Los Angeles Sparks vs Phoenix Mercury – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Basketball WNBA Los Angeles Sparks - Phoenix Mercury
Result
80:85
01/06/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WNBA

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
7164
Field Goals Made
2626
Field Goals %
36.6%40.6%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
3635
2-Point Field Goals Made
1814
2-Point Field Goals %
50%40%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
3529
3-Point Field Goals Made
812
3-Point Field Goals %
22.9%41.4%
Free Throws Attempted
2524
Free Throws Made
2021
Free Throws %
80%87.5%
Offensive Rebounds
127
Defensive Rebounds
2631
Total Rebounds
3838
Assists
1722
Blocks
32
Turnovers
1312
Steals
117
Personal Fouls
2522

Chances of winning


Los Angeles Sparks
62.3%
Phoenix Mercury
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.3% 45.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.4% 43.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Los Angeles Sparks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Los Angeles Sparks's performance.
  • Phoenix Mercury has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Phoenix Mercury might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Angeles Sparks than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Los Angeles Sparks that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Phoenix Mercury than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Phoenix Mercury could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Los Angeles Sparks - Phoenix Mercury Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.52
    (1.77)

    2.51
    (2.1)
    5.5%
    (4.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 165.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ WNBA (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Los Angeles won 0.
    • Recent form of Los Angeles has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Phoenix's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Phoenix has had a series of home games.
    • Los Angeles will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Los Angeles won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1664:1624. (average 83.2:81.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Los Angeles won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 839:779. (average 83.9:77.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Los Angeles Sparks - Phoenix Mercury were as follows:
    21.05.2025 Phoenix Mercury - Los Angeles Sparks 89:86
    17.09.2024 Los Angeles Sparks - Phoenix Mercury 81:85
    07.07.2024 Los Angeles Sparks - Phoenix Mercury 78:84
    28.06.2024 Phoenix Mercury - Los Angeles Sparks 92:78
    02.06.2024 Phoenix Mercury - Los Angeles Sparks 87:68
    Latest results of Los Angeles Sparks
    Latest results of Phoenix Mercury
    WNBA Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Minnesota Lynx W292452529:21860.828
    2Phoenix Mercury W2716112251:21980.593
    3Seattle Storm W2816122284:22020.571
    4Golden State Valkyries W2714132109:20960.519
    5Las Vegas Aces W2814142262:23320.500
    6Los Angeles Sparks W2712152308:23770.444
    7Dallas Wings W298212380:25100.276


    Eastern Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1New York Liberty W2717102347:21940.630
    2Atlanta Dream W2817112353:22080.607
    3Indiana Fever W2816122389:22690.571
    4Washington Mystics W2713142123:21610.481
    5Chicago Sky W277202071:23530.259
    6Connecticut Sun W265211943:22630.192


    Overall Standings
    PlWLPCT
    1Minnesota Lynx W292452529:21860.828
    2New York Liberty W2717102347:21940.630
    3Atlanta Dream W2817112353:22080.607
    4Phoenix Mercury W2716112251:21980.593
    5Indiana Fever W2816122389:22690.571
    6Seattle Storm W2816122284:22020.571
    7Golden State Valkyries W2714132109:20960.519
    8Las Vegas Aces W2814142262:23320.500
    9Washington Mystics W2713142123:21610.481
    10Los Angeles Sparks W2712152308:23770.444
    11Dallas Wings W298212380:25100.276
    12Chicago Sky W277202071:23530.259
    13Connecticut Sun W265211943:22630.192

          Promotion ~ WNBA (Play Offs: )