Result
1:2
28/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 1.30 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (187/275) | 68% (254/376) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 1.30 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 1.76 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (187/275) | 68% (254/376) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (26/66) | 55% (36/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (45/86) | 58% (96/165) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (4/13) | 32% (7/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 1.07 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 41% (9/22) | 81% (13/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 74 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 58 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.76 | 1.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.24 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Wingo H. ↓, Rosted S. ↑,
- 67', Damiani B. ↓, Uhre M. ↑,
- 67', Bueno J. ↓, Jean Jacques D. ↑,
- 76', 1 - 0, Brynhildsen O. ⚽, Flores D. (A),
- 76', Vassilev I. ↓, Bedoya A. ↑,
- 78', Monlouis Z. ↓, Long K. ↑,
- 83', Sullivan Q. ↓, Bender B. ↑,
- 86', Brynhildsen O. ↓, Sharp C. ↑,
- 86', Coello A. ↓, Longstaff M. ↑,
- 86', 1 - 1, Harriel N. ⚽, Wagner K. (A),
- 89', Baribo T. 🟨,
- 90+2', 1 - 2, Wagner K. ⚽,
- 90+7', Bedoya A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Toronto FC
25.2% | Draw
26.8% | Philadelphia Union
48% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toronto FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Toronto FC's form might have worsened.Philadelphia Union has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Philadelphia Union's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (+7.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Toronto FC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (-7.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Philadelphia Union, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Toronto FC - Philadelphia Union Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.78 ↑
(2.86) |
3.57 ↑
(3.53) |
2.01 ↓
(2.4) |
4.2%
(5.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Toronto FC - Philadelphia Union?
Users Predictions:
Philadelphia Union will win
(14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Philadelphia Union will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 2.
- In recent matches, Toronto has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Philadelphia is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Philadelphia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
- Philadelphia might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Toronto: Bernardeschi F.
(Yellow Cards)
Franklin K.
(Ankle Injury)
Gomis N.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Kerr D.
(Ankle Injury)
Laryea R.
(Hamstring Injury)
Thompson K.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Philadelphia: Glavinovich I.
(Knee Injury)
Pierre N.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Toronto: Petretta R.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Philadelphia: Blake A.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 37:31. (average 1.9:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 25:11. (average 2.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Toronto FC won against Philadelphia Union?
Toronto FC has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Philadelphia Union won against Toronto FC?
Philadelphia Union has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto FC - Philadelphia Union were as follows:
13.07.2024
Toronto FC
-
Philadelphia Union
2:1
29.05.2024
Philadelphia Union
-
Toronto FC
0:0
30.08.2023
Toronto FC
-
Philadelphia Union
3:1
22.04.2023
Philadelphia Union
-
Toronto FC
4:2
09.10.2022
Philadelphia Union
-
Toronto FC
4:0
Latest results of Toronto FC
Latest results of Philadelphia Union
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Diego FC | 21 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 44:29 | 15 | 39 |
| 2 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 35:22 | 13 | 38 |
| 3 | Minnesota United | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 35:24 | 11 | 37 |
| 4 | Portland Timbers | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 30:28 | 2 | 33 |
| 5 | Seattle Sounders | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 28:26 | 2 | 30 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 33:24 | 9 | 29 |
| 7 | San Jose Earthquakes | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 41:33 | 8 | 28 |
| 8 | Houston Dynamo | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 29:34 | -5 | 26 |
| 9 | Austin FC | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 15:23 | -8 | 26 |
| 10 | Colorado Rapids | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 24:33 | -9 | 26 |
| 11 | Sporting Kansas City | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 33:38 | -5 | 23 |
| 12 | Real Salt Lake | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 22:28 | -6 | 22 |
| 13 | FC Dallas | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 27:37 | -10 | 21 |
| 14 | St. Louis City | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 21:34 | -13 | 15 |
| 15 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 21 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 22:42 | -20 | 12 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Cincinnati | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 33:27 | 6 | 42 |
| 2 | Nashville SC | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 37:23 | 14 | 41 |
| 3 | Philadelphia Union | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 35:21 | 14 | 40 |
| 4 | Columbus Crew | 21 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 34:27 | 7 | 38 |
| 5 | Inter Miami | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 42:29 | 13 | 35 |
| 6 | Orlando City | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 39:28 | 11 | 34 |
| 7 | New York City | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 27:22 | 5 | 31 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 33:25 | 8 | 30 |
| 9 | Chicago Fire | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 39:36 | 3 | 28 |
| 10 | Charlotte | 21 | 8 | 2 | 11 | 34:36 | -2 | 26 |
| 11 | New England Revolution | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 26:25 | 1 | 24 |
| 12 | DC United | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 17:39 | -22 | 19 |
| 13 | Atlanta Utd | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 22:37 | -15 | 18 |
| 14 | Toronto FC | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 23:28 | -5 | 17 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 18:40 | -22 | 14 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
Which TV channels are streaming of Toronto FC - Philadelphia Union?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Canada | RDS App, RDS Info, TSN 4 |
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | EA Sports FC |
