Result
2:0
01/02/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group C - Round 24
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 8', 1 - 0, Abreu L. ⚽,
- 12', 2 - 0, Bianchi S. ⚽,
- 40', Franco D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Ragone G. ↓, Adjapong C. ↑,
- 46', Bachini M. ↓, D'Auria G. ↑,
- 46', Castorani M. ↓, Schimmenti E. ↑,
- 52', Bura R. ↓, Loiacono G. ↑,
- 56', Guadagni G. 🟨,
- 61', Bianchi S. ↓, Pugliese S. ↑,
- 61', Franco D. ↓, Maiorino P. ↑,
- 74', Esposito E. ↓, Cardoni K. ↑,
- 80', Maisto F. ↓, De Marco A. ↑,
- 85', Gemignani A. ↓, Salvo G. ↑,
- 85', Rillo F. ↓, Pistolesi F. ↑,
- 90+4', Lucas Martello 🟨,
Chances of winning
Picerno 38.6% | Draw 29.6% | Potenza 31.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Picerno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Potenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Picerno than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Potenza than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
Picerno - Potenza Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.37 ↓ (2.42) |
3.09 ↓ (3.42) |
2.89 ↑ (2.62) |
9.1% (8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Picerno won 0.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Potenza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Picerno won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 18:25. (average 1.2:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Picerno won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.8:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Picerno won against Potenza?
Picerno has won 1 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Potenza won against Picerno?
Potenza has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Picerno - Potenza were as follows:
21.09.2025
Potenza
-
Picerno
2:0
04.05.2025
Potenza
-
Picerno
2:0
02.03.2025
Potenza
-
Picerno
2:2
21.10.2024
Picerno
-
Potenza
1:1
18.03.2024
Potenza
-
Picerno
1:0
Latest results of Picerno
Latest results of Potenza
Italian Serie C Group C Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Benevento | 29 | 21 | 4 | 4 | 63:20 | 43 | 67 |
| 2 | Catania | 29 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 46:15 | 31 | 60 |
| 3 | Salernitana | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 36:30 | 6 | 51 |
| 4 | Cosenza | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 44:31 | 13 | 50 |
| 5 | Casertana | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 42:39 | 3 | 46 |
| 6 | Crotone | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 42:28 | 14 | 45 |
| 7 | Monopoli | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 30:30 | 0 | 44 |
| 8 | Audace Cerignola | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 34:36 | -2 | 42 |
| 9 | Casarano | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 40:48 | -8 | 39 |
| 10 | Potenza | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 37:41 | -4 | 37 |
| 11 | Altamura | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 26:36 | -10 | 37 |
| 12 | Atalanta U23 | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 40:36 | 4 | 34 |
| 13 | Sorrento | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 32:40 | -8 | 33 |
| 14 | Cavese | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 28:34 | -6 | 31 |
| 15 | Picerno | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 34:45 | -11 | 30 |
| 16 | Latina | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 20:32 | -12 | 29 |
| 17 | Trapani | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 37:37 | 0 | 28 |
| 18 | Giugliano | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 25:43 | -18 | 25 |
| 19 | Foggia | 29 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 25:51 | -26 | 22 |
| 20 | Siracusa | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 35:44 | -9 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation