Result
26/10/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
- Referee: Boiko S. (Ukr)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | HBO Max |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video |
 China | QQ Sports |
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video |
 Mexico | TNT Sports |
 Usa | Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, MLS Season Pass |
 World | EA Sports FC |
Chances of winning
Philadelphia Union
51.7% | Draw
23.7% | Chicago Fire
24.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Philadelphia Union has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Philadelphia Union's form might have worsened.Chicago Fire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chicago Fire's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (+10%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Philadelphia Union, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chicago Fire than the current prediction. (-6.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chicago Fire, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Philadelphia Union - Chicago Fire Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.86 ↑
(1.62) |
4.08 ↑
(4) |
3.83 ↓
(4.75) |
4.5%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Philadelphia Union - Chicago Fire?
Users Predictions:
Philadelphia Union will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 2.
- Recent performances by Philadelphia have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Chicago is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Chicago may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Philadelphia is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 42:28. (average 2.1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Philadelphia won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 25:7. (average 2.5:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Philadelphia Union won against Chicago Fire?
Philadelphia Union has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chicago Fire won against Philadelphia Union?
Chicago Fire has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Philadelphia Union - Chicago Fire were as follows:
23.08.2025
Philadelphia Union
-
Chicago Fire
4:0
25.06.2025
Chicago Fire
-
Philadelphia Union
0:1
03.07.2024
Chicago Fire
-
Philadelphia Union
4:3
24.02.2024
Philadelphia Union
-
Chicago Fire
2:2
15.04.2023
Chicago Fire
-
Philadelphia Union
2:2
Latest results of Philadelphia Union
Latest results of Chicago Fire
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Philadelphia Union | Bye | |
| 2 | Chicago Fire | Orlando City | 3 : 1 |
| 3 | Charlotte | Bye | |
| 4 | Bye | New York City | |
| 5 | Inter Miami | Bye | |
| 6 | Bye | Nashville SC | |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | Bye | |
| 8 | Bye | Columbus Crew | |
| 9 | San Diego FC | Bye | |
| 10 | Portland Timbers | Real Salt Lake | 3 : 1 |
| 11 | Minnesota United | Bye | |
| 12 | Bye | Seattle Sounders | |
| 13 | Los Angeles FC | Bye | |
| 14 | Bye | Austin FC | |
| 15 | Vancouver Whitecaps | Bye | |
| 16 | Bye | FC Dallas | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Philadelphia Union | Chicago Fire | |
| 2 | Charlotte | New York City | |
| 3 | Inter Miami | Nashville SC | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | FC Cincinnati | Columbus Crew | |
| 5 | San Diego FC | Portland Timbers | |
| 6 | Minnesota United | Seattle Sounders | |
| 7 | Los Angeles FC | Austin FC | |
| 8 | Vancouver Whitecaps | FC Dallas | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
