Result
0:3
06/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 42
- Referee: Brook C. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 1.87 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 24 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 9 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (223/305) | 87% (475/549) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 1.87 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 2.58 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 24 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 20 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 42 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (223/305) | 87% (475/549) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 27% (15/56) | 42% (20/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (45/79) | 78% (129/166) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (5/26) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 1.69 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 14 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (14/21) | 71% (10/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.58 | 0.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.42 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 12', 0 - 1, Palmer K. ⚽,
- 17', Wells N. ↓, Al Hamadi A. ↑,
- 23', Bauer P. ↓, Asiimwe N. ↑,
- 28', Lewis J. 🟨,
- 30', Lewis J. ↓, Hutchinson S. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 59', 0 - 2, Al Hamadi A. ⚽, Richards J. (A),
- 63', Richards J. 🟨,
- 67', Hackford A. ↓, Sasu A. ↑,
- 67', Reeves J. ↓, Jennings K. ↑,
- 79', 0 - 3, Richards J. ⚽, Al Hamadi A. (A),
- 81', Palmer K. ↓, Saville G. ↑,
- 81', Lawrence E. ↓, Bramall C. ↑,
- 87', Clark J. ↓, van den Berg D. ↑,
- 87', Richards J. ↓, Morris S. ↑,
Chances of winning
AFC Wimbledon
26.3% | Draw
26.5% | Luton Town
47.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AFC Wimbledon's form might have worsened.Luton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Luton Town's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luton Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
AFC Wimbledon - Luton Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.54 ↑
(2.89) |
3.54 ↑
(3.3) |
2 ↓
(2.26) |
6.4%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for AFC Wimbledon - Luton Town?
Users Predictions:
AFC Wimbledon will win
(12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): AFC Wimbledon will win (2 of 3 users predict this - 66.67%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 16 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 1.
- Wimbledon is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Luton is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Luton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Luton might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Wimbledon: Sasu A.
(Hamstring Injury)
Tilley J.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Luton: Adebayo E.
(Hip Injury)
Baptiste S.
(Knee Injury)
Holmes T.
(Inactive)
Mengi T.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Wimbledon: Hippolyte M.
(Inactive)
Stevens M.
(Inactive)
Stewart L.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Luton: Andersen M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.4:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Wimbledon won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 2:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has AFC Wimbledon won against Luton Town?
AFC Wimbledon has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Luton Town won against AFC Wimbledon?
Luton Town has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AFC Wimbledon - Luton Town were as follows:
01.08.2025
Luton Town
-
AFC Wimbledon
1:0
Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
Latest results of Luton Town
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln ✔ | 45 | 30 | 10 | 5 | 87:41 | 46 | 100 |
| 2 | Cardiff ✔ | 45 | 27 | 10 | 8 | 86:45 | 41 | 91 |
| 3 | Bolton ✔ | 45 | 19 | 18 | 8 | 68:49 | 19 | 75 |
| 4 | Stockport County | 45 | 21 | 11 | 13 | 68:57 | 11 | 74 |
| 5 | Bradford City | 45 | 21 | 11 | 13 | 56:50 | 6 | 74 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 45 | 20 | 12 | 13 | 48:46 | 2 | 72 |
| 7 | Luton | 45 | 20 | 11 | 14 | 65:54 | 11 | 71 |
| 8 | Plymouth | 45 | 21 | 7 | 17 | 72:61 | 11 | 70 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 45 | 17 | 13 | 15 | 70:64 | 6 | 64 |
| 10 | Reading | 45 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 64:59 | 5 | 63 |
| 11 | Mansfield | 45 | 15 | 17 | 13 | 57:46 | 11 | 62 |
| 12 | Wycombe | 45 | 16 | 12 | 17 | 66:56 | 10 | 60 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 45 | 15 | 14 | 16 | 67:70 | -3 | 59 |
| 14 | Blackpool | 45 | 16 | 9 | 20 | 53:65 | -12 | 57 |
| 15 | Doncaster | 45 | 16 | 9 | 20 | 47:68 | -21 | 57 |
| 16 | Wigan | 45 | 14 | 14 | 17 | 49:57 | -8 | 56 |
| 17 | Peterborough | 45 | 15 | 8 | 22 | 63:65 | -2 | 53 |
| 18 | Burton | 45 | 13 | 14 | 18 | 48:58 | -10 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 45 | 15 | 8 | 22 | 51:68 | -17 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient | 45 | 14 | 9 | 22 | 57:69 | -12 | 51 |
| 21 | Exeter | 45 | 12 | 13 | 20 | 51:59 | -8 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale ✔ | 45 | 10 | 12 | 23 | 36:59 | -23 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham ✔ | 45 | 10 | 11 | 24 | 39:68 | -29 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton ✔ | 45 | 9 | 8 | 28 | 37:71 | -34 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lincoln is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
Cardiff is Qualified for Championship
Bolton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
Port Vale is Relegated to League Two
Rotherham is Relegated to League Two
Northampton is Relegated to League Two
