Result
1:2
21/03/2026 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Bensalah N. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | Apple TV International |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 2.52 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (273/372) | 73% (313/431) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 2.52 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 2.51 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (273/372) | 73% (313/431) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (16/50) | 33% (27/81) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (74/124) | 50% (52/103) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (3/20) | 50% (4/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 1.55 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 31 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (9/18) | 57% (13/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 68 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.51 | 1.88 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.51 | 0.88 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 8', Lod R. 🟨,
- 23', D'Avilla D. 🟨,
- 31', Zinckernagel P. ↓, Haile-Selassie M. ↑,
- 37', Ndinga P. 🟨,
- 45+3', 0 - 1, Cuypers H. ⚽, Gutman A. (A),
- 45+7', 1 - 1, Iloski M. ⚽, Bedoya A. (A), Westfield F. (A2)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Bueno J. ↓, Lukic J. ↑,
- 46', Gutman A. ↓, Radojevic V. ↑,
- 58', 1 - 2, Bamba J. ⚽,
- 62', Sullivan C. ↓, Jakupovic M. ↑,
- 62', Bedoya A. ↓, Vassilev I. ↑,
- 66', Jean Jacques D. ↓, Rafanello J. ↑,
- 76', Ndinga P. ↓, Bender B. ↑,
- 87', Radojevic V. 🟨,
- 89', Lod R. ↓, Shokalook J. ↑,
- 89', Bamba J. ↓, Dean J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Philadelphia Union
38.7% | Draw
29.1% | Chicago Fire
32.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Philadelphia Union has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Chicago Fire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chicago Fire than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Philadelphia Union - Chicago Fire Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.44 ↑
(2.42) |
3.26 ↑
(3.06) |
2.97 ↓
(3.18) |
5.4%
(5.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Philadelphia Union - Chicago Fire?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Philadelphia will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Chicago will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Philadelphia (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 4.
- Philadelphia has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Chicago has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Chicago may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Philadelphia will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Philadelphia: Davis III E.
(Thigh Injury)
Sullivan Q.
(Leg Injury)
- There will not play in Chicago: Franco A.
(Knee Injury)
Gutman A.
(Inactive)
Rogers S.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- There are questionable in Chicago: Mueller C.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 45:26. (average 2.3:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Philadelphia won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 25:8. (average 2.5:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Philadelphia Union won against Chicago Fire?
Philadelphia Union has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chicago Fire won against Philadelphia Union?
Chicago Fire has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Philadelphia Union - Chicago Fire were as follows:
01.11.2025
Chicago Fire
-
Philadelphia Union
0:3
26.10.2025
Philadelphia Union
-
Chicago Fire
3:2
23.08.2025
Philadelphia Union
-
Chicago Fire
4:0
25.06.2025
Chicago Fire
-
Philadelphia Union
0:1
03.07.2024
Chicago Fire
-
Philadelphia Union
4:3
Latest results of Philadelphia Union
Latest results of Chicago Fire
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 19:4 | 15 | 18 |
| 2 | San Jose Earthquakes | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 13:2 | 11 | 18 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FC | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15:2 | 13 | 16 |
| 4 | Real Salt Lake | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 13 |
| 5 | Seattle Sounders | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6:2 | 4 | 13 |
| 6 | Colorado Rapids | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 12 |
| 7 | FC Dallas | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 15:10 | 5 | 12 |
| 8 | San Diego FC | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 14:10 | 4 | 11 |
| 9 | Minnesota United | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:13 | -5 | 11 |
| 10 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 | Portland Timbers | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11:16 | -5 | 7 |
| 12 | Houston Dynamo | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10:16 | -6 | 6 |
| 13 | Austin FC | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 6 |
| 14 | St. Louis City | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:17 | -10 | 4 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nashville SC | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15:4 | 11 | 16 |
| 2 | Chicago Fire | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 13 |
| 3 | Inter Miami | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 13:12 | 1 | 12 |
| 4 | New York City | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 14:9 | 5 | 11 |
| 5 | Charlotte | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 11 |
| 6 | Toronto FC | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:11 | -1 | 11 |
| 7 | New York Red Bulls | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:15 | -4 | 11 |
| 8 | New England Revolution | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12:9 | 3 | 9 |
| 9 | DC United | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4:9 | -5 | 7 |
| 10 | FC Cincinnati | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10:16 | -6 | 7 |
| 11 | Columbus Crew | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 | Atlanta Utd | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:12 | -6 | 4 |
| 13 | Orlando City | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:24 | -18 | 4 |
| 14 | Philadelphia Union | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6:12 | -6 | 3 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8:19 | -11 | 3 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
