Result
3:0
23/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group B - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport Max |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 17', Del Sole F. ↓, Silipo A. ↑,
- 22', Curado M. 🟨,
- 33', 1 - 0, Milanese T. ⚽,
- 40', Postiglione N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Postiglione N. ↓, Capomaggio T. ↑,
- 50', 2 - 0, D'Uffizi S. ⚽,
- 55', Germinario G. ↓, Mastropietro F. ↑,
- 55', Viero F. ↓, Lombardi L. ↑,
- 55', Baggi F. ↓, Gagliardi L. ↑,
- 62', Pellegrino A. 🟨,
- 66', Schirone L. 🟨,
- 70', Milanese T. ↓, Ndoj E. ↑,
- 70', Gori G. ↓, Chakir M. A. ↑,
- 81', D'Uffizi S. ↓, Palazzino F. ↑,
- 85', D'Andrea F. ↓, Marrancone A. ↑,
- 89', 3 - 0, Chakir M. A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Ascoli
61.1% | Draw
25.1% | Pineto
13.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ascoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ascoli's performance.Pineto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (-6.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ascoli that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pineto than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
Ascoli - Pineto Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.61 ↓
(1.75) |
3.91 ↑
(3.23) |
7.07 ↑
(4.87) |
2%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Ascoli - Pineto?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Ascoli will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%). Pineto will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ascoli: 58.6% – 97%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Ascoli will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).
- Ascoli is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Pineto's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Ascoli is the team to beat.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ascoli won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Ascoli won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Ascoli won against Pineto?
Ascoli has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pineto won against Ascoli?
Pineto has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ascoli - Pineto were as follows:
17.08.2025
Pineto
-
Ascoli
2:3
08.03.2025
Ascoli
-
Pineto
0:1
27.10.2024
Pineto
-
Ascoli
1:0
Italian Serie C Group B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arezzo | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 21:7 | 14 | 28 |
| 2 | Ascoli | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 21:2 | 19 | 24 |
| 3 | Ravenna | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 19:13 | 6 | 24 |
| 4 | Ternana | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14:10 | 4 | 18 |
| 5 | Guidonia | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 8:7 | 1 | 17 |
| 6 | Forli | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11:8 | 3 | 16 |
| 7 | Campobasso | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:10 | 5 | 15 |
| 8 | Carpi | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 15 |
| 9 | Pineto | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15:12 | 3 | 14 |
| 10 | Sambenedettese | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13:11 | 2 | 14 |
| 11 | Juventus U23 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 16:18 | -2 | 14 |
| 12 | Pianese | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 13 |
| 13 | Gubbio | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 13 |
| 14 | Vis Pesaro | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 12 |
| 15 | Pontedera | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8:21 | -13 | 11 |
| 16 | Livorno | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 6:15 | -9 | 10 |
| 17 | Torres | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 5:13 | -8 | 7 |
| 18 | Bra | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10:19 | -9 | 6 |
| 19 | Perugia | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6:17 | -11 | 3 |
| 20 | Rimini | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 6:12 | -6 | -2 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation
