Philadelphia Phillies vs Tampa Bay Rays – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:7
23/03/2026 at 12:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLB - Spring Training

Match Stats

Hits
511
Errors
00
2B - double
12
3B - triple
00
Home runs
02
Runs batted in
07
Left on base
610
Base on balls
37
Strikeouts
118
Stolen bases
03
At bat
3037
Batting average
0.1670.297

Chances of winning


Philadelphia Phillies
62.3%
Tampa Bay Rays
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.4% 42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.1% 42.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Philadelphia Phillies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • Tampa Bay Rays has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Phillies than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Philadelphia Phillies that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Rays than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tampa Bay Rays could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Philadelphia Phillies - Tampa Bay Rays Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.54
    (1.67)

    2.54
    (2.25)
    4.3%
    (4.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 7.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
    What is the prediction for Philadelphia Phillies - Tampa Bay Rays?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tampa Bay (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Philadelphia Phillies will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 5:3.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 5.
    • Philadelphia has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Tampa Bay has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 103:77. (average 5.2:3.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Philadelphia won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 49:46. (average 4.9:4.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Philadelphia Phillies - Tampa Bay Rays were as follows:
    19.03.2026 Philadelphia Phillies - Tampa Bay Rays 8:2
    08.05.2025 Tampa Bay Rays - Philadelphia Phillies 6:7
    07.05.2025 Tampa Bay Rays - Philadelphia Phillies 0:7
    06.05.2025 Tampa Bay Rays - Philadelphia Phillies 4:8
    24.03.2025 Philadelphia Phillies - Tampa Bay Rays 8:6
    Latest results of Tampa Bay Rays
    MLB Spring Training Table
    2026

    Grapefruit
    PlWDLPCT
    1Atlanta Braves302127163:1130.750
    2St.Louis Cardinals281729119:1060.654
    3New York Yankees3119012153:1370.613
    4Pittsburgh Pirates3017013143:1420.567
    5Washington Nationals2814311102:1060.560
    6Baltimore Orioles2913313125:1340.500
    7New York Mets2712213122:990.480
    8Toronto Blue Jays2812214136:1210.462
    9Miami Marlins271131393:1190.458
    10Boston Red Sox2913016141:1820.448
    11Houston Astros2811314111:1040.440
    12Detroit Tigers289613144:1330.409
    13Minnesota Twins3011118143:1600.379
    14Tampa Bay Rays3011118114:1420.379
    15Philadelphia Phillies2910217136:1490.370


    Cactus
    PlWDLPCT
    1Los Angeles Dodgers312029210:1730.690
    2San Francisco Giants291919176:1280.679
    3Texas Rangers3018012178:1350.600
    4Cleveland Guardians3116114186:1680.533
    5Los Angeles Angels3317115151:1860.531
    6San Diego Padres3115115187:1810.500
    7Colorado Rockies3115115202:2090.500
    8Arizona Diamondbacks3115115172:2010.500
    9Chicago White Sox3215116172:1590.484
    10Milwaukee Brewers3014016173:1550.467
    11Athletics3114116198:1880.467
    12Chicago Cubs3114017168:1830.452
    13Cincinnati Reds3114017182:2090.452
    14Seattle Mariners3111119171:2170.367
    15Kansas City Royals319121157:1890.300