Result
0:3
01/11/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
- Referee: Freemon J. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | Apple TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 1.70 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 71% | 29% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (432/531) | 53% (111/209) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 1.70 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 2.81 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (432/531) | 53% (111/209) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (16/51) | 25% (16/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (85/143) | 37% (32/86) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (2/20) | 33% (6/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 0.56 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 78% (18/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 70 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 41 | 43 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.81 | 0.89 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.19 | 0.89 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 8', 0 - 1, Baribo T. ⚽,
- 16', 0 - 2, Baribo T. ⚽, Wagner K. (A), Lukic J. (A2)
- 19', Bamba J. 🟨,
- 26', Kouame R. ↓, Pineda M. ↑,
- 31', Jean Jacques D. 🟨,
- 32', Gutierrez B. (Pen),
- 35', 0 - 3, Damiani B. ⚽, Iloski M. (A),
- 40', Iloski M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Dean J. ↓, Haile-Selassie M. ↑,
- 63', D'Avilla D. 🟨,
- 65', D'Avilla D. ↓, Barlow T. ↑,
- 68', Iloski M. ↓, Vassilev I. ↑,
- 69', Haile-Selassie M. 🟨,
- 85', Baribo T. ↓, Bedoya A. ↑,
- 85', Damiani B. ↓, Donovan C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Chicago Fire
43.7% | Draw
26.4% | Philadelphia Union
29.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chicago Fire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)Philadelphia Union has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chicago Fire than the current prediction. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Chicago Fire - Philadelphia Union Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.18 ↓
(2.29) |
3.58 ↑
(3.53) |
3.16 ↑
(2.96) |
5.4%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Chicago Fire - Philadelphia Union?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Philadelphia (1.65) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- DNB - Philadelphia (2.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- 1X2, 2nd Half - Chicago (2.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- 1X2, 1st Half - Chicago (2.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Chicago Fire will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Chicago Fire will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Chicago (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Philadelphia (votes: 3 - 37.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Philadelphia Union leads series 1-0. 2nd leg.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 1.
- In recent matches, Chicago has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Philadelphia is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Philadelphia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Chicago will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Chicago: Barroso L.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Franco A.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Mueller C.
(Health problems)
Oregel S.
(Red Card)
Radojevic V.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- There will not play in Philadelphia: Glavinovich I.
(Knee Injury)
Rafanello J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Sullivan Q.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 27:45. (average 1.4:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Chicago won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:17. (average 2:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Chicago Fire won against Philadelphia Union?
Chicago Fire has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Philadelphia Union won against Chicago Fire?
Philadelphia Union has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chicago Fire - Philadelphia Union were as follows:
26.10.2025
Philadelphia Union
-
Chicago Fire
3:2
23.08.2025
Philadelphia Union
-
Chicago Fire
4:0
25.06.2025
Chicago Fire
-
Philadelphia Union
0:1
03.07.2024
Chicago Fire
-
Philadelphia Union
4:3
24.02.2024
Philadelphia Union
-
Chicago Fire
2:2
Latest results of Chicago Fire
Latest results of Philadelphia Union
MLS Table
2026Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Diego FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:0 | 7 | 6 |
| 2 | San Jose Earthquakes | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 6 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 6 |
| 4 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 5 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 4 |
| 6 | FC Dallas | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Minnesota United | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Austin FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Seattle Sounders | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Real Salt Lake | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Colorado Rapids | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Portland Timbers | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 13 | Houston Dynamo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 14 | St. Louis City | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | New York Red Bulls | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Nashville SC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 4 |
| 3 | New York City | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | FC Cincinnati | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | DC United | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Inter Miami | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 3 |
| 8 | Columbus Crew | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 1 |
| 9 | Charlotte | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
| 10 | Philadelphia Union | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 11 | Orlando City | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 0 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 |
| 13 | New England Revolution | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
| 14 | Atlanta Utd | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:8 | -8 | 0 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
