Result
1:0
04/10/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Freemon J. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video |
 China | QQ Sports |
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video |
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.61 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (249/322) | 81% (410/506) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.61 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 0.06 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (249/322) | 81% (410/506) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (16/40) | 43% (16/37) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (92/132) | 60% (73/122) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (3/20) | 9% (2/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.67 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (11/18) | 80% (16/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.06 | 1.44 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.06 | 0.44 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 19', Jean Jacques D. 🟨,
- 34', O'Toole K. 🟨,
- 36', Glesnes J. 🟨,
- 40', 1 - 0, Uhre M. ⚽, Lukic J. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', O'Toole K. ↓, O'Neill A. ↑,
- 55', Damiani B. 🟨,
- 58', Uhre M. ↓, Baribo T. ↑,
- 59', Martinez A. ↓, Ojeda A. ↑,
- 59', Gray T. ↓, Ilenic M. ↑,
- 73', Damiani B. ↓, Bueno J. ↑,
- 78', Wolf H. ↓, Fernandez J. ↑,
- 81', Vassilev I. ↓, Bedoya A. ↑,
- 81', Iloski M. ↓, Mbaizo O. ↑,
- 87', Moralez M. ↓, Carrizo M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Philadelphia Union
50% | Draw
24.7% | New York City
25.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Philadelphia Union has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)New York City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York City than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Philadelphia Union - New York City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.91 ↓
(1.93) |
3.82 ↓
(3.93) |
3.74 ↑
(3.38) |
5.3%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Philadelphia Union - New York City?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Philadelphia will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 55.2% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 5 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- Philadelphia is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- NY City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 3.
- Recent performances by Philadelphia have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- NY City is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- NY City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Philadelphia has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Philadelphia is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Philadelphia: Westfield F.
(International duty)
- There will not play in NY City: Cavallo N.
(Leg Injury)
Jones M.
(Broken Leg)
Martinez A.
(Leg Injury)
Parks K.
(Leg Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 30:29. (average 1.5:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Philadelphia won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Philadelphia Union won against New York City?
Philadelphia Union has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has New York City won against Philadelphia Union?
New York City has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Philadelphia Union - New York City were as follows:
12.04.2025
New York City
-
Philadelphia Union
1:0
18.09.2024
New York City
-
Philadelphia Union
1:5
15.05.2024
Philadelphia Union
-
New York City
1:2
15.07.2023
Philadelphia Union
-
New York City
2:1
27.05.2023
New York City
-
Philadelphia Union
1:3
Latest results of Philadelphia Union
Latest results of New York City
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ | 33 | 18 | 9 | 6 | 65:36 | 29 | 63 |
| 2 | San Diego FC ✔ | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 60:41 | 19 | 60 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FC ✔ | 33 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 63:38 | 25 | 59 |
| 4 | Minnesota United ✔ | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 55:37 | 18 | 58 |
| 5 | Seattle Sounders ✔ | 33 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 56:47 | 9 | 52 |
| 6 | Austin FC | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 36:43 | -7 | 47 |
| 7 | Portland Timbers | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 41:44 | -3 | 44 |
| 8 | FC Dallas | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 50:54 | -4 | 41 |
| 9 | Real Salt Lake | 33 | 12 | 4 | 17 | 36:47 | -11 | 40 |
| 10 | Colorado Rapids | 33 | 11 | 7 | 15 | 42:54 | -12 | 40 |
| 11 | San Jose Earthquakes | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 58:62 | -4 | 38 |
| 12 | Houston Dynamo | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 43:56 | -13 | 36 |
| 13 | St. Louis City | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 42:56 | -14 | 31 |
| 14 | Sporting Kansas City | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 46:70 | -24 | 27 |
| 15 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 33 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 44:65 | -21 | 27 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Philadelphia Union ✔ | 33 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 57:33 | 24 | 66 |
| 2 | FC Cincinnati ✔ | 33 | 19 | 5 | 9 | 49:40 | 9 | 62 |
| 3 | Inter Miami ✔ | 33 | 18 | 8 | 7 | 76:53 | 23 | 62 |
| 4 | Charlotte ✔ | 33 | 18 | 2 | 13 | 53:46 | 7 | 56 |
| 5 | New York City ✔ | 33 | 17 | 5 | 11 | 49:42 | 7 | 56 |
| 6 | Nashville SC | 33 | 16 | 6 | 11 | 56:40 | 16 | 54 |
| 7 | Orlando City | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 61:47 | 14 | 53 |
| 8 | Chicago Fire | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 66:58 | 8 | 52 |
| 9 | Columbus Crew | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 52:50 | 2 | 51 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 47:44 | 3 | 43 |
| 11 | New England Revolution | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 42:49 | -7 | 35 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 33 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 33:42 | -9 | 29 |
| 13 | CF Montreal | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 34:57 | -23 | 28 |
| 14 | Atlanta Utd | 33 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 37:62 | -25 | 27 |
| 15 | DC United | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 29:65 | -36 | 25 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Seattle Sounders is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Inter Miami is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
