Result
4:0
23/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Vazquez R. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video |
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video |
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.38 | 0.20 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (388/456) | 82% (353/428) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.38 | 0.20 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.93 | 0.34 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (388/456) | 82% (353/428) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (26/45) | 56% (20/36) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (128/166) | 68% (47/69) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (7/20) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 0.32 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (14/22) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.34 | 1.93 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.34 | -2.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 34', 1 - 0, Baribo T. ⚽, Wagner K. (A), Sullivan Q. (A2)
- 37', Lukic J. 🟨,
- 38', Barroso L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Barroso L. ↓, Dean J. ↑,
- 57', Oregel S. 🟨,
- 59', Baribo T. 🟨,
- 64', 2 - 0, Wagner K. ⚽, Iloski M. (A),
- 66', Makhanya O. 🟨,
- 69', Zinckernagel P. ↓, Haile-Selassie M. ↑,
- 69', D'Avilla D. ↓, Franco A. ↑,
- 74', 3 - 0, Jean Jacques D. ⚽,
- 74', Sullivan Q. ↓, Sullivan C. ↑,
- 74', Damiani B. ↓, Uhre M. ↑,
- 75', Oregel S. ↓, Acosta K. ↑,
- 75', Cuypers H. ↓, Barlow T. ↑,
- 79', Baribo T. ↓, Donovan C. ↑,
- 80', 4 - 0, Iloski M. ⚽,
- 84', Lukic J. ↓, Rafanello J. ↑,
- 84', Iloski M. ↓, Bedoya A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Philadelphia Union
53.9% | Draw
23% | Chicago Fire
23.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Philadelphia Union has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)Chicago Fire has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago Fire than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Philadelphia Union - Chicago Fire Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.76 ↓
(1.81) |
4.1 ↓
(4.28) |
4.09 ↑
(3.73) |
5.6%
(5.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Philadelphia Union - Chicago Fire?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Philadelphia will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Chicago will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Philadelphia: 44.1% – 94.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Philadelphia (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 2.
- Philadelphia has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Chicago is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Chicago may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Philadelphia has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Philadelphia is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Philadelphia: Glavinovich I.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Chicago: Kouame R.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Mueller C.
(Health problems)
Poreba D.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 42:31. (average 2.1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Philadelphia won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 25:10. (average 2.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Philadelphia Union won against Chicago Fire?
Philadelphia Union has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chicago Fire won against Philadelphia Union?
Chicago Fire has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Philadelphia Union - Chicago Fire were as follows:
25.06.2025
Chicago Fire
-
Philadelphia Union
0:1
03.07.2024
Chicago Fire
-
Philadelphia Union
4:3
24.02.2024
Philadelphia Union
-
Chicago Fire
2:2
15.04.2023
Chicago Fire
-
Philadelphia Union
2:2
11.03.2023
Philadelphia Union
-
Chicago Fire
1:0
Latest results of Philadelphia Union
Latest results of Chicago Fire
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Diego FC ✔ | 30 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 55:37 | 18 | 56 |
| 2 | Minnesota United ✔ | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 51:33 | 18 | 54 |
| 3 | Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 54:31 | 23 | 52 |
| 4 | Seattle Sounders | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 50:40 | 10 | 45 |
| 5 | Los Angeles FC | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 49:35 | 14 | 44 |
| 6 | Portland Timbers | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 38:39 | -1 | 42 |
| 7 | Austin FC | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 31:36 | -5 | 41 |
| 8 | Colorado Rapids | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 40:49 | -9 | 39 |
| 9 | San Jose Earthquakes | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 55:55 | 0 | 35 |
| 10 | Real Salt Lake | 28 | 10 | 4 | 14 | 30:37 | -7 | 34 |
| 11 | FC Dallas | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 42:48 | -6 | 34 |
| 12 | Houston Dynamo | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 39:49 | -10 | 33 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas City | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 45:61 | -16 | 27 |
| 14 | St. Louis City | 30 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 36:51 | -15 | 25 |
| 15 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 29 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 35:58 | -23 | 21 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Philadelphia Union ✔ | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 49:33 | 16 | 57 |
| 2 | FC Cincinnati ✔ | 30 | 17 | 4 | 9 | 44:37 | 7 | 55 |
| 3 | Charlotte ✔ | 30 | 17 | 2 | 11 | 51:40 | 11 | 53 |
| 4 | Nashville SC | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 50:35 | 15 | 50 |
| 5 | Columbus Crew | 29 | 13 | 10 | 6 | 48:43 | 5 | 49 |
| 6 | Orlando City | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 55:41 | 14 | 48 |
| 7 | New York City | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 41:33 | 8 | 47 |
| 8 | Inter Miami | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 54:43 | 11 | 46 |
| 9 | Chicago Fire | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 54:53 | 1 | 42 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 43:40 | 3 | 40 |
| 11 | New England Revolution | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 39:44 | -5 | 32 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 29 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 29:36 | -7 | 26 |
| 13 | Atlanta Utd | 29 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 36:54 | -18 | 26 |
| 14 | DC United | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 27:55 | -28 | 25 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 30 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 29:53 | -24 | 24 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
