Result
1:0
20/09/2025 at 06:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 9
- Referee: Arys K. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2 |
Canada | beIN Connect |
Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.26 | 0.61 |
Ball Possession |
---|
40% | 60% |
Total shots |
---|
16 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 2 |
Passes |
---|
83% (266/322) | 87% (415/477) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.26 | 0.61 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.40 | 0.23 |
Total shots |
---|
16 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
6 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
7 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
9 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
20 | 21 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
13 | 21 |
Passes |
---|
83% (266/322) | 87% (415/477) |
Long passes |
---|
57% (27/47) | 60% (28/47) |
Passes in final third |
---|
76% (84/111) | 75% (99/132) |
Crosses |
---|
7% (1/14) | 25% (6/24) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.19 | 0.81 |
Throw-ins |
---|
14 | 14 |
Fouls |
---|
21 | 13 |
Tackles |
---|
45% (5/11) | 100% (8/8) |
Duels won |
---|
38 | 46 |
Clearances |
---|
34 | 20 |
Interceptions |
---|
7 | 5 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.23 | 0.40 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.23 | -0.60 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 33', Twumasi E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Czerwinski J. ↓, Pitan L. ↑,
- 47', 1 - 0, Balde E. ⚽, Lopes V. (A),
- 61', Balde E. ↓, Tapsoba A. ↑,
- 65', Chrapek M. ↓, Lokilo J. ↑,
- 66', Lesniak O. ↓, Barkovskiy G. ↑,
- 68', Lopes V. ↓, Alves R. ↑,
- 68', Baro R. ↓, Capita ↑,
- 76', Sanca L. ↓, Vallejo H. ↑,
- 77', Camara I. ↓, Zie Ouattara ↑,
- 77', Wolski R. ↓, Kaput M. ↑,
- 87', Felix J. ↓, Mucha S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Radomiak Radom 37.7% | Draw 29.3% | Piast Gliwice 33% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Radomiak Radom has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Piast Gliwice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Radomiak Radom than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Piast Gliwice than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Radomiak Radom - Piast Gliwice Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.52 ↑ (2.37) |
3.17 ↓ (3.2) |
2.84 ↓ (3) |
6.4% (6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Radomiak Radom - Piast Gliwice?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Radomiak will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.6% – 90.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Radomiak (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Radomiak won 1.
- Radomiak is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Piast has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Radomiak may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Piast: Boisgard Q.
(Red Card)
Katsantonis A.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Radomiak won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:9. (average 1.3:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Radomiak won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Radomiak Radom won against Piast Gliwice?
Radomiak Radom has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Piast Gliwice won against Radomiak Radom?
Piast Gliwice has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Radomiak Radom - Piast Gliwice were as follows:
04.05.2025
Piast Gliwice
-
Radomiak Radom
0:0
03.11.2024
Radomiak Radom
-
Piast Gliwice
1:1
08.03.2024
Piast Gliwice
-
Radomiak Radom
2:3
02.09.2023
Radomiak Radom
-
Piast Gliwice
1:1
06.05.2023
Radomiak Radom
-
Piast Gliwice
0:1
Latest results of Radomiak Radom
Latest results of Piast Gliwice
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Gornik Zabrze | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 14:7 | 7 | 18 |
2 | Cracovia | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:9 | 7 | 17 |
3 | Jagiellonia | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:10 | 4 | 17 |
4 | Wisla Plock | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10:5 | 5 | 16 |
5 | Korona Kielce | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 15 |
6 | Lech Poznan | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15:14 | 1 | 14 |
7 | Legia | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:6 | 5 | 12 |
8 | Radomiak Radom | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 11 |
9 | Zaglebie | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 16:13 | 3 | 10 |
10 | Widzew Lodz | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 13:12 | 1 | 10 |
11 | Motor Lublin | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 |
12 | Pogon Szczecin | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 10 |
13 | Termalica B-B | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11:13 | -2 | 9 |
14 | Arka Gdynia | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 9 |
15 | Rakow | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 8 |
16 | GKS Katowice | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10:20 | -10 | 7 |
17 | Lechia Gdansk | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 18:22 | -4 | 6 |
18 | Piast Gliwice | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1