Philadelphia Union vs Chicago Fire – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
21/03/2026 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Bensalah N. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldApple TV International

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.852.52
Ball possession
47%53%
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
34
Big chances
14
Corner kicks
62
Passes
73% (273/372)73% (313/431)
Yellow cards
13
Expected goals (xG)
0.852.52
xG on target (xGOT)
1.882.51
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
66
Blocked shots
31
Shots inside the box
59
Shots outside the box
72
Hit the woodwork
11
Headed goals
11
Big chances
14
Corner kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
2118
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free kicks
1511
Passes
73% (273/372)73% (313/431)
Long passes
32% (16/50)33% (27/81)
Passes in final third
60% (74/124)50% (52/103)
Crosses
15% (3/20)50% (4/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.731.55
Throw ins
3124
Fouls
1115
Tackles
50% (9/18)57% (13/23)
Duels won
6858
Clearances
2636
Interceptions
136
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
22
xGOT faced
2.511.88
Goals prevented
0.510.88

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 8', Lod R. 🟨,
  • 23', D'Avilla D. 🟨,
  • 31', Zinckernagel P. , Haile-Selassie M. ,
  • 37', Ndinga P. 🟨,
  • 45+3', 0 - 1, Cuypers H. , Gutman A. (A),
  • 45+7', 1 - 1, Iloski M. , Bedoya A. (A), Westfield F. (A2)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Bueno J. , Lukic J. ,
  • 46', Gutman A. , Radojevic V. ,
  • 58', 1 - 2, Bamba J. ,
  • 62', Sullivan C. , Jakupovic M. ,
  • 62', Bedoya A. , Vassilev I. ,
  • 66', Jean Jacques D. , Rafanello J. ,
  • 76', Ndinga P. , Bender B. ,
  • 87', Radojevic V. 🟨,
  • 89', Lod R. , Shokalook J. ,
  • 89', Bamba J. , Dean J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Philadelphia Union
38.7%
Draw
29.1%
Chicago Fire
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.2% 31% 29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8% 32.3% 28.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Philadelphia Union has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • Chicago Fire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chicago Fire than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • Philadelphia Union - Chicago Fire Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.44
    (2.42)
    3.26
    (3.06)
    2.97
    (3.18)
    5.4%
    (5.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Philadelphia Union - Chicago Fire?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Philadelphia will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Chicago will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Philadelphia (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 4.
    • Philadelphia has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Chicago has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Chicago may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Philadelphia will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Philadelphia: Davis III E. (Thigh Injury) Sullivan Q. (Leg Injury)
    • There will not play in Chicago: Franco A. (Knee Injury) Gutman A. (Inactive) Rogers S. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in Chicago: Mueller C. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 45:26. (average 2.3:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Philadelphia won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 25:8. (average 2.5:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Philadelphia Union - Chicago Fire were as follows:
    01.11.2025 Chicago Fire - Philadelphia Union 0:3
    26.10.2025 Philadelphia Union - Chicago Fire 3:2
    23.08.2025 Philadelphia Union - Chicago Fire 4:0
    25.06.2025 Chicago Fire - Philadelphia Union 0:1
    03.07.2024 Chicago Fire - Philadelphia Union 4:3
    Latest results of Philadelphia Union
    Latest results of Chicago Fire
    MLS Table
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    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nashville SC541013:21113
    2New York City531113:6710
    3Inter Miami53119:8110
    4Charlotte522110:648
    5Chicago Fire52127:527
    6DC United52124:407
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    13Orlando City51045:17-123
    14Columbus Crew50235:8-32
    15Philadelphia Union50053:9-60

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