Atlanta United vs Philadelphia Union – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Atlanta United - Philadelphia Union
Result
0:1
17/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaTSN 3
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.041.82
Ball Possession
65%35%
Total shots
1015
Shots on target
36
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
46
Passes
87% (487/561)74% (218/294)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
1.041.82
xG on target (xGOT)
0.402.17
Total shots
1015
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
66
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
812
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
46
Touches in opposition box
1830
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
109
Passes
87% (487/561)74% (218/294)
Long passes
66% (43/65)33% (15/45)
Passes in final third
67% (90/135)60% (52/87)
Crosses
24% (4/17)31% (5/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.200.73
Throw-ins
2018
Fouls
910
Tackles
89% (8/9)93% (13/14)
Duels won
4743
Clearances
1930
Interceptions
1012
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
53
xGOT faced
2.170.40
Goals prevented
1.170.40

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 20', Lennon B. , Lobjanidze S. ,
  • 21', Bedoya A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Donovan C. , Baribo T. ,
  • 49', Damiani B. 🟨,
  • 57', Abram L. 🟨,
  • 59', 0 - 1, Baribo T. (Pen),
  • 60', Damiani B. , Sullivan Q. ,
  • 60', Bedoya A. , Jean Jacques D. ,
  • 67', Thiare J. , Latte Lath E. ,
  • 67', Muyumba T. , Mosquera E. ,
  • 71', Bueno J. , Vassilev I. ,
  • 86', Amador P. , Slisz B. ,
  • 89', Wagner K. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Mosquera E. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Uhre M. , Glesnes J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Atlanta United
45.7%
Draw
25.7%
Philadelphia Union
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.4% 26.4% 40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3% 26.3% 40.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlanta United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlanta United's performance.
  • Philadelphia Union has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Philadelphia Union might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlanta United than the current prediction. (-12.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlanta United that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (+11.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Philadelphia Union could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Atlanta United - Philadelphia Union Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.1
    (2.81)
    3.68
    (3.56)
    3.34
    (2.34)
    4.8%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Atlanta United - Philadelphia Union?
  • Users Predictions: Atlanta United will win (21 of 26 users predict this - 80.77%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 65.62%95.92%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Atlanta United will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 1.
    • Atlanta is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Philadelphia is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Atlanta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Atlanta has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Philadelphia has had a series of home games.
    • Atlanta is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Atlanta: Amador P. (Groin Injury) Gregersen S. (Thigh Injury) Lennon B. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Philadelphia: Glavinovich I. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Philadelphia: Blake A. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:27. (average 1.5:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atlanta won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:9. (average 1.9:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlanta United - Philadelphia Union were as follows:
    19.04.2025 Philadelphia Union - Atlanta United 3:0
    28.09.2024 Philadelphia Union - Atlanta United 1:1
    14.04.2024 Atlanta United - Philadelphia Union 2:2
    04.10.2023 Philadelphia Union - Atlanta United 3:2
    02.07.2023 Atlanta United - Philadelphia Union 2:0
    Latest results of Atlanta United
    Latest results of Philadelphia Union
    MLS Table
    Main

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    PlWDLDiffPts
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    2Minnesota United27138644:301447
    3Vancouver Whitecaps26137644:291546
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    5Los Angeles FC24117643:301340
    6Portland Timbers26107935:37-237
    7Colorado Rapids271061136:41-536
    8Austin FC2598824:29-535
    9San Jose Earthquakes27881150:47332
    10Real Salt Lake26941327:33-631
    11FC Dallas26781138:46-829
    12Houston Dynamo26781133:42-929
    13Sporting Kansas City26661437:50-1324
    14St. Louis City26561529:44-1521
    15Los Angeles Galaxy26371629:55-2616


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Cincinnati27164742:34852
    2Philadelphia Union27156644:261851
    3Nashville SC27145844:311347
    4Orlando City27138653:351847
    5Inter Miami24136553:391445
    6Columbus Crew26129542:37545
    7Charlotte271421145:39644
    8New York City25125836:30641
    9Chicago Fire26116950:44639
    10New York Red Bulls271161042:37539
    11New England Revolution26771233:37-428
    12Toronto FC26581327:34-723
    13Atlanta Utd264101231:49-1822
    14CF Montreal27481525:48-2320
    15DC United27481523:52-2920

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