Philadelphia Union vs Chicago Fire – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Philadelphia Union - Chicago Fire
26/10/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Boiko S. (Ukr)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaHBO Max
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video
chinaChinaQQ Sports
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
mexicoMexicoTNT Sports
usaUsaFox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, MLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Chances of winning


Philadelphia Union
51.7%
Draw
23.7%
Chicago Fire
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.3% 23.2% 19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.7% 25% 18.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Philadelphia Union has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Philadelphia Union's form might have worsened.
  • Chicago Fire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chicago Fire's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (+10%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Philadelphia Union, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chicago Fire than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chicago Fire, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Philadelphia Union - Chicago Fire Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.86
    (1.62)
    4.08
    (4)
    3.83
    (4.75)
    4.5%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Philadelphia Union - Chicago Fire?
  • Users Predictions: Philadelphia Union will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 2.
    • Recent performances by Philadelphia have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Chicago is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Chicago may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Philadelphia is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 42:28. (average 2.1:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Philadelphia won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 25:7. (average 2.5:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Philadelphia Union - Chicago Fire were as follows:
    23.08.2025 Philadelphia Union - Chicago Fire 4:0
    25.06.2025 Chicago Fire - Philadelphia Union 0:1
    03.07.2024 Chicago Fire - Philadelphia Union 4:3
    24.02.2024 Philadelphia Union - Chicago Fire 2:2
    15.04.2023 Chicago Fire - Philadelphia Union 2:2
    Latest results of Philadelphia Union
    Latest results of Chicago Fire
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Philadelphia UnionBye
    2Chicago FireOrlando City3 : 1
    3CharlotteBye
    4ByeNew York City
    5Inter MiamiBye
    6ByeNashville SC
    7FC CincinnatiBye
    8ByeColumbus Crew
    9San Diego FCBye
    10Portland TimbersReal Salt Lake3 : 1
    11Minnesota UnitedBye
    12ByeSeattle Sounders
    13Los Angeles FCBye
    14ByeAustin FC
    15Vancouver WhitecapsBye
    16ByeFC Dallas

    1/8-finals
    1Philadelphia UnionChicago Fire
    2CharlotteNew York City
    3Inter MiamiNashville SC1 : 0
    4FC CincinnatiColumbus Crew
    5San Diego FCPortland Timbers
    6Minnesota UnitedSeattle Sounders
    7Los Angeles FCAustin FC
    8Vancouver WhitecapsFC Dallas

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2