has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Bolton is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Peterborough: Adebisi R. (Knee Injury) Hughes S. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Mendy J. (Inactive) Mills H. (Inactive) Okagbue D. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Bolton: Adeboyejo V. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Peterborough won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:22. (average 1:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Peterborough won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:13. (average 1.8:2.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Peterborough United - Bolton Wanderers were as follows:
    04.10.2025 Bolton Wanderers - Peterborough United 2:1
    26.04.2025 Peterborough United - Bolton Wanderers 1:1
    26.10.2024 Bolton Wanderers - Peterborough United 1:0
    27.04.2024 Peterborough United - Bolton Wanderers 3:3
    23.09.2023 Bolton Wanderers - Peterborough United 1:1
    Latest results of Peterborough United
    Latest results of Bolton Wanderers
    English League One Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lincoln ✔ 463110589:4148103
    2Cardiff ✔ 462710990:504091
    3Stockport County4622111371:581377
    4Bradford City4622111358:51777
    5Bolton ✔ 461918970:521875
    6Stevenage4621121349:46375
    7Luton4621111468:561274
    8Plymouth462271775:631273
    9Huddersfield4618131574:641067
    10Mansfield4616171362:501265
    11Wycombe4617121769:581163
    12Reading4616151564:60463
    13Blackpool461792054:65-1160
    14Doncaster461792050:69-1960
    15Barnsley4615141768:73-559
    16Wigan4614141849:58-956
    17Burton4613151850:60-1054
    18Peterborough461582364:68-453
    19AFC Wimbledon461582351:72-2153
    20Leyton Orient4614102259:71-1252
    21Exeter4612132152:61-949
    22Port Vale ✔ 4610122436:61-2542
    23Rotherham ✔ 4610112541:71-3041
    24Northampton ✔ 46982939:74-3535

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Lincoln is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
    Cardiff is Qualified for Championship
    Bolton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
    Port Vale is Relegated to League Two
    Rotherham is Relegated to League Two
    Northampton is Relegated to League Two