Phoenix Mercury vs Golden State Valkyries – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Basketball WNBA Phoenix Mercury - Golden State Valkyries
Result
81:72
22/08/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WNBA

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
6167
Field Goals Made
2825
Field Goals %
45.9%37.3%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
2936
2-Point Field Goals Made
1417
2-Point Field Goals %
48.3%47.2%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
3231
3-Point Field Goals Made
148
3-Point Field Goals %
43.8%25.8%
Free Throws Attempted
1519
Free Throws Made
1114
Free Throws %
73.3%73.7%
Offensive Rebounds
76
Defensive Rebounds
2625
Total Rebounds
3331
Assists
2520
Blocks
65
Turnovers
136
Steals
47
Personal Fouls
1914

Chances of winning


Phoenix Mercury
71.5%
Golden State Valkyries
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.8% 30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.3% 29.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Phoenix Mercury has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • Golden State Valkyries has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Phoenix Mercury than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Golden State Valkyries than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • Phoenix Mercury - Golden State Valkyries Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.34
    (1.37)

    3.36
    (3.15)
    4.7%
    (5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 154.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)
  • What is the prediction for Phoenix Mercury - Golden State Valkyries?
  • Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Golden State will win (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Phoenix (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 80:74.
  • Preview Facts
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Phoenix may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Phoenix is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Phoenix won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 341:329. (average 85.3:82.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Phoenix won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 165:161. (average 82.5:80.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Phoenix Mercury - Golden State Valkyries were as follows:
    19.08.2025 Golden State Valkyries - Phoenix Mercury 91:98
    14.07.2025 Golden State Valkyries - Phoenix Mercury 77:78
    05.06.2025 Phoenix Mercury - Golden State Valkyries 86:77
    11.05.2025 Phoenix Mercury - Golden State Valkyries 79:84
    Latest results of Phoenix Mercury
    Latest results of Golden State Valkyries
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Minnesota Lynx W (1)Golden State Valkyries W (8)2 : 0
    2Phoenix Mercury W (4)New York Liberty W (5)2 : 1
    3Las Vegas Aces W (2)Seattle Storm W (7)2 : 1
    4Atlanta Dream W (3)Indiana Fever W (6)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Minnesota Lynx W (1)Phoenix Mercury W (4)1 : 1
    2Las Vegas Aces W (2)Indiana Fever W (6)1 : 1