Atlanta United vs Philadelphia Union – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

17/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Mercedes-Benz Stadium (Atlanta, GA).

MLS
Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	TSN 3
Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	EA Sports FC

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.04	1.82
Ball Possession
65%	35%
Total shots
10	15
Shots on target
3	6
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
4	6
Passes
87% (487/561)	74% (218/294)
Yellow Cards
2	3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04	1.82
xG on target (xGOT)
0.40	2.17
Total shots
10	15
Shots on target
3	6
Shots off target
6	6
Blocked Shots
1	3
Shots inside the Box
8	12
Shots outside the Box
2	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
4	6
Touches in opposition box
18	30
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	1
Free Kicks
10	9
Passes
87% (487/561)	74% (218/294)
Long passes
66% (43/65)	33% (15/45)
Passes in final third
67% (90/135)	60% (52/87)
Crosses
24% (4/17)	31% (5/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.20	0.73
Throw-ins
20	18
Fouls
9	10
Tackles
89% (8/9)	93% (13/14)
Duels won
47	43
Clearances
19	30
Interceptions
10	12
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
5	3
xGOT faced
2.17	0.40
Goals prevented
1.17	0.40

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Lennon B. ↓, Lobjanidze S. ↑,
21', Bedoya A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Donovan C. ↓, Baribo T. ↑,
49', Damiani B. 🟨,
57', Abram L. 🟨,
59', 0 - 1, Baribo T. (Pen),
60', Damiani B. ↓, Sullivan Q. ↑,
60', Bedoya A. ↓, Jean Jacques D. ↑,
67', Thiare J. ↓, Latte Lath E. ↑,
67', Muyumba T. ↓, Mosquera E. ↑,
71', Bueno J. ↓, Vassilev I. ↑,
86', Amador P. ↓, Slisz B. ↑,
89', Wagner K. 🟨,
90+3', Mosquera E. 🟨,
90+3', Uhre M. ↓, Glesnes J. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Atlanta United
45.7%

Draw
25.7%

Philadelphia Union
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

26.4%

40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

26.3%

40.3%

Atlanta United - Philadelphia Union Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.81)	3.68 ↑ (3.56)	3.34 ↑ (2.34)	4.8% (6.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Atlanta United - Philadelphia Union?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

DNB - Atlanta (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Philadelphia (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Atlanta United will win (21 of 26 users predict this - 80.77%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.62% – 95.92%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Atlanta United will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 13 high ROI users predict this event. Atlanta (votes: 12 - 92.3%). Philadelphia (votes: 1 - 7.7%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 1.
Atlanta is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Philadelphia is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Atlanta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Atlanta has had a series of away games.
Recently, Philadelphia has had a series of home games.
Atlanta is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Atlanta: Amador P. (Groin Injury) Gregersen S. (Thigh Injury) Lennon B. (Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Philadelphia: Glavinovich I. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Philadelphia: Blake A. (Knee Injury)
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:27. (average 1.5:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Atlanta won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:9. (average 1.9:0.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Atlanta United won against Philadelphia Union?

Atlanta United has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Philadelphia Union won against Atlanta United?

Philadelphia Union has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Atlanta United - Philadelphia Union were as follows:

19.04.2025 Philadelphia Union - Atlanta United 3:0

28.09.2024 Philadelphia Union - Atlanta United 1:1

14.04.2024 Atlanta United - Philadelphia Union 2:2

04.10.2023 Philadelphia Union - Atlanta United 3:2

02.07.2023 Atlanta United - Philadelphia Union 2:0

Latest results of Atlanta United

14.05.2025 Austin FC - Atlanta United 1:1 ✺

10.05.2025 Chicago Fire - Atlanta United 2:1 ✺

03.05.2025 Atlanta United - Nashville SC 1:1 ✺

26.04.2025 Orlando City - Atlanta United 3:0 ✺

19.04.2025 Philadelphia Union - Atlanta United 3:0 ✺

Latest results of Philadelphia Union

14.05.2025 Philadelphia Union - Los Angeles Galaxy 3:2 ✺

10.05.2025 Philadelphia Union - Columbus Crew 2:2 ✺

07.05.2025 Philadelphia Union - Indy Eleven 2:1 ✺

03.05.2025 CF Montréal - Philadelphia Union 1:2 ✺

26.04.2025 Philadelphia Union - DC United 3:0 ✺

MLS Table

2026

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	FC Dallas	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Houston Dynamo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Los Angeles Galaxy	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Real Salt Lake	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	San Jose Earthquakes	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Colorado Rapids	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Sporting Kansas City	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Seattle Sounders	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Portland Timbers	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Vancouver Whitecaps	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Minnesota United	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Los Angeles FC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Austin FC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	St. Louis City	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	San Diego FC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	New England Revolution	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	DC United	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Toronto FC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	New York Red Bulls	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Columbus Crew	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Chicago Fire	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	CF Montreal	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Philadelphia Union	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Orlando City	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	New York City	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	FC Cincinnati	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Atlanta Utd	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Nashville SC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Inter Miami	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Charlotte	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)