Result
0:2
09/08/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 2
- Referee: Oldham S. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | LTFC+, Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.28 | 1.48 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (261/358) | 72% (264/369) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.28 | 1.48 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.24 | 1.66 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (261/358) | 72% (264/369) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (23/72) | 34% (25/73) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (51/87) | 63% (90/142) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/7) | 28% (5/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.29 | 1.15 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 44 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (17/25) | 65% (17/26) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 65 | 75 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.66 | 0.24 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.34 | 0.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Walters R. ↓, Lonwijk N. ↑,
- 60', 0 - 1, Andersen M. ⚽, Saville G. (A),
- 61', Odoh A. ↓, Lisbie K. ↑,
- 62', Okagbue D. 🟨,
- 70', Baptiste S. ↓, Walsh L. ↑,
- 71', Yates J. ↓, Dabo L. ↑,
- 72', Andersen M. 🟨,
- 78', Mills H. ↓, Nevett G. ↑,
- 79', Johnston C. ↓, Lindgren G. ↑,
- 82', Khela B. 🟨,
- 84', Wells N. 🟨,
- 85', 0 - 2, Clark J. ⚽, Wells N. (A),
- 86', Wells N. ↓, McGuinness M. ↑,
- 87', Wallin O. ↓, Dornelly J. ↑,
- 90+9', Clark J. ↓, Nelson Z. ↑,
Chances of winning
Peterborough United
22.9% | Draw
24.9% | Luton Town
52.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Peterborough United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)Luton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Luton Town's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peterborough United than the current prediction. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (-4%)
Peterborough United - Luton Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.98 ↑
(3.6) |
3.76 ↑
(3.5) |
1.83 ↓
(2) |
6.4%
(6.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Peterborough United - Luton Town?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.5 - Luton (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Luton Town will win
(9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Luton Town will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Luton (votes: 6 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peterborough won 1.
- Recent performances by Peterborough have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Luton is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Peterborough may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Peterborough has had a series of away games.
- Luton is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Peterborough: Adebisi R.
(Knee Injury)
Blackmore W.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Luton: Adebayo E.
(Knee Injury)
Brown J.
(Ankle Injury)
Lockyer T.
(Ankle Injury)
Mengi T.
(Knee Injury)
Odoffin H.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Peterborough: Wallin O.
(Injury)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Peterborough won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1.1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Peterborough won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.6:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Peterborough United won against Luton Town?
Peterborough United has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Luton Town won against Peterborough United?
Luton Town has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Peterborough United - Luton Town were as follows:
Latest results of Peterborough United
Latest results of Luton Town
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln | 39 | 25 | 9 | 5 | 74:34 | 40 | 84 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 39 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 73:41 | 32 | 77 |
| 3 | Bolton | 39 | 17 | 15 | 7 | 55:39 | 16 | 66 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 39 | 19 | 8 | 12 | 49:44 | 5 | 65 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 51:48 | 3 | 60 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 41:38 | 3 | 60 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 39 | 18 | 5 | 16 | 60:54 | 6 | 59 |
| 8 | Reading | 39 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 57:51 | 6 | 58 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 39 | 16 | 9 | 14 | 59:51 | 8 | 57 |
| 10 | Wycombe | 39 | 15 | 11 | 13 | 55:43 | 12 | 56 |
| 11 | Luton | 39 | 15 | 10 | 14 | 52:49 | 3 | 55 |
| 12 | Peterborough | 38 | 15 | 5 | 18 | 57:52 | 5 | 50 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 37 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 59:60 | -1 | 50 |
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 49:55 | -6 | 50 |
| 15 | Doncaster | 39 | 14 | 8 | 17 | 42:59 | -17 | 50 |
| 16 | Mansfield | 37 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 47:41 | 6 | 49 |
| 17 | Leyton Orient | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 55:62 | -7 | 48 |
| 18 | Burton | 39 | 12 | 10 | 17 | 44:54 | -10 | 46 |
| 19 | Wigan | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
| 20 | Exeter | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 42:52 | -10 | 42 |
| 21 | Blackpool | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 46:63 | -17 | 42 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 35:58 | -23 | 36 |
| 23 | Northampton | 39 | 9 | 8 | 22 | 33:56 | -23 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 29:50 | -21 | 31 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
