Result
0:1
17/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | TSN 3 |
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 1.82 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (487/561) | 74% (218/294) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 1.82 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 2.17 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (487/561) | 74% (218/294) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 66% (43/65) | 33% (15/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (90/135) | 60% (52/87) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (4/17) | 31% (5/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 0.73 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 89% (8/9) | 93% (13/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.17 | 0.40 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.17 | 0.40 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 20', Lennon B. ↓, Lobjanidze S. ↑,
- 21', Bedoya A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Donovan C. ↓, Baribo T. ↑,
- 49', Damiani B. 🟨,
- 57', Abram L. 🟨,
- 59', 0 - 1, Baribo T. (Pen),
- 60', Damiani B. ↓, Sullivan Q. ↑,
- 60', Bedoya A. ↓, Jean Jacques D. ↑,
- 67', Thiare J. ↓, Latte Lath E. ↑,
- 67', Muyumba T. ↓, Mosquera E. ↑,
- 71', Bueno J. ↓, Vassilev I. ↑,
- 86', Amador P. ↓, Slisz B. ↑,
- 89', Wagner K. 🟨,
- 90+3', Mosquera E. 🟨,
- 90+3', Uhre M. ↓, Glesnes J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Atlanta United
45.7% | Draw
25.7% | Philadelphia Union
28.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlanta United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlanta United's performance.Philadelphia Union has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Philadelphia Union might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlanta United than the current prediction. (-12.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlanta United that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (+11.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Philadelphia Union could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Atlanta United - Philadelphia Union Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.1 ↓
(2.81) |
3.68 ↑
(3.56) |
3.34 ↑
(2.34) |
4.8%
(6.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Atlanta United - Philadelphia Union?
Users Predictions:
Atlanta United will win
(21 of 26 users predict this - 80.77%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.62% – 95.92%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Atlanta United will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 1.
- Atlanta is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Philadelphia is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Atlanta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Atlanta has had a series of away games.
- Recently, Philadelphia has had a series of home games.
- Atlanta is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Atlanta: Amador P.
(Groin Injury)
Gregersen S.
(Thigh Injury)
Lennon B.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Philadelphia: Glavinovich I.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Philadelphia: Blake A.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:27. (average 1.5:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlanta won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:9. (average 1.9:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlanta United won against Philadelphia Union?
Atlanta United has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Philadelphia Union won against Atlanta United?
Philadelphia Union has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlanta United - Philadelphia Union were as follows:
19.04.2025
Philadelphia Union
-
Atlanta United
3:0
28.09.2024
Philadelphia Union
-
Atlanta United
1:1
14.04.2024
Atlanta United
-
Philadelphia Union
2:2
04.10.2023
Philadelphia Union
-
Atlanta United
3:2
02.07.2023
Atlanta United
-
Philadelphia Union
2:0
Latest results of Atlanta United
Latest results of Philadelphia Union
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Diego FC | 29 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 54:34 | 20 | 56 |
| 2 | Minnesota United | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 48:32 | 16 | 51 |
| 3 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 47:31 | 16 | 49 |
| 4 | Seattle Sounders | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 48:38 | 10 | 44 |
| 5 | Los Angeles FC | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 45:33 | 12 | 41 |
| 6 | Austin FC | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 31:34 | -3 | 41 |
| 7 | Portland Timbers | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 36:38 | -2 | 39 |
| 8 | Colorado Rapids | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 38:48 | -10 | 36 |
| 9 | San Jose Earthquakes | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 53:51 | 2 | 35 |
| 10 | Houston Dynamo | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 38:47 | -9 | 33 |
| 11 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 28:36 | -8 | 31 |
| 12 | FC Dallas | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 40:48 | -8 | 31 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas City | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 44:59 | -15 | 27 |
| 14 | St. Louis City | 29 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 34:51 | -17 | 22 |
| 15 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 33:56 | -23 | 20 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Philadelphia Union | 29 | 17 | 6 | 6 | 49:26 | 23 | 57 |
| 2 | FC Cincinnati | 29 | 16 | 4 | 9 | 42:36 | 6 | 52 |
| 3 | Charlotte | 29 | 16 | 2 | 11 | 48:40 | 8 | 50 |
| 4 | Nashville SC | 29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 49:33 | 16 | 50 |
| 5 | Orlando City | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 54:40 | 14 | 47 |
| 6 | Inter Miami | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 54:40 | 14 | 46 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 43:39 | 4 | 46 |
| 8 | New York City | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 38:32 | 6 | 44 |
| 9 | Chicago Fire | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 53:50 | 3 | 42 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 42:38 | 4 | 40 |
| 11 | New England Revolution | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 38:43 | -5 | 31 |
| 12 | Atlanta Utd | 28 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 32:49 | -17 | 26 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 28 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 28:35 | -7 | 25 |
| 14 | CF Montreal | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 29:51 | -22 | 24 |
| 15 | DC United | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 26:54 | -28 | 24 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
