Los Angeles Sparks vs Phoenix Mercury – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Basketball WNBA Los Angeles Sparks - Phoenix Mercury
Result
84:92
26/08/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WNBA

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
6569
Field Goals Made
3133
Field Goals %
47.7%47.8%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
4144
2-Point Field Goals Made
2422
2-Point Field Goals %
58.5%50%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
2425
3-Point Field Goals Made
711
3-Point Field Goals %
29.2%44%
Free Throws Attempted
1718
Free Throws Made
1515
Free Throws %
88.2%83.3%
Offensive Rebounds
57
Defensive Rebounds
2425
Total Rebounds
2932
Assists
1928
Blocks
21
Turnovers
1613
Steals
811
Personal Fouls
1814

Chances of winning


Los Angeles Sparks
39.2%
Phoenix Mercury
60.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.7% 59.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7% 60.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Los Angeles Sparks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • Phoenix Mercury has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Los Angeles Sparks than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Phoenix Mercury than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • Los Angeles Sparks - Phoenix Mercury Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.45
    (2.28)

    1.56
    (1.56)
    4.9%
    (8.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 177.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Los Angeles won 0.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Phoenix may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Phoenix will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Los Angeles won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1660:1635. (average 83:81.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Los Angeles won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 835:790. (average 83.5:79).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Los Angeles Sparks - Phoenix Mercury were as follows:
    01.06.2025 Los Angeles Sparks - Phoenix Mercury 80:85
    21.05.2025 Phoenix Mercury - Los Angeles Sparks 89:86
    17.09.2024 Los Angeles Sparks - Phoenix Mercury 81:85
    07.07.2024 Los Angeles Sparks - Phoenix Mercury 78:84
    28.06.2024 Phoenix Mercury - Los Angeles Sparks 92:78
    Latest results of Los Angeles Sparks
    Latest results of Phoenix Mercury
    WNBA Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Minnesota Lynx W393183382:29970.795
    2Las Vegas Aces W4026143308:32630.650
    3Phoenix Mercury W3925143240:31050.641
    4Seattle Storm W4122193379:32760.537
    5Golden State Valkyries W3820182997:29340.526
    6Los Angeles Sparks W3717203183:32660.459
    7Dallas Wings W409313269:35240.225


    Eastern Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Atlanta Dream W3925143254:30080.641
    2New York Liberty W4024163405:32400.600
    3Indiana Fever W3921183318:32120.538
    4Washington Mystics W4016243116:32640.400
    5Connecticut Sun W3910292976:33420.256
    6Chicago Sky W399302957:33530.231


    Overall Standings
    PlWLPCT
    1Minnesota Lynx W393183382:29970.795
    2Las Vegas Aces W4026143308:32630.650
    3Atlanta Dream W3925143254:30080.641
    4Phoenix Mercury W3925143240:31050.641
    5New York Liberty W4024163405:32400.600
    6Indiana Fever W3921183318:32120.538
    7Seattle Storm W4122193379:32760.537
    8Golden State Valkyries W3820182997:29340.526
    9Los Angeles Sparks W3717203183:32660.459
    10Washington Mystics W4016243116:32640.400
    11Connecticut Sun W3910292976:33420.256
    12Chicago Sky W399302957:33530.231
    13Dallas Wings W409313269:35240.225

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