Result
1:1
09/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Penso T. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 1.44 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (290/377) | 75% (293/392) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 1.44 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 1.49 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (290/377) | 75% (293/392) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (22/48) | 43% (33/76) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (84/120) | 50% (46/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (7/21) | 29% (5/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.65 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (14/23) | 79% (11/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.49 | 1.36 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.49 | 0.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 4', 1 - 0, Vassilev I. ⚽, Baribo T. (A),
- 29', Glesnes J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 55', Petretta R. 🟨,
- 59', Coello A. ↓, Dominguez M. ↑,
- 64', Wagner K. 🟨,
- 67', Damiani B. ↓, Uhre M. ↑,
- 67', Baribo T. ↓, Iloski M. ↑,
- 76', Brynhildsen O. ↓, Kerr D. ↑,
- 76', Corbeanu T. ↓, Henry M. ↑,
- 79', Makhanya O. 🟨,
- 80', Kerr D. 🟨,
- 81', Bueno J. ↓, Lukic J. ↑,
- 88', Sullivan Q. ↓, Sullivan C. ↑,
- 88', Vassilev I. ↓, Bedoya A. ↑,
- 90+1', 1 - 1, Kerr D. ⚽, Henry M. (A),
- 90+6', Mihailovic D. ↓, Etienne D. ↑,
- 90+6', Petretta R. ↓, Thompson K. ↑,
- 90+10', Thompson K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Philadelphia Union
68.7% | Draw
19.1% | Toronto FC
12.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Philadelphia Union has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)Toronto FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Philadelphia Union - Toronto FC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.39 ↓
(1.45) |
4.96 ↑
(4.56) |
7.7 ↑
(6.8) |
5.2%
(5.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Philadelphia Union - Toronto FC?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 2.
- Philadelphia is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Toronto is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Philadelphia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Philadelphia has had a series of home games.
- Recently, Toronto has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Philadelphia is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Philadelphia: Glavinovich I.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Toronto: Brynhildsen O.
(Ankle Injury)
Gomis N.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Monlouis Z.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Petretta R.
(Head Injury)
Wingo H.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- There are questionable in Philadelphia: Bender B.
(Calf Injury)
- We predict that Philadelphia will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 32:35. (average 1.6:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Philadelphia won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:12. (average 2.2:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Philadelphia Union won against Toronto FC?
Philadelphia Union has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Toronto FC won against Philadelphia Union?
Toronto FC has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Philadelphia Union - Toronto FC were as follows:
28.05.2025
Toronto FC
-
Philadelphia Union
1:2
13.07.2024
Toronto FC
-
Philadelphia Union
2:1
29.05.2024
Philadelphia Union
-
Toronto FC
0:0
30.08.2023
Toronto FC
-
Philadelphia Union
3:1
22.04.2023
Philadelphia Union
-
Toronto FC
4:2
Latest results of Philadelphia Union
Latest results of Toronto FC
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Diego FC | 30 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 55:37 | 18 | 56 |
| 2 | Minnesota United | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 51:33 | 18 | 54 |
| 3 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 54:31 | 23 | 52 |
| 4 | Seattle Sounders | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 50:40 | 10 | 45 |
| 5 | Los Angeles FC | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 49:35 | 14 | 44 |
| 6 | Portland Timbers | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 38:39 | -1 | 42 |
| 7 | Austin FC | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 31:36 | -5 | 41 |
| 8 | Colorado Rapids | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 40:49 | -9 | 39 |
| 9 | San Jose Earthquakes | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 55:55 | 0 | 35 |
| 10 | Real Salt Lake | 28 | 10 | 4 | 14 | 30:37 | -7 | 34 |
| 11 | FC Dallas | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 42:48 | -6 | 34 |
| 12 | Houston Dynamo | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 39:49 | -10 | 33 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas City | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 45:61 | -16 | 27 |
| 14 | St. Louis City | 30 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 36:51 | -15 | 25 |
| 15 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 29 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 35:58 | -23 | 21 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Philadelphia Union | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 49:33 | 16 | 57 |
| 2 | FC Cincinnati | 30 | 17 | 4 | 9 | 44:37 | 7 | 55 |
| 3 | Charlotte | 30 | 17 | 2 | 11 | 51:40 | 11 | 53 |
| 4 | Nashville SC | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 50:35 | 15 | 50 |
| 5 | Columbus Crew | 29 | 13 | 10 | 6 | 48:43 | 5 | 49 |
| 6 | Orlando City | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 55:41 | 14 | 48 |
| 7 | New York City | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 41:33 | 8 | 47 |
| 8 | Inter Miami | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 54:43 | 11 | 46 |
| 9 | Chicago Fire | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 54:53 | 1 | 42 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 43:40 | 3 | 40 |
| 11 | New England Revolution | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 39:44 | -5 | 32 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 29 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 29:36 | -7 | 26 |
| 13 | Atlanta Utd | 29 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 36:54 | -18 | 26 |
| 14 | DC United | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 27:55 | -28 | 25 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 30 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 29:53 | -24 | 24 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
