Result
1:2
01/03/2026 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Penso C. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Usa | MLS Season Pass |
World | Apple TV International |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.02 | 2.44 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (352/451) | 79% (408/514) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.02 | 2.44 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 2.72 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (352/451) | 79% (408/514) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (10/31) | 40% (22/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (148/205) | 77% (79/103) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (4/23) | 43% (3/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 1.70 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 42% (8/19) | 48% (11/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.72 | 1.13 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 20', Gray T. 🟨,
- 23', Makhanya O. 🟨,
- 36', 0 - 1, Wolf H. ⚽,
- 39', O'Neill A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 59', Westfield F. ↓, Bender B. ↑,
- 59', Anello A. ↓, Korzeniowski S. ↑,
- 74', Moralez M. ↓, Reid S. ↑,
- 83', Wolf H. ↓, Baiera D. ↑,
- 83', Iloski M. ↓, Sullivan C. ↑,
- 83', Damiani B. ↓, Olivas S. ↑,
- 83', O'Neill A. ↓, Trewin K. ↑,
- 89', 1 - 1, Vassilev I. (Penalty Awarded),
- 90', Mercau N. ↓, Talles Magno ↑,
- 90+2', Makhanya O. 🟨,
- 90+3', Vassilev I. ↓, Martinez G. ↑,
- 90+5', Sery Larsen J. 🟨,
- 90+9', 1 - 2, Gray T. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Philadelphia Union 44.2% | Draw 28.4% | New York City 27.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Philadelphia Union has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Philadelphia Union's form might have worsened.New York City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
Philadelphia Union - New York City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.15 ↑ (1.82) |
3.35 ↓ (3.73) |
3.48 ↓ (4.14) |
5.1% (5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Philadelphia Union - New York City?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Philadelphia will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). NY City will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Philadelphia: 23.1% – 88.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Philadelphia Union will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 2.
- Philadelphia has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- NY City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Philadelphia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Philadelphia: Alladoh E.
(Red Card)
Davis III E.
(Thigh Injury)
Sullivan Q.
(Leg Injury)
- There will not play in NY City: Jones M.
(Broken Leg)
Martinez A.
(Knee Injury)
Perea A.
(Leg Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 30:26. (average 1.5:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Philadelphia won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.3:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Philadelphia Union won against New York City?
Philadelphia Union has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has New York City won against Philadelphia Union?
New York City has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Philadelphia Union - New York City were as follows:
23.11.2025
Philadelphia Union
-
New York City
0:1
04.10.2025
Philadelphia Union
-
New York City
1:0
12.04.2025
New York City
-
Philadelphia Union
1:0
18.09.2024
New York City
-
Philadelphia Union
1:5
15.05.2024
Philadelphia Union
-
New York City
1:2
Latest results of Philadelphia Union
Latest results of New York City
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14:1 | 13 | 12 |
| 2 | Los Angeles FC | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:0 | 8 | 12 |
| 3 | San Diego FC | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11:3 | 8 | 10 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:1 | 5 | 9 |
| 5 | Seattle Sounders | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 9 |
| 6 | Real Salt Lake | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 9 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 6 |
| 8 | Houston Dynamo | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | FC Dallas | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 5 |
| 10 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 4 |
| 11 | Austin FC | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 4 |
| 12 | Sporting Kansas City | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
| 13 | Minnesota United | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:11 | -7 | 4 |
| 14 | Portland Timbers | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 3 |
| 15 | St. Louis City | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 1 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | New York City | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11:3 | 8 | 10 |
| 2 | Nashville SC | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:2 | 6 | 10 |
| 3 | Inter Miami | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
| 4 | New York Red Bulls | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 7 |
| 5 | DC United | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 6 | Charlotte | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 5 |
| 7 | Chicago Fire | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Toronto FC | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
| 9 | New England Revolution | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Atlanta Utd | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 3 |
| 11 | FC Cincinnati | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 3 |
| 12 | CF Montreal | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:10 | -6 | 3 |
| 13 | Orlando City | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:12 | -7 | 3 |
| 14 | Columbus Crew | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 2 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:7 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)