Result
1:0
20/09/2025 at 06:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 9
- Referee: Arys K. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2 |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.61 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (266/322) | 87% (415/477) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.61 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 0.23 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 21 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (266/322) | 87% (415/477) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (27/47) | 60% (28/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (84/111) | 75% (99/132) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 7% (1/14) | 25% (6/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 0.81 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 21 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 45% (5/11) | 100% (8/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.23 | 0.40 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.23 | -0.60 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 33', Twumasi E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Czerwinski J. ↓, Pitan L. ↑,
- 47', 1 - 0, Balde E. ⚽, Lopes V. (A),
- 61', Balde E. ↓, Tapsoba A. ↑,
- 65', Chrapek M. ↓, Lokilo J. ↑,
- 66', Lesniak O. ↓, Barkovskiy G. ↑,
- 68', Lopes V. ↓, Alves R. ↑,
- 68', Baro R. ↓, Capita ↑,
- 76', Sanca L. ↓, Vallejo H. ↑,
- 77', Camara I. ↓, Zie Ouattara ↑,
- 77', Wolski R. ↓, Kaput M. ↑,
- 87', Felix J. ↓, Mucha S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Radomiak Radom
37.7% | Draw
29.3% | Piast Gliwice
33% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Radomiak Radom has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Piast Gliwice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Radomiak Radom than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Piast Gliwice than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Radomiak Radom - Piast Gliwice Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.52 ↑
(2.37) |
3.17 ↓
(3.2) |
2.84 ↓
(3) |
6.4%
(6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Radomiak Radom - Piast Gliwice?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Radomiak will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.6% – 90.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Radomiak (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Radomiak (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Radomiak (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Radomiak (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Radomiak won 1.
- Radomiak is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Piast has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Radomiak may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Piast: Boisgard Q.
(Red Card)
Katsantonis A.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Radomiak won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:9. (average 1.3:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Radomiak won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Radomiak Radom won against Piast Gliwice?
Radomiak Radom has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Piast Gliwice won against Radomiak Radom?
Piast Gliwice has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Radomiak Radom - Piast Gliwice were as follows:
04.05.2025
Piast Gliwice
-
Radomiak Radom
0:0
03.11.2024
Radomiak Radom
-
Piast Gliwice
1:1
08.03.2024
Piast Gliwice
-
Radomiak Radom
2:3
02.09.2023
Radomiak Radom
-
Piast Gliwice
1:1
06.05.2023
Radomiak Radom
-
Piast Gliwice
0:1
Latest results of Radomiak Radom
Latest results of Piast Gliwice
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Jagiellonia | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 37:24 | 13 | 37 |
| 2 | Zaglebie | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 35:27 | 8 | 35 |
| 3 | Lech Poznan | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 36:31 | 5 | 35 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 32:28 | 4 | 34 |
| 5 | Rakow | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 28:25 | 3 | 34 |
| 6 | Wisla Plock | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 24:18 | 6 | 33 |
| 7 | Cracovia | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 27:22 | 5 | 33 |
| 8 | Korona Kielce | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 27:24 | 3 | 30 |
| 9 | Radomiak Radom | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 36:33 | 3 | 28 |
| 10 | Pogon Szczecin | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 32:35 | -3 | 28 |
| 11 | Lechia Gdansk | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 44:43 | 1 | 27 |
| 12 | GKS Katowice | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 28:31 | -3 | 27 |
| 13 | Motor Lublin | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 30:37 | -7 | 27 |
| 14 | Piast Gliwice | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 23:26 | -3 | 26 |
| 15 | Arka Gdynia | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 19:36 | -17 | 25 |
| 16 | Legia | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 25:27 | -2 | 24 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 29:32 | -3 | 24 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 26:39 | -13 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
