Peterborough United vs Luton Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2

09/08/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Weston Homes Stadium (Peterborough).

League One - Round 2
Referee: Oldham S. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	LTFC+, Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.28	1.48
Ball Possession
49%	51%
Total shots
6	9
Shots on target
2	4
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
3	6
Passes
73% (261/358)	72% (264/369)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.28	1.48
xG on target (xGOT)
0.24	1.66
Total shots
6	9
Shots on target
2	4
Shots off target
1	4
Blocked Shots
3	1
Shots inside the Box
3	7
Shots outside the Box
3	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
3	6
Touches in opposition box
14	26
Accurate through passes
0	2
Offsides
2	5
Free Kicks
12	15
Passes
73% (261/358)	72% (264/369)
Long passes
32% (23/72)	34% (25/73)
Passes in final third
59% (51/87)	63% (90/142)
Crosses
0% (0/7)	28% (5/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.29	1.15
Throw-ins
20	44
Fouls
15	12
Tackles
68% (17/25)	65% (17/26)
Duels won
65	75
Clearances
33	14
Interceptions
7	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	2
xGOT faced
1.66	0.24
Goals prevented
-0.34	0.24

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Walters R. ↓, Lonwijk N. ↑,
60', 0 - 1, Andersen M. ⚽, Saville G. (A),
61', Odoh A. ↓, Lisbie K. ↑,
62', Okagbue D. 🟨,
70', Baptiste S. ↓, Walsh L. ↑,
71', Yates J. ↓, Dabo L. ↑,
72', Andersen M. 🟨,
78', Mills H. ↓, Nevett G. ↑,
79', Johnston C. ↓, Lindgren G. ↑,
82', Khela B. 🟨,
84', Wells N. 🟨,
85', 0 - 2, Clark J. ⚽, Wells N. (A),
86', Wells N. ↓, McGuinness M. ↑,
87', Wallin O. ↓, Dornelly J. ↑,
90+9', Clark J. ↓, Nelson Z. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Peterborough United
22.9%

Draw
24.9%

Luton Town
52.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.1%

26.9%

47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5%

26.2%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peterborough United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Luton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Luton Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peterborough United than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (-4%)

Peterborough United - Luton Town Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.98 ↑ (3.6)	3.76 ↑ (3.5)	1.83 ↓ (2)	6.4% (6.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Peterborough United - Luton Town?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH +0.5 - Luton (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Luton Town will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Luton Town will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Luton (votes: 6 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peterborough won 1.
Recent performances by Peterborough have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Luton is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Peterborough may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Peterborough has had a series of away games.
Luton is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Peterborough: Adebisi R. (Knee Injury) Blackmore W. (Inactive)
There will not play in Luton: Adebayo E. (Knee Injury) Brown J. (Ankle Injury) Lockyer T. (Ankle Injury) Mengi T. (Knee Injury) Odoffin H. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Peterborough: Wallin O. (Injury)
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Peterborough won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1.1:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Peterborough won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.6:1).

Latest results of Peterborough United

02.08.2025 Cardiff City - Peterborough United 2:1 ✺

26.07.2025 Grimsby Town - Peterborough United 3:2 ✺

25.07.2025 Colchester United - Peterborough United 2:2 ✺

22.07.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Peterborough United 1:2 ✺

19.07.2025 Boston United - Peterborough United 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Luton Town

01.08.2025 Luton Town - AFC Wimbledon 1:0 ✺

26.07.2025 Luton Town - Tottenham Hotspur 0:0 ✺

22.07.2025 Southend United - Luton Town 0:2 ✺

19.07.2025 Gillingham - Luton Town 0:2 ✺

05.07.2025 Boreham Wood - Luton Town 0:3 ✺

English League One Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Cardiff	34	22	6	6	68:36	32	72
2	Lincoln	34	21	8	5	63:31	32	71
3	Bolton	35	16	13	6	50:34	16	61
4	Bradford City	34	17	7	10	43:38	5	58
5	Stockport County	34	16	8	10	47:43	4	56
6	Wycombe	35	14	11	10	50:36	14	53
7	Huddersfield	35	15	7	13	55:46	9	52
8	Reading	34	13	12	9	50:44	6	51
9	Stevenage	33	14	9	10	37:35	2	51
10	Luton	34	13	8	13	43:41	2	47
11	Peterborough	35	14	4	17	50:49	1	46
12	Plymouth	34	14	4	16	49:50	-1	46
13	Barnsley	32	12	8	12	53:54	-1	44
14	AFC Wimbledon	33	12	7	14	41:48	-7	43
15	Exeter	34	11	9	14	39:40	-1	42
16	Mansfield	33	10	11	12	39:37	2	41
17	Burton	35	10	10	15	39:50	-11	40
18	Doncaster	33	11	6	16	36:55	-19	39
19	Wigan	33	9	10	14	35:46	-11	37
20	Blackpool	34	10	7	17	40:54	-14	37
21	Leyton Orient	33	10	6	17	44:56	-12	36
22	Rotherham	34	9	8	17	33:47	-14	35
23	Northampton	35	9	8	18	31:47	-16	35
24	Port Vale	32	6	9	17	26:44	-18	27

      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two

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