Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
09/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Penso T. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.241.44
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
58
Passes
77% (290/377)75% (293/392)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
1.241.44
xG on target (xGOT)
1.361.49
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
84
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
910
Shots outside the Box
30
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
58
Touches in opposition box
2319
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
816
Passes
77% (290/377)75% (293/392)
Long passes
46% (22/48)43% (33/76)
Passes in final third
70% (84/120)50% (46/92)
Crosses
33% (7/21)29% (5/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.830.65
Throw-ins
2717
Fouls
168
Tackles
61% (14/23)79% (11/14)
Duels won
4745
Clearances
2326
Interceptions
119
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
1.491.36
Goals prevented
0.490.36

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Vassilev I. , Baribo T. (A),
  • 29', Glesnes J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 55', Petretta R. 🟨,
  • 59', Coello A. , Dominguez M. ,
  • 64', Wagner K. 🟨,
  • 67', Damiani B. , Uhre M. ,
  • 67', Baribo T. , Iloski M. ,
  • 76', Brynhildsen O. , Kerr D. ,
  • 76', Corbeanu T. , Henry M. ,
  • 79', Makhanya O. 🟨,
  • 80', Kerr D. 🟨,
  • 81', Bueno J. , Lukic J. ,
  • 88', Sullivan Q. , Sullivan C. ,
  • 88', Vassilev I. , Bedoya A. ,
  • 90+1', 1 - 1, Kerr D. , Henry M. (A),
  • 90+6', Mihailovic D. , Etienne D. ,
  • 90+6', Petretta R. , Thompson K. ,
  • 90+10', Thompson K. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Philadelphia Union
68.7%
Draw
19.1%
Toronto FC
12.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.3% 20.8% 13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.8% 20.3% 13.6%

Philadelphia Union - Toronto FC Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.39
(1.45)
4.96
(4.56)
7.7
(6.8)
5.2%
(5.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Philadelphia Union - Toronto FC?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Philadelphia (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.25 - Toronto (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Philadelphia (votes: 1 - 20%). Toronto (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 2.
    • Philadelphia is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Toronto is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Philadelphia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Philadelphia has had a series of home games.
    • Recently, Toronto has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Philadelphia is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Philadelphia: Glavinovich I. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Toronto: Brynhildsen O. (Ankle Injury) Gomis N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Monlouis Z. (Lower-Body Injury) Petretta R. (Head Injury) Wingo H. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in Philadelphia: Bender B. (Calf Injury)
    • We predict that Philadelphia will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 32:35. (average 1.6:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Philadelphia won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:12. (average 2.2:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Philadelphia Union - Toronto FC were as follows:
    28.05.2025 Toronto FC - Philadelphia Union 1:2
    13.07.2024 Toronto FC - Philadelphia Union 2:1
    29.05.2024 Philadelphia Union - Toronto FC 0:0
    30.08.2023 Toronto FC - Philadelphia Union 3:1
    22.04.2023 Philadelphia Union - Toronto FC 4:2
    Latest results of Toronto FC
    26.07.2025 Charlotte - Toronto FC 2:0
    19.07.2025 Nashville SC - Toronto FC 1:0
    16.07.2025 San Diego - Toronto FC 0:1
    03.07.2025 New York City - Toronto FC 3:1
    MLS Table
    2026

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Dallas00000:000
    2Houston Dynamo00000:000
    3Los Angeles Galaxy00000:000
    4Real Salt Lake00000:000
    5San Jose Earthquakes00000:000
    6Colorado Rapids00000:000
    7Sporting Kansas City00000:000
    8Seattle Sounders00000:000
    9Portland Timbers00000:000
    10Vancouver Whitecaps00000:000
    11Minnesota United00000:000
    12Los Angeles FC00000:000
    13Austin FC00000:000
    14St. Louis City00000:000
    15San Diego FC00000:000


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1New England Revolution00000:000
    2DC United00000:000
    3Toronto FC00000:000
    4New York Red Bulls00000:000
    5Columbus Crew00000:000
    6Chicago Fire00000:000
    7CF Montreal00000:000
    8Philadelphia Union00000:000
    9Orlando City00000:000
    10New York City00000:000
    11FC Cincinnati00000:000
    12Atlanta Utd00000:000
    13Nashville SC00000:000
    14Inter Miami00000:000
    15Charlotte00000:000

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)