Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
120:111
10/02/2026 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NBA
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
worldWorldNBA Global League Pass

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
10277
Field goals made
4937
Field goals %
48.04%48.05%
2-point field goals attempts
5255
2-point field goals made
3332
2-point field goals %
63.46%58.18%
3-point field goals attempts
5022
3-point field goals made
165
3-point field goals %
32%22.73%
Free throws attempts
944
Free throws made
632
Free throws %
66.7%72.7%
Offensive rebounds
178
Defensive rebounds
3134
Total rebounds
4842
Assists
3218
Blocks
35
Turnovers
1416
Steals
87
Personal fouls
2712
Technical fouls
10

Highlights

Chances of winning


Phoenix Suns
73.4%
Dallas Mavericks
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68.8% 31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.3% 31.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Phoenix Suns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • Dallas Mavericks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Phoenix Suns than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Phoenix Suns that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dallas Mavericks than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dallas Mavericks could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Phoenix Suns - Dallas Mavericks Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.31
    (1.38)

    3.63
    (3.05)
    3.8%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 227.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)
    What is the prediction for Phoenix Suns - Dallas Mavericks?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Phoenix will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Dallas will win (votes: 3 - 30%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Phoenix: 41.6%98.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Phoenix (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 227.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -7.5, OT - Phoenix (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 228, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Phoenix (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 118:110.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Phoenix won 4.
    • In recent matches, Phoenix has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Dallas is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Recently, Phoenix has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Phoenix is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Phoenix: Allen G. (Knee Injury) Livers I. (Shoulder Injury)
    • There will not play in Dallas: Irving K. (Knee Injury) Lively D. (Foot Injury)
    • There are questionable in Dallas: Thompson K. (Rest)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Phoenix won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 2203:2194. (average 110.2:109.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Phoenix won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 969:958. (average 107.7:106.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Phoenix Suns - Dallas Mavericks were as follows:
    12.11.2025 Dallas Mavericks - Phoenix Suns 114:123
    09.03.2025 Dallas Mavericks - Phoenix Suns 116:125
    27.12.2024 Phoenix Suns - Dallas Mavericks 89:98
    08.11.2024 Dallas Mavericks - Phoenix Suns 113:114
    26.10.2024 Phoenix Suns - Dallas Mavericks 114:102
    Latest results of Phoenix Suns
    Latest results of Dallas Mavericks
    NBA Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Oklahoma City Thunder5945147045:63560.763
    2San Antonio Spurs5741166753:63760.719
    3Houston Rockets5635216412:61240.625
    4Denver Nuggets5836227008:67450.621
    5Minnesota Timberwolves5936237056:67930.610
    6Los Angeles Lakers5734236588:66090.596
    7Phoenix Suns5933266614:65710.559
    8Golden State Warriors5830286701:66040.517
    9Portland Trail Blazers5928316830:69820.475
    10Los Angeles Clippers5727306389:64160.474
    11Memphis Grizzlies5621356466:65990.375
    12Dallas Mavericks5721366521:67060.368
    13Utah Jazz5818406842:73000.310
    14New Orleans Pelicans5917426774:71020.288
    15Sacramento Kings5913466507:71390.220


    Eastern Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Detroit Pistons5642146569:61270.750
    2Boston Celtics5738196553:61310.667
    3New York Knicks5937226909:65920.627
    4Cleveland Cavaliers5937227051:67870.627
    5Toronto Raptors5834246597:64850.586
    6Philadelphia 76ers5832266761:67240.552
    7Orlando Magic5731266560:65330.544
    8Miami Heat5931287078:69070.525
    9Atlanta Hawks6029317017:70800.483
    10Charlotte Hornets5928316837:66930.475
    11Milwaukee Bucks5625316286:64620.446
    12Chicago Bulls5924356832:71060.407
    13Washington Wizards5716416397:69970.281
    14Brooklyn Nets5715426094:65460.263
    15Indiana Pacers5915446580:70350.254

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