Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Philadelphia Union - Toronto FC
09/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Philadelphia Union
64.6%
Draw
20.6%
Toronto FC
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.3% 20.8% 13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.8% 20.3% 13.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Philadelphia Union has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • Toronto FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • Philadelphia Union - Toronto FC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.47
    (1.45)
    4.63
    (4.56)
    6.5
    (6.8)
    4.8%
    (5.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 2.
    • Philadelphia is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Toronto is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Toronto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Philadelphia has had a series of home games.
    • Recently, Toronto has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Philadelphia is the undisputed favorite.
    • We predict that Philadelphia will win today's game, with odds of 1.46.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 32:35. (average 1.6:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Philadelphia won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:12. (average 2.2:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Philadelphia Union - Toronto FC were as follows:
    28.05.2025 Toronto FC - Philadelphia Union 1:2
    13.07.2024 Toronto FC - Philadelphia Union 2:1
    29.05.2024 Philadelphia Union - Toronto FC 0:0
    30.08.2023 Toronto FC - Philadelphia Union 3:1
    22.04.2023 Philadelphia Union - Toronto FC 4:2
    Latest results of Toronto FC
    26.07.2025 Charlotte - Toronto FC 2:0
    19.07.2025 Nashville SC - Toronto FC 1:0
    16.07.2025 San Diego - Toronto FC 0:1
    03.07.2025 New York City - Toronto FC 3:1
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC25144748:321646
    2Vancouver Whitecaps24136542:261645
    3Minnesota United25128542:281444
    4Seattle Sounders24108639:35438
    5Portland Timbers24107733:32137
    6Los Angeles FC22106639:281136
    7Austin FC2396821:26-533
    8Real Salt Lake24941126:30-431
    9Colorado Rapids25861131:39-830
    10San Jose Earthquakes25781047:44329
    11Houston Dynamo24761130:39-927
    12FC Dallas24671135:45-1025
    13Sporting Kansas City24661236:45-924
    14St. Louis City24461424:40-1618
    15Los Angeles Galaxy24371428:48-2016


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union25155543:241950
    2FC Cincinnati25154639:31849
    3Nashville SC25145642:261647
    4Columbus Crew25128541:36544
    5Inter Miami22126449:341542
    6Orlando City25118646:331341
    7Charlotte251221143:39438
    8New York City24115834:29538
    9Chicago Fire24105945:40535
    10New York Red Bulls25961039:36333
    11New England Revolution24671131:35-425
    12Toronto FC24561325:32-721
    13Atlanta Utd24491129:45-1621
    14DC United25471422:49-2719
    15CF Montreal25461523:46-2318

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)