Result
1:1
09/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Penso T. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Usa | MLS Season Pass |
World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.24 | 1.44 |
Ball Possession |
---|
49% | 51% |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 8 |
Passes |
---|
77% (290/377) | 75% (293/392) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.24 | 1.44 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.36 | 1.49 |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
8 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
9 | 10 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 0 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 8 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
23 | 19 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
8 | 16 |
Passes |
---|
77% (290/377) | 75% (293/392) |
Long passes |
---|
46% (22/48) | 43% (33/76) |
Passes in final third |
---|
70% (84/120) | 50% (46/92) |
Crosses |
---|
33% (7/21) | 29% (5/17) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.83 | 0.65 |
Throw-ins |
---|
27 | 17 |
Fouls |
---|
16 | 8 |
Tackles |
---|
61% (14/23) | 79% (11/14) |
Duels won |
---|
47 | 45 |
Clearances |
---|
23 | 26 |
Interceptions |
---|
11 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.49 | 1.36 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.49 | 0.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 4', 1 - 0, Vassilev I. ⚽, Baribo T. (A),
- 29', Glesnes J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 55', Petretta R. 🟨,
- 59', Coello A. ↓, Dominguez M. ↑,
- 64', Wagner K. 🟨,
- 67', Damiani B. ↓, Uhre M. ↑,
- 67', Baribo T. ↓, Iloski M. ↑,
- 76', Brynhildsen O. ↓, Kerr D. ↑,
- 76', Corbeanu T. ↓, Henry M. ↑,
- 79', Makhanya O. 🟨,
- 80', Kerr D. 🟨,
- 81', Bueno J. ↓, Lukic J. ↑,
- 88', Sullivan Q. ↓, Sullivan C. ↑,
- 88', Vassilev I. ↓, Bedoya A. ↑,
- 90+1', 1 - 1, Kerr D. ⚽, Henry M. (A),
- 90+6', Mihailovic D. ↓, Etienne D. ↑,
- 90+6', Petretta R. ↓, Thompson K. ↑,
- 90+10', Thompson K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Philadelphia Union 68.7% | Draw 19.1% | Toronto FC 12.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Philadelphia Union has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)Toronto FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Philadelphia Union - Toronto FC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.39 ↓ (1.45) |
4.96 ↑ (4.56) |
7.7 ↑ (6.8) |
5.2% (5.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Philadelphia Union - Toronto FC?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 2.
- Philadelphia is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Toronto is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Philadelphia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Philadelphia has had a series of home games.
- Recently, Toronto has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Philadelphia is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Philadelphia: Glavinovich I.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Toronto: Brynhildsen O.
(Ankle Injury)
Gomis N.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Monlouis Z.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Petretta R.
(Head Injury)
Wingo H.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- There are questionable in Philadelphia: Bender B.
(Calf Injury)
- We predict that Philadelphia will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 32:35. (average 1.6:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Philadelphia won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:12. (average 2.2:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Philadelphia Union won against Toronto FC?
Philadelphia Union has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Toronto FC won against Philadelphia Union?
Toronto FC has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Philadelphia Union - Toronto FC were as follows:
28.05.2025
Toronto FC
-
Philadelphia Union
1:2
13.07.2024
Toronto FC
-
Philadelphia Union
2:1
29.05.2024
Philadelphia Union
-
Toronto FC
0:0
30.08.2023
Toronto FC
-
Philadelphia Union
3:1
22.04.2023
Philadelphia Union
-
Toronto FC
4:2
Latest results of Philadelphia Union
Latest results of Toronto FC
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | San Diego FC | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 52:33 | 19 | 53 |
2 | Minnesota United | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 47:31 | 16 | 50 |
3 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 47:31 | 16 | 49 |
4 | Los Angeles FC | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 44:31 | 13 | 41 |
5 | Seattle Sounders | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43:36 | 7 | 41 |
6 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 35:37 | -2 | 38 |
7 | Colorado Rapids | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 36:44 | -8 | 36 |
8 | San Jose Earthquakes | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 52:48 | 4 | 35 |
9 | Austin FC | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 26:32 | -6 | 35 |
10 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 28:36 | -8 | 31 |
11 | FC Dallas | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 39:47 | -8 | 30 |
12 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 34:44 | -10 | 29 |
13 | Sporting Kansas City | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 37:50 | -13 | 24 |
14 | St. Louis City | 27 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 31:47 | -16 | 21 |
15 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 27 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 32:55 | -23 | 19 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Philadelphia Union | 28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 48:26 | 22 | 54 |
2 | FC Cincinnati | 28 | 16 | 4 | 8 | 42:35 | 7 | 52 |
3 | Nashville SC | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 49:32 | 17 | 50 |
4 | Orlando City | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 54:40 | 14 | 47 |
5 | Inter Miami | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 54:40 | 14 | 46 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 43:39 | 4 | 45 |
7 | Charlotte | 27 | 14 | 2 | 11 | 45:39 | 6 | 44 |
8 | New York City | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 37:30 | 7 | 44 |
9 | New York Red Bulls | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 42:37 | 5 | 39 |
10 | Chicago Fire | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 50:48 | 2 | 39 |
11 | New England Revolution | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 35:38 | -3 | 31 |
12 | Toronto FC | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 27:34 | -7 | 23 |
13 | CF Montreal | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 28:50 | -22 | 23 |
14 | Atlanta Utd | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 31:49 | -18 | 22 |
15 | DC United | 28 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 24:53 | -29 | 21 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)