Phoenix Mercury vs Los Angeles Sparks – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Basketball WNBA Phoenix Mercury - Los Angeles Sparks
Result
83:87
09/09/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WNBA
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
7269
Field Goals Made
3030
Field Goals %
41.67%43.48%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
4238
2-Point Field Goals Made
2020
2-Point Field Goals %
47.62%52.63%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
3031
3-Point Field Goals Made
1010
3-Point Field Goals %
33.33%32.26%
Free Throws Attempted
1725
Free Throws Made
1321
Free Throws %
76.5%84%
Offensive Rebounds
119
Defensive Rebounds
2826
Total Rebounds
3935
Assists
2021
Blocks
34
Turnovers
129
Steals
77
Personal Fouls
1813

Chances of winning


Phoenix Mercury
72.9%
Los Angeles Sparks
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.7% 32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.9% 31.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Phoenix Mercury has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Phoenix Mercury's performance.
  • Los Angeles Sparks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Los Angeles Sparks might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Phoenix Mercury than the current prediction. (-4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Los Angeles Sparks than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • Phoenix Mercury - Los Angeles Sparks Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.31
    (1.42)

    3.53
    (2.97)
    4.8%
    (4.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 173.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)
  • Preview Facts
    • Phoenix is Qualified for WNBA (Play Offs )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Phoenix won 5.
    • Phoenix is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Los Angeles has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Phoenix is the team to beat.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Phoenix won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 1651:1645. (average 82.6:82.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Phoenix won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 769:726. (average 85.4:80.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Phoenix Mercury - Los Angeles Sparks were as follows:
    26.08.2025 Los Angeles Sparks - Phoenix Mercury 84:92
    01.06.2025 Los Angeles Sparks - Phoenix Mercury 80:85
    21.05.2025 Phoenix Mercury - Los Angeles Sparks 89:86
    17.09.2024 Los Angeles Sparks - Phoenix Mercury 81:85
    07.07.2024 Los Angeles Sparks - Phoenix Mercury 78:84
    Latest results of Phoenix Mercury
    Latest results of Los Angeles Sparks
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Minnesota Lynx W (1)Golden State Valkyries W (8)2 : 0
    2Phoenix Mercury W (4)New York Liberty W (5)2 : 1
    3Las Vegas Aces W (2)Seattle Storm W (7)2 : 1
    4Atlanta Dream W (3)Indiana Fever W (6)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Minnesota Lynx W (1)Phoenix Mercury W (4)1 : 1
    2Las Vegas Aces W (2)Indiana Fever W (6)1 : 1