Result
2:1
12/02/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group B - Round 26
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 40', Verre V. 🟨,
- 45+2', 1 - 0, Coccia L. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Tumbarello G. ↓, Joselito ↑,
- 46', Verre V. ↓, Bacchin L. ↑,
- 46', Bolsius D. ↓, Nepi A. ↑,
- 55', 2 - 0, Bertini M. ⚽,
- 57', Canotto L. ↓, Manzari G. ↑,
- 59', Martey C. 🟨,
- 60', Colombo M. ↓, Tirelli M. ↑,
- 62', Tirelli M. 🟨,
- 68', Megelaitis L. ↓, Lisi F. ↑,
- 72', 2 - 1, Nepi A. ⚽,
- 74', Coccia L. 🟨,
- 76', Martey C. ↓, Fabrizi L. ↑,
- 78', Dell'Orco C. 🟨,
- 80', Sussi C. 🟨,
- 90', Coccia L. ↓, Balde M. ↑,
- 90', Bellini L. ↓, Proietto F. ↑,
- 90+1', Montevago D. 🟨,
- 90+4', Lisi F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Pianese
27% | Draw
31.2% | Perugia
41.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pianese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pianese's form might have worsened.Perugia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Perugia's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pianese than the current prediction. (+11.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pianese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (-10.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Perugia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Pianese - Perugia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.39 ↑
(2.42) |
2.93 ↓
(3.11) |
2.19 ↓
(2.85) |
9.4%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Pianese - Perugia?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Pianese will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Perugia will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Perugia (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Pianese won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Pianese won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Pianese won against Perugia?
Pianese has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Perugia won against Pianese?
Perugia has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pianese - Perugia were as follows:
27.09.2025
Perugia
-
Pianese
0:1
22.12.2024
Perugia
-
Pianese
1:1
24.08.2024
Pianese
-
Perugia
3:3
Latest results of Pianese
Latest results of Perugia
Italian Serie C Group B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arezzo | 27 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 47:17 | 30 | 63 |
| 2 | Ascoli | 28 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 49:19 | 30 | 56 |
| 3 | Ravenna | 28 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 41:26 | 15 | 56 |
| 4 | Campobasso | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 40:34 | 6 | 42 |
| 5 | Ternana | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 34:27 | 7 | 39 |
| 6 | Juventus U23 | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 33:31 | 2 | 39 |
| 7 | Pianese | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 30:28 | 2 | 39 |
| 8 | Pineto | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 34:33 | 1 | 39 |
| 9 | Gubbio | 27 | 8 | 12 | 7 | 22:20 | 2 | 36 |
| 10 | Livorno | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 29:39 | -10 | 35 |
| 11 | Forli | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 33:38 | -5 | 33 |
| 12 | Vis Pesaro | 27 | 7 | 12 | 8 | 26:27 | -1 | 33 |
| 13 | Guidonia | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 23:25 | -2 | 32 |
| 14 | Carpi | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 25:35 | -10 | 32 |
| 15 | Bra | 28 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 30:41 | -11 | 26 |
| 16 | Sambenedettese | 28 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 23:31 | -8 | 25 |
| 17 | Torres | 28 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 22:36 | -14 | 25 |
| 18 | Perugia | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 26:34 | -8 | 24 |
| 19 | Pontedera | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 23:49 | -26 | 18 |
| 20 | Rimini | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation
