Result
4:0
23/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Vazquez R. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video |
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video |
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.38 | 0.20 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (388/456) | 82% (353/428) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.38 | 0.20 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.93 | 0.34 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (388/456) | 82% (353/428) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (26/45) | 56% (20/36) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (128/166) | 68% (47/69) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (7/20) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 0.32 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (14/22) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.34 | 1.93 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.34 | -2.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 34', 1 - 0, Baribo T. ⚽, Wagner K. (A), Sullivan Q. (A2)
- 37', Lukic J. 🟨,
- 38', Barroso L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Barroso L. ↓, Dean J. ↑,
- 57', Oregel S. 🟨,
- 59', Baribo T. 🟨,
- 64', 2 - 0, Wagner K. ⚽, Iloski M. (A),
- 66', Makhanya O. 🟨,
- 69', Zinckernagel P. ↓, Haile-Selassie M. ↑,
- 69', D'Avilla D. ↓, Franco A. ↑,
- 74', 3 - 0, Jean Jacques D. ⚽,
- 74', Sullivan Q. ↓, Sullivan C. ↑,
- 74', Damiani B. ↓, Uhre M. ↑,
- 75', Oregel S. ↓, Acosta K. ↑,
- 75', Cuypers H. ↓, Barlow T. ↑,
- 79', Baribo T. ↓, Donovan C. ↑,
- 80', 4 - 0, Iloski M. ⚽,
- 84', Lukic J. ↓, Rafanello J. ↑,
- 84', Iloski M. ↓, Bedoya A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Philadelphia Union
53.9% | Draw
23% | Chicago Fire
23.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Philadelphia Union has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)Chicago Fire has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago Fire than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Philadelphia Union - Chicago Fire Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.76 ↓
(1.81) |
4.1 ↓
(4.28) |
4.09 ↑
(3.73) |
5.6%
(5.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Philadelphia Union - Chicago Fire?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Philadelphia will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Chicago will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Philadelphia: 44.1% – 94.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Philadelphia (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 2.
- Philadelphia has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Chicago is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Chicago may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Philadelphia has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Philadelphia is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Philadelphia: Glavinovich I.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Chicago: Kouame R.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Mueller C.
(Health problems)
Poreba D.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 42:31. (average 2.1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Philadelphia won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 25:10. (average 2.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Philadelphia Union won against Chicago Fire?
Philadelphia Union has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chicago Fire won against Philadelphia Union?
Chicago Fire has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Philadelphia Union - Chicago Fire were as follows:
25.06.2025
Chicago Fire
-
Philadelphia Union
0:1
03.07.2024
Chicago Fire
-
Philadelphia Union
4:3
24.02.2024
Philadelphia Union
-
Chicago Fire
2:2
15.04.2023
Chicago Fire
-
Philadelphia Union
2:2
11.03.2023
Philadelphia Union
-
Chicago Fire
1:0
Latest results of Philadelphia Union
Latest results of Chicago Fire
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Minnesota United ✔ | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 55:37 | 18 | 58 |
| 2 | San Diego FC ✔ | 32 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 56:39 | 17 | 57 |
| 3 | Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ | 31 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 59:34 | 25 | 57 |
| 4 | Los Angeles FC ✔ | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 60:37 | 23 | 53 |
| 5 | Seattle Sounders | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 54:47 | 7 | 46 |
| 6 | Austin FC | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 35:43 | -8 | 44 |
| 7 | Portland Timbers | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 41:43 | -2 | 44 |
| 8 | FC Dallas | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 49:52 | -3 | 41 |
| 9 | Colorado Rapids | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 42:53 | -11 | 40 |
| 10 | San Jose Earthquakes | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 57:58 | -1 | 38 |
| 11 | Real Salt Lake | 31 | 11 | 4 | 16 | 35:46 | -11 | 37 |
| 12 | Houston Dynamo | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 41:52 | -11 | 36 |
| 13 | St. Louis City | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 42:56 | -14 | 31 |
| 14 | Sporting Kansas City | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 46:70 | -24 | 27 |
| 15 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 32 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 42:64 | -22 | 24 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Philadelphia Union ✔ | 33 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 57:33 | 24 | 66 |
| 2 | FC Cincinnati ✔ | 33 | 19 | 5 | 9 | 49:40 | 9 | 62 |
| 3 | Inter Miami ✔ | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 72:53 | 19 | 59 |
| 4 | Charlotte ✔ | 33 | 18 | 2 | 13 | 53:46 | 7 | 56 |
| 5 | New York City ✔ | 33 | 17 | 5 | 11 | 49:42 | 7 | 56 |
| 6 | Nashville SC | 33 | 16 | 6 | 11 | 56:40 | 16 | 54 |
| 7 | Orlando City | 32 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 60:45 | 15 | 53 |
| 8 | Chicago Fire | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 66:58 | 8 | 52 |
| 9 | Columbus Crew | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 52:50 | 2 | 51 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 47:44 | 3 | 43 |
| 11 | New England Revolution | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 42:49 | -7 | 35 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 32 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 33:40 | -7 | 29 |
| 13 | CF Montreal | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 34:57 | -23 | 28 |
| 14 | Atlanta Utd | 31 | 5 | 12 | 14 | 37:57 | -20 | 27 |
| 15 | DC United | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 29:65 | -36 | 25 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Inter Miami is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
