Peterborough United vs Luton Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League One Peterborough United - Luton Town
Result
0:2
09/08/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 2
  • Referee: Oldham S. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLTFC+, Sky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.281.48
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
69
Shots on target
24
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
36
Passes
73% (261/358)72% (264/369)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.281.48
xG on target (xGOT)
0.241.66
Total shots
69
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
14
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
37
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
36
Touches in opposition box
1426
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
25
Free Kicks
1215
Passes
73% (261/358)72% (264/369)
Long passes
32% (23/72)34% (25/73)
Passes in final third
59% (51/87)63% (90/142)
Crosses
0% (0/7)28% (5/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.291.15
Throw-ins
2044
Fouls
1512
Tackles
68% (17/25)65% (17/26)
Duels won
6575
Clearances
3314
Interceptions
78
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.660.24
Goals prevented
-0.340.24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Walters R. , Lonwijk N. ,
  • 60', 0 - 1, Andersen M. , Saville G. (A),
  • 61', Odoh A. , Lisbie K. ,
  • 62', Okagbue D. 🟨,
  • 70', Baptiste S. , Walsh L. ,
  • 71', Yates J. , Dabo L. ,
  • 72', Andersen M. 🟨,
  • 78', Mills H. , Nevett G. ,
  • 79', Johnston C. , Lindgren G. ,
  • 82', Khela B. 🟨,
  • 84', Wells N. 🟨,
  • 85', 0 - 2, Clark J. , Wells N. (A),
  • 86', Wells N. , McGuinness M. ,
  • 87', Wallin O. , Dornelly J. ,
  • 90+9', Clark J. , Nelson Z. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Peterborough United
22.9%
Draw
24.9%
Luton Town
52.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.1% 26.9% 47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5% 26.2% 48.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Peterborough United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • Luton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Luton Town's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peterborough United than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (-4%)
  • Peterborough United - Luton Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.98
    (3.6)
    3.76
    (3.5)
    1.83
    (2)
    6.4%
    (6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Peterborough United - Luton Town?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Luton (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Luton Town will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 71.41%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peterborough won 1.
    • Recent performances by Peterborough have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Luton is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Peterborough may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Peterborough has had a series of away games.
    • Luton is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Peterborough: Adebisi R. (Knee Injury) Blackmore W. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Luton: Adebayo E. (Knee Injury) Brown J. (Ankle Injury) Lockyer T. (Ankle Injury) Mengi T. (Knee Injury) Odoffin H. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Peterborough: Wallin O. (Injury)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Peterborough won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1.1:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Peterborough won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.6:1).
    Latest results of Peterborough United
    Latest results of Luton Town
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bradford City1173120:13724
    2Stevenage971115:8722
    3Lincoln1063117:9821
    4Cardiff1062215:6920
    5Huddersfield1061316:11519
    6AFC Wimbledon1060414:12218
    7Luton1051414:11316
    8Stockport County1044215:13216
    9Barnsley951314:12216
    10Doncaster1051410:11-116
    11Bolton1035214:10414
    12Mansfield1042415:13214
    13Northampton94147:8-113
    14Wigan1033414:15-112
    15Plymouth1040615:18-312
    16Port Vale1032510:10011
    17Leyton Orient1032513:18-511
    18Exeter1030710:12-29
    19Reading923410:14-49
    20Wycombe1022611:13-28
    21Rotherham102269:15-68
    22Blackpool1022610:17-78
    23Burton92256:14-88
    24Peterborough102177:18-117

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two