Result
2:0
18/10/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Penso T. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video |
 China | QQ Sports |
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video |
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | Apple TV, EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 2.05 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (295/369) | 85% (445/521) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 2.05 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.65 | 1.83 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 12 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 0 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 39 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (295/369) | 85% (445/521) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (31/66) | 50% (18/36) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (64/95) | 77% (168/217) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (4/10) | 19% (5/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 2.34 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (13/17) | 78% (14/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.83 | 2.65 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.83 | 0.65 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 24', 1 - 0, Zaha W. ⚽, Calderon Vargas K. A. (A), Malanda A. (A2)
- 30', 2 - 0, Calderon Vargas K. A. ⚽, Toffolo H. (A),
- 32', Zaha W. 🟨,
- 33', Jean Jacques D. 🟨,
- 45', Uhre M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Uhre M. ↓, Baribo T. ↑,
- 46', Bedoya A. ↓, Vassilev I. ↑,
- 55', Iloski M. ↓, Sullivan C. ↑,
- 63', Toffolo H. ↓, Marshall-Rutty J. ↑,
- 71', Harriel N. 🟨,
- 73', Damiani B. 🟨,
- 78', Harriel N. ↓, Westfield F. ↑,
- 78', Jean Jacques D. ↓, Bueno J. ↑,
- 82', Bronico B. ↓, Coulibaly B. ↑,
- 83', Calderon Vargas K. A. ↓, Abada L. ↑,
- 88', Marshall-Rutty J. 🟨,
- 90', Zaha W. 🟨,
- 90+1', Toklomati I. ↓, Goodwin A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Charlotte
39.6% | Draw
25.6% | Philadelphia Union
34.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Charlotte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Philadelphia Union has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlotte than the current prediction. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (+2%)
Charlotte - Philadelphia Union Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.42 ↓
(2.48) |
3.73 ↓
(3.75) |
2.75 ↑
(2.62) |
4.6%
(5.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Charlotte - Philadelphia Union?
Users Predictions:
Charlotte will win
(45 of 51 users predict this - 88.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.4% – 97.08%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Charlotte will win (14 of 14 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- Philadelphia is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Charlotte won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Charlotte: Callender D.
(Groin Injury)
Toffolo H.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Philadelphia: Rafanello J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Sullivan Q.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Charlotte: Biel P.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Charlotte won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 0.8:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Charlotte won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Charlotte won against Philadelphia Union?
Charlotte has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Philadelphia Union won against Charlotte?
Philadelphia Union has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Charlotte - Philadelphia Union were as follows:
14.06.2025
Philadelphia Union
-
Charlotte
2:1
27.07.2024
Philadelphia Union
-
Charlotte
1:0
22.06.2024
Philadelphia Union
-
Charlotte
0:2
25.05.2024
Charlotte
-
Philadelphia Union
0:0
20.09.2023
Charlotte
-
Philadelphia Union
2:2
Latest results of Charlotte
Latest results of Philadelphia Union
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Philadelphia Union | Bye | |
| 2 | Chicago Fire | Orlando City | 3 : 1 |
| 3 | Charlotte | Bye | |
| 4 | Bye | New York City | |
| 5 | Inter Miami | Bye | |
| 6 | Bye | Nashville SC | |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | Bye | |
| 8 | Bye | Columbus Crew | |
| 9 | San Diego FC | Bye | |
| 10 | Portland Timbers | Real Salt Lake | 3 : 1 |
| 11 | Minnesota United | Bye | |
| 12 | Bye | Seattle Sounders | |
| 13 | Los Angeles FC | Bye | |
| 14 | Bye | Austin FC | |
| 15 | Vancouver Whitecaps | Bye | |
| 16 | Bye | FC Dallas | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Philadelphia Union | Chicago Fire | |
| 2 | Charlotte | New York City | |
| 3 | Inter Miami | Nashville SC | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | FC Cincinnati | Columbus Crew | |
| 5 | San Diego FC | Portland Timbers | |
| 6 | Minnesota United | Seattle Sounders | |
| 7 | Los Angeles FC | Austin FC | |
| 8 | Vancouver Whitecaps | FC Dallas | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
