Radomiak Radom vs Arka Gdynia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
05/03/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 19
  • Referee: Przybyl J. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 3
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
polandPolandCANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport, Ekstraklasa TV
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.361.13
Ball possession
49%51%
Total shots
1214
Shots on target
58
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
37
Passes
76% (256/338)75% (266/355)
Yellow cards
33
Expected goals (xG)
1.361.13
xG on target (xGOT)
1.192.53
Total shots
1214
Shots on target
58
Shots off target
73
Blocked shots
03
Shots inside the box
612
Shots outside the box
62
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
01
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
37
Touches in opposition box
2327
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
13
Free kicks
1823
Passes
76% (256/338)75% (266/355)
Long passes
32% (14/44)36% (18/50)
Passes in final third
64% (75/118)62% (64/104)
Crosses
42% (5/12)28% (5/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.010.56
Throw ins
1014
Fouls
2318
Tackles
67% (6/9)67% (4/6)
Duels won
4564
Clearances
3016
Interceptions
88
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
72
xGOT faced
2.531.19
Goals prevented
1.53-1.81

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Wolski R. ,
  • 8', 2 - 0, Capita , Donis C. (A),
  • 11', Perea L. , Jakubczyk K. ,
  • 22', Donis C. , Camara I. ,
  • 32', Gojny D. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Rusyn N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Navarro M. , Kocyla D. ,
  • 49', Wolski R. 🟨,
  • 55', Kingue S. 🟨,
  • 56', 2 - 1, Gojny D. ,
  • 63', Rusyn N. , Szysz P. ,
  • 75', Lopes V. , Joao Pedro ,
  • 75', Capita , Tapsoba A. ,
  • 75', Wolski R. , Baro R. ,
  • 77', 3 - 1, Baro R. ,
  • 80', Kerk S. , Sidibe A. ,
  • 80', Gutkovskis V. , Espiau Hernandez E. D. ,
  • 84', Zie Ouattara 🟨,
  • 90+1', Nguiamba A. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Grzesik J. , Leandro ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Radomiak Radom
53.6%
Draw
25%
Arka Gdynia
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57% 24.1% 19%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Radomiak Radom has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • Arka Gdynia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • Radomiak Radom - Arka Gdynia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.75
    (1.67)
    3.76
    (3.95)
    4.4
    (5.02)
    6.5%
    (5.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Radomiak Radom - Arka Gdynia?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH +0.5 - Radomiak (1.23) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH +0.25 - Radomiak (1.30) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH 0 - Radomiak (1.33) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH +1.5 - Radomiak (1.03) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH +0.75 - Radomiak (1.16) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 0.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -0.5 - Radomiak (1.78) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Radomiak (2.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Radomiak (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Radomiak (2.36) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • AH -1.5 - Arka (1.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Radomiak (1.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Radomiak Radom will win (78 of 85 users predict this - 91.76%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 85.91%97.61%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Radomiak Radom will win (34 of 35 users predict this - 97.14%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 55 Selected Experts predict this event. Radomiak (votes: 51 - 92.7%). Arka (votes: 4 - 7.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 and 12).
    • In this match, Radomiak is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Radomiak: Camara I. (Suspended)
    • There will not play in Arka: Zator D. (Red Card)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Radomiak won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Radomiak won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Radomiak Radom - Arka Gdynia were as follows:
    25.07.2025 Arka Gdynia - Radomiak Radom 1:1
    Latest results of Radomiak Radom
    Latest results of Arka Gdynia
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lech Poznan301410655:411452
    2Gornik Zabrze30147943:34949
    3Jagiellonia301210848:371146
    4Rakow301371043:37646
    5Wisla Plock30129932:28445
    6GKS Katowice301351243:41244
    7Zaglebie301281043:36744
    8Radomiak Radom3010101046:43340
    9Motor Lublin30912939:45-639
    10Piast Gliwice301161339:40-139
    11Lechia Gdansk301271157:54338
    12Korona Kielce301081237:36138
    13Cracovia309111035:38-338
    14Pogon Szczecin301151440:45-538
    15Legia30813934:36-237
    16Widzew Lodz301061436:37-136
    17Arka Gdynia30971431:54-2334
    18Termalica B-B30771636:55-1928

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1