Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Philadelphia Union - Charlotte
Result
2:1
14/06/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
Philadelphia Union - Charlotte - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.440.66
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
198
Shots on target
92
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
84
Passes
78% (303/388)78% (338/435)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
1.440.66
xG on target (xGOT)
2.181.21
Total shots
198
Shots on target
92
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
95
Shots outside the Box
103
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
84
Touches in opposition box
2017
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1117
Passes
78% (303/388)78% (338/435)
Long passes
59% (33/56)34% (23/68)
Passes in final third
77% (107/139)61% (61/100)
Crosses
13% (4/31)28% (5/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.790.44
Throw-ins
1725
Fouls
1711
Tackles
63% (12/19)76% (13/17)
Duels won
4963
Clearances
1826
Interceptions
811
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
17
xGOT faced
1.212.18
Goals prevented
0.04-0.26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 29', Calderon Vargas K. A. 🟨,
  • 33', Makhanya O. 🟨,
  • 33', Zaha W. 🟨,
  • 45', Bender B. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 1 - 0, Bueno J. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Bedoya A. , Donovan C. ,
  • 46', Mbaizo O. , Westfield F. ,
  • 57', Bueno J. , Anderson M. ,
  • 68', Bronico B. , Williamson E. ,
  • 68', Calderon Vargas K. A. , Abada L. ,
  • 74', Westfield F. 🟨,
  • 77', Bender B. , Rafanello J. ,
  • 78', 1 - 1, Zaha W. , Marshall-Rutty J. (A),
  • 81', Damiani B. 🟨,
  • 89', Toklomati I. , Smalls T. ,
  • 90+2', Damiani B. , Sullivan C. ,
  • 90+8', 2 - 1, Anderson M. , Westfield F. (A),

Chances of winning


Philadelphia Union
48.9%
Draw
25.3%
Charlotte
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.3% 23.8% 20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5% 22.9% 20%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Philadelphia Union has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Philadelphia Union's form might have worsened.
  • Charlotte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Philadelphia Union, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlotte than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Charlotte, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Philadelphia Union - Charlotte Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.93
    (1.71)
    3.77
    (3.97)
    3.75
    (4.54)
    5.1%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Philadelphia Union - Charlotte?
  • Users Predictions: Philadelphia Union will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 71.29%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Philadelphia Union will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • Philadelphia is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Charlotte has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Philadelphia could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Philadelphia: Baribo T. (Injury) Blake A. (International duty) Glavinovich I. (Knee Injury) Harriel N. (International duty) Jean Jacques D. (International duty) Sullivan Q. (International duty) Uhre M. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Charlotte: Agyemang P. (International duty) Berchimas N. (Foot Injury) Byrne N. (Neck Injury) Ream T. (International duty)
    • There are questionable in Philadelphia: Pierre N. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Charlotte: Toklomati I. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 0.8:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Philadelphia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Philadelphia Union - Charlotte were as follows:
    27.07.2024 Philadelphia Union - Charlotte 1:0
    22.06.2024 Philadelphia Union - Charlotte 0:2
    25.05.2024 Charlotte - Philadelphia Union 0:0
    20.09.2023 Charlotte - Philadelphia Union 2:2
    31.05.2023 Philadelphia Union - Charlotte 1:0
    Latest results of Philadelphia Union
    Latest results of Charlotte
    31.05.2025 Toronto FC - Charlotte 0:2
    24.05.2025 Charlotte - Columbus Crew 3:2
    21.05.2025 DC United - Charlotte 4:3
    17.05.2025 Charlotte - Chicago Fire 1:4
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC22133646:301642
    2Minnesota United22117439:251440
    3Vancouver Whitecaps21115535:251038
    4Seattle Sounders2196631:28333
    5Portland Timbers2196631:30133
    6Los Angeles FC1995535:241132
    7Colorado Rapids23851027:33-629
    8San Jose Earthquakes2277842:37528
    9Austin FC2176815:23-827
    10Houston Dynamo22751029:35-626
    11Real Salt Lake21741023:28-525
    12Sporting Kansas City22651135:41-623
    13FC Dallas21561027:39-1221
    14St. Louis City22461223:35-1218
    15Los Angeles Galaxy22361324:43-1915


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union22134537:211643
    2FC Cincinnati22133635:31442
    3Nashville SC22125538:251341
    4Columbus Crew22118338:29941
    5Inter Miami19115344:301438
    6Orlando City2298540:291135
    7New York City2194827:24331
    8New York Red Bulls2286833:27630
    9Charlotte22921136:36029
    10Chicago Fire2184940:38228
    11New England Revolution2167826:25125
    12Atlanta Utd21471023:38-1519
    13DC United22471118:41-2319
    14Toronto FC21461124:29-518
    15CF Montreal22361319:41-2215

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Philadelphia Union - Charlotte?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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