Result
0:2
30/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 16
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Egypt | Kora Plus, On Time Sports 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 1.61 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (202/294) | 74% (247/333) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 1.61 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 2.39 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (202/294) | 74% (247/333) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (22/59) | 37% (24/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 50% (46/92) | 69% (79/114) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (4/19) | 36% (8/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.89 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 80% (8/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.39 | 0.52 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.39 | 0.52 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 24', 0 - 1, Khalil R. ⚽, Messi (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Ezz M. ↓, Shaaban A. ↑,
- 63', Ndiay A. ↓, Yasser A. ↑,
- 71', Mostafa W. ↓, Yassin H. ↑,
- 71', Halimo ↓, Emam S. ↑,
- 76', Emam S. 🟨,
- 82', Kamel G. 🟥,
- 85', Khalil R. ↓, Gomaa K. ↑,
- 85', Messi ↓, Mutumosi Zilu P. ↑,
- 85', Gomaa K. 🟨,
- 86', Ndiaye B. 🟨,
- 86', Gaber M. ↓, Fathy M. ↑,
- 87', 0 - 2, Bakri A. ⚽, Ibrahim S. (A),
- 90+1', Saad M. ↓, Saber M. ↑,
- 90+1', Magassa M. ↓, Abdelrahman El Sakran ↑,
Chances of winning
Pharco
17.7% | Draw
33.1% | ZED
49.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pharco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ZED has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pharco than the current prediction. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for ZED than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Pharco - ZED Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.22 ↑
(4.77) |
2.8 ↑
(2.68) |
1.88 ↓
(1.99) |
8%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Pharco - ZED?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Pharco will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). ZED will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for ZED: 35.2% – 92%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Pharco (3.33) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- DC - Pharco (1.78) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 0.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Pharco (votes: 4 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: ) and 8 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: )).
- Pharco is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- ZED is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Pharco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Pharco has had a series of away games.
- In this match, ZED is seen as the favorite.
- We predict that ZED will win today's game, with odds of 2.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Pharco won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 1:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pharco won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Pharco won against ZED?
Pharco has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has ZED won against Pharco?
ZED has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pharco - ZED were as follows:
20.12.2024
Pharco
-
ZED
1:2
18.06.2024
ZED
-
Pharco
2:2
16.01.2024
Pharco
-
ZED
0:2
15.12.2023
Pharco
-
ZED
1:2
Egyptian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Zamalek ✔ | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 31:12 | 19 | 40 |
| 2 | Pyramids ✔ | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 29:14 | 15 | 37 |
| 3 | Al Ahly ✔ | 18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 29:16 | 13 | 37 |
| 4 | Ceramica Cleopatra ✔ | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 27:14 | 13 | 37 |
| 5 | Al Masry | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 27:19 | 8 | 29 |
| 6 | Smouha | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 18:13 | 5 | 28 |
| 7 | Wadi Degla | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 23:20 | 3 | 28 |
| 8 | ZED | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 19:16 | 3 | 26 |
| 9 | National Bank Egypt | 18 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 16:11 | 5 | 25 |
| 10 | Petrojet | 19 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 20:21 | -1 | 25 |
| 11 | Enppi | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 17:15 | 2 | 24 |
| 12 | El Gouna | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 15:15 | 0 | 24 |
| 13 | Modern Sport | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 23 |
| 14 | Al Ittihad ✔ | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 15:23 | -8 | 20 |
| 15 | Ghazl El Mahallah ✔ | 19 | 2 | 12 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 18 |
| 16 | Arab Contractors ✔ | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 12:18 | -6 | 18 |
| 17 | Haras El Hodood ✔ | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 14:26 | -12 | 17 |
| 18 | El Gaish ✔ | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 10:22 | -12 | 16 |
| 19 | Kahrabaa Ismailia ✔ | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 21:35 | -14 | 16 |
| 20 | Pharco ✔ | 19 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 8:22 | -14 | 14 |
| 21 | El Ismaily ✔ | 19 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 11:26 | -15 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )
Premier League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Zamalek is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
Pyramids is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
Al Ahly is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
Ceramica Cleopatra is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
Al Ittihad is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Ghazl El Mahallah is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Arab Contractors is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Haras El Hodood is Premier League (Relegation Group )
El Gaish is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Kahrabaa Ismailia is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Pharco is Premier League (Relegation Group )
El Ismaily is Premier League (Relegation Group )
